Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 21 December 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 4.9% 2.6–7.7% 2.4–8.1% 2.3–8.4% 2.0–9.0%
2–3 December 2020 IRES 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
28–29 November 2020 Sociopol 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
22–28 November 2020 IRSOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–27 November 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–25 November 2020 Verifield 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–18 November 2020 ADS
PER		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–10 November 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–30 October 2020 BCS
PMP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–28 October 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 October 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–23 September 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–26 August 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 July–5 August 2020 CURS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–29 July 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–30 June 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–27 June 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–27 May 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–26 May 2020 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–20 May 2020 INSCOP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 May 2020 BCS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–24 April 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 April 2020 BCS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 April 2020 Avangarde
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–26 March 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–28 February 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–31 January 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–30 January 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–18 December 2019 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–18 December 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 December 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–27 November 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25 October–3 November 2019 USR 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–28 October 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–23 October 2019 USR 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–19 October 2019 BCS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–28 September 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–24 September 2019 USR 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–20 September 2019 Socio-Data 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 September 2019 Socio-Data 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–6 September 2019 Socio-Data 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–31 August 2019 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 August 2019 Verifield 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 August 2019 Socio-Data 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–28 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 July–5 August 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15 July–2 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–23 July 2019 BCS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 June–8 July 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–26 June 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–20 May 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–21 February 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 January–6 February 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 January–5 February 2019 INSCOP
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 January–4 February 2019 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2019 PNL 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–30 January 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–20 December 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 November–9 December 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 October–12 November 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 October 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 October 2018 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 September–1 October 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–27 September 2018 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–20 August 2018 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23 June–1 July 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 June 2018 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 May–8 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 April–8 May 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 March 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 February–5 March 2018 Sociopol
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2018 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–10 January 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 November–7 December 2017 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2017 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 September–5 October 2017 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2017 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 August–14 September 2017 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 August 2017 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 June 2017 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 April 2017 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–14 March 2017 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2017 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 8% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 33% 92%  
3.5–4.5% 9% 59%  
4.5–5.5% 1.4% 50% Median
5.5–6.5% 12% 49%  
6.5–7.5% 23% 36%  
7.5–8.5% 11% 13%  
8.5–9.5% 2% 2%  
9.5–10.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 21 December 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0–27 0–28 0–29 0–32
2–3 December 2020 IRES 0 0 0 0 0
28–29 November 2020 Sociopol 25 21–28 20–29 19–30 17–32
22–28 November 2020 IRSOP          
6–27 November 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
20–25 November 2020 Verifield          
11–18 November 2020 ADS
PER		          
1–10 November 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
25–30 October 2020 BCS
PMP		          
7–28 October 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
8–11 October 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
7–23 September 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
6–26 August 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
29 July–5 August 2020 CURS          
10–29 July 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
19–30 June 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
5–27 June 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
8–27 May 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
15–26 May 2020 Avangarde          
15–20 May 2020 INSCOP          
1–7 May 2020 BCS          
6–24 April 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
11–15 April 2020 BCS          
6–12 April 2020 Avangarde
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
5–26 March 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
11–28 February 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
13–31 January 2020 IMAS
Europa FM		          
20–30 January 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
13–18 December 2019 Sociopol          
4–18 December 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
12–17 December 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
11–27 November 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
25 October–3 November 2019 USR          
8–28 October 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
15–23 October 2019 USR          
12–19 October 2019 BCS          
5–28 September 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
3–24 September 2019 USR          
16–20 September 2019 Socio-Data          
9–13 September 2019 Socio-Data          
2–6 September 2019 Socio-Data          
19–31 August 2019 Sociopol          
26–30 August 2019 Verifield          
26–30 August 2019 Socio-Data          
5–28 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
19 July–5 August 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
15 July–2 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
7–23 July 2019 BCS          
28 June–8 July 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
7–26 June 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
2–20 May 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
1–21 February 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
21 January–6 February 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
21 January–5 February 2019 INSCOP
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung		          
28 January–4 February 2019 Sociopol          
1–31 January 2019 PNL          
11–30 January 2019 IMAS
Europa FM		          
4–20 December 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		          
24 November–9 December 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
1–30 November 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		          
26 October–12 November 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
1–31 October 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		          
3–4 October 2018 Sociopol          
20 September–1 October 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
1–30 September 2018 IMAS
Europa FM		          
22–27 September 2018 Sociopol          
7–20 August 2018 Sociopol          
23 June–1 July 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
1–30 June 2018 IMAS          
22–26 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV		          
28 May–8 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV		          
27 April–8 May 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
1–31 March 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
27 February–5 March 2018 Sociopol
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
1–28 February 2018 IMAS          
3–10 January 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
24 November–7 December 2017 Avangarde          
1–30 November 2017 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO		          
22 September–5 October 2017 Sociopol          
1–30 September 2017 IMAS          
28 August–14 September 2017 Sociopol          
11–23 August 2017 Avangarde          
15–22 June 2017 Avangarde          
1–30 April 2017 IMAS          
6–14 March 2017 Sociopol          
1–31 January 2017 IMAS          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 50% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 50%  
2 0% 50%  
3 0% 50%  
4 0% 50%  
5 0% 50%  
6 0% 50%  
7 0% 50%  
8 0% 50%  
9 0% 50%  
10 0% 50%  
11 0% 50%  
12 0% 50%  
13 0% 50%  
14 0% 50%  
15 0% 50%  
16 0% 50%  
17 0.1% 50%  
18 0.5% 50%  
19 0.7% 49%  
20 2% 49%  
21 6% 47%  
22 4% 41%  
23 4% 37%  
24 6% 33%  
25 10% 27%  
26 5% 16%  
27 3% 11%  
28 3% 8%  
29 3% 5%  
30 1.2% 2%  
31 0.3% 0.9%  
32 0.3% 0.6%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%