Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.2% | 9.2–14.4% | 8.8–14.9% | 8.4–15.3% | 7.8–16.1% |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
13.6% | 12.3–15.1% | 12.0–15.5% | 11.7–15.9% | 11.1–16.6% |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
14.4% | 13.1–15.9% | 12.7–16.4% | 12.4–16.7% | 11.8–17.5% |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
9.7% | 8.6–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 8.0–11.6% | 7.5–12.3% |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
12.7% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–15.0% | 10.2–15.7% |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.9–12.0% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.1–13.0% |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
11.6% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.7–14.0% | 9.3–14.4% | 8.7–15.3% |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
12.8% | 11.6–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.8% |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
7.9% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
10.5% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.7–12.6% | 8.2–13.2% |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
10.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.9–12.8% |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.7–15.0% |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
10.3% | 8.9–11.9% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.2–12.8% | 7.6–13.6% |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
8.3% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
10.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 10.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | 9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | 11.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
11.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | 13.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
8.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 11% | 97% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 13% | 85% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 11% | 72% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 16% | 61% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 21% | 44% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 15% | 23% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–29 November 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 6–16 November 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–28 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–27 October 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 24 September–9 October 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 17–27 September 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 4–13 September 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21 August–2 September 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–25 July 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 19–29 June 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11–22 June 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 26 April–18 May 2025 | Spinter tyrimai | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2–12 May 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–29 April 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 |
| 17–28 April 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5–19 April 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai ELTA |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–28 March 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–24 March 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14–23 February 2025 | Vilmorus Lietuvos Rytas |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 25 January–8 February 2025 | Baltijos tyrimai Elta |
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| 18–29 January 2025 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–20 December 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 12 November–1 December 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–16 November 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 30 October–12 November 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 16–25 September 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 13–21 September 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 6–20 September 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai | |||||
| 7–9 August 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai Delfi |
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| 19–29 July 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
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| 11–21 July 2024 | Vilmorus | |||||
| 21 June–7 July 2024 | Baltijos tyrimai LRT |
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| 18–28 June 2024 | Spinter tyrimai Delfi |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 70% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 30% | 30% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |