Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2.9% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.5% |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
2.9% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
3.0% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | 2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | 1.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 1.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | 1.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 6% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 49% | 94% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 39% | 45% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 6% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | |||||
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
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| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
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| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
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| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
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| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 82% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 18% | 18% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |