PRO România

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 21 December 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.6% 4.9–12.3% 4.4–13.2% 4.1–13.8% 3.7–14.8%
2–3 December 2020 IRES 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
28–29 November 2020 Sociopol 6.0% 5.2–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.2%
22–28 November 2020 IRSOP 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
6–27 November 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
12.8% 11.5–14.2% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
20–25 November 2020 Verifield 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.8% 7.7–11.1% 7.2–11.8%
11–18 November 2020 ADS
PER
4.6% 3.9–5.5% 3.7–5.7% 3.6–5.9% 3.3–6.3%
1–10 November 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
25–30 October 2020 BCS
PMP
5.2% 4.5–6.0% 4.3–6.2% 4.2–6.4% 3.9–6.9%
7–28 October 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.8–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
8–11 October 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
9.0% 7.8–10.4% 7.5–10.8% 7.2–11.2% 6.7–11.9%
7–23 September 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
6–26 August 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
10.6% 9.4–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.8–12.7% 8.3–13.3%
29 July–5 August 2020 CURS 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
10–29 July 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
9.7% 8.6–11.0% 8.3–11.4% 8.0–11.7% 7.5–12.3%
19–30 June 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.2%
5–27 June 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
3.6% 2.9–4.4% 2.7–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.3%
8–27 May 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
11.3% 10.1–12.7% 9.8–13.0% 9.5–13.4% 8.9–14.1%
15–26 May 2020 Avangarde 6.0% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.4% 4.7–7.7% 4.3–8.2%
15–20 May 2020 INSCOP 0.9% 0.6–1.4% 0.5–1.5% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.9%
1–7 May 2020 BCS 3.9% 3.3–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.0% 2.8–5.3%
6–24 April 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.7–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
11–15 April 2020 BCS 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
6–12 April 2020 Avangarde
STIRIPESURSE.RO
5.1% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.8% 3.5–7.3%
5–26 March 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
5.8% 5.0–6.9% 4.8–7.2% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.0%
11–28 February 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
4.6% 3.8–5.5% 3.6–5.8% 3.4–6.0% 3.1–6.5%
13–31 January 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.7–5.1% 2.5–5.6%
20–30 January 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
6.2% 5.4–7.2% 5.2–7.4% 5.0–7.7% 4.6–8.2%
13–18 December 2019 Sociopol 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
4–18 December 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
12–17 December 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
11–27 November 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.7%
25 October–3 November 2019 USR 4.8% 4.1–5.7% 3.9–5.9% 3.7–6.2% 3.4–6.6%
8–28 October 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
10.7% 9.5–12.0% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.4%
15–23 October 2019 USR 3.5% 2.9–4.3% 2.7–4.5% 2.6–4.7% 2.3–5.1%
12–19 October 2019 BCS 2.6% 2.1–3.3% 1.9–3.5% 1.8–3.7% 1.6–4.1%
5–28 September 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
3–24 September 2019 USR 4.7% 4.0–5.4% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.4–6.2%
16–20 September 2019 Socio-Data 9.0% 7.9–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.4–10.8% 6.9–11.4%
9–13 September 2019 Socio-Data 6.0% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
2–6 September 2019 Socio-Data 8.7% 7.7–9.9% 7.4–10.2% 7.1–10.5% 6.7–11.1%
19–31 August 2019 Sociopol 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
26–30 August 2019 Verifield 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
26–30 August 2019 Socio-Data 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.3–11.9% 7.8–12.6%
5–28 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.4–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
19 July–5 August 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
15 July–2 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
9.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 6.9–11.6%
7–23 July 2019 BCS 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.7% 0.4–2.0%
28 June–8 July 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
7–26 June 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.5% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.5%
2–20 May 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.1–10.5%
1–21 February 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
21 January–6 February 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
8.0% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.1–10.3%
21 January–5 February 2019 INSCOP
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung
6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.2% 4.8–8.8%
28 January–4 February 2019 Sociopol 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.4–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
1–31 January 2019 PNL 5.5% 5.3–5.7% 5.3–5.7% 5.2–5.8% 5.1–5.9%
11–30 January 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
4–20 December 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.5%
24 November–9 December 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
1–30 November 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26 October–12 November 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.6% 7.4–10.9% 7.0–11.5%
1–31 October 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 October 2018 Sociopol 5.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.8–6.7% 3.4–7.3%
20 September–1 October 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.6% 4.3–8.1%
1–30 September 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–27 September 2018 Sociopol 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
7–20 August 2018 Sociopol 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.7%
23 June–1 July 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
5.1% 4.3–6.0% 4.1–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.0%
1–30 June 2018 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV
5.0% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.4% 3.8–6.6% 3.4–7.2%
28 May–8 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV
3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.3% 1.8–4.7%
27 April–8 May 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
1–31 March 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 February–5 March 2018 Sociopol
STIRIPESURSE.RO
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–28 February 2018 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–10 January 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
2.0% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
24 November–7 December 2017 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 November 2017 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22 September–5 October 2017 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 September 2017 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 August–14 September 2017 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–23 August 2017 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 June 2017 Avangarde 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–30 April 2017 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–14 March 2017 Sociopol 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–31 January 2017 IMAS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for PRO România.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0.3% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 6% 99.7%  
4.5–5.5% 11% 94%  
5.5–6.5% 15% 83%  
6.5–7.5% 17% 68%  
7.5–8.5% 13% 50% Median
8.5–9.5% 13% 37%  
9.5–10.5% 8% 24%  
10.5–11.5% 3% 16%  
11.5–12.5% 4% 13%  
12.5–13.5% 5% 9%  
13.5–14.5% 3% 4%  
14.5–15.5% 0.7% 0.8%  
15.5–16.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 21 December 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 25 0–43 0–46 0–48 0–52
2–3 December 2020 IRES 23 20–27 19–28 18–29 17–31
28–29 November 2020 Sociopol 20 17–24 0–26 0–26 0–28
22–28 November 2020 IRSOP 23 20–27 19–28 18–29 17–31
6–27 November 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
45 40–50 39–51 37–53 35–55
20–25 November 2020 Verifield 33 29–37 28–38 27–39 25–43
11–18 November 2020 ADS
PER
0 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
1–10 November 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
29 25–32 24–33 23–34 22–36
25–30 October 2020 BCS
PMP
17 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
7–28 October 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
38 34–43 33–44 32–45 30–48
8–11 October 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
30 25–34 24–35 23–37 22–39
7–23 September 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
34 30–38 28–40 27–41 26–43
6–26 August 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
37 33–41 31–43 30–44 28–46
29 July–5 August 2020 CURS 24 21–28 20–29 19–30 17–32
10–29 July 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
34 30–38 29–39 28–40 26–42
19–30 June 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
23 20–26 19–27 18–28 17–30
5–27 June 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
0 0 0 0 0–19
8–27 May 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
39 35–44 33–45 32–46 30–49
15–26 May 2020 Avangarde 22 18–24 0–25 0–26 0–28
15–20 May 2020 INSCOP 0 0 0 0 0
1–7 May 2020 BCS 0 0 0 0 0–19
6–24 April 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
29 25–33 24–34 23–35 22–38
11–15 April 2020 BCS 29 26–33 25–35 24–36 22–38
6–12 April 2020 Avangarde
STIRIPESURSE.RO
17 0–21 0–22 0–22 0–24
5–26 March 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
20 0–23 0–24 0–25 0–27
11–28 February 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
0 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
13–31 January 2020 IMAS
Europa FM
0 0 0 0–17 0–18
20–30 January 2020 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
21 18–24 17–25 0–26 0–28
13–18 December 2019 Sociopol 0 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
4–18 December 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
22 19–26 18–27 0–28 0–30
12–17 December 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
20 17–24 0–24 0–25 0–27
11–27 November 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
22 19–26 18–27 17–28 0–30
25 October–3 November 2019 USR 0 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–22
8–28 October 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
38 33–42 32–43 31–45 29–47
15–23 October 2019 USR 0 0 0 0 0–18
12–19 October 2019 BCS 0 0 0 0 0
5–28 September 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
31 27–35 26–36 25–37 24–39
3–24 September 2019 USR 0 0–20 0–21 0–21 0–23
16–20 September 2019 Socio-Data 30 26–34 25–36 24–37 23–39
9–13 September 2019 Socio-Data 20 17–23 0–24 0–25 0–27
2–6 September 2019 Socio-Data 28 25–32 24–34 23–35 21–37
19–31 August 2019 Sociopol 38 33–43 32–44 31–45 29–49
26–30 August 2019 Verifield 26 23–30 22–32 21–33 20–35
26–30 August 2019 Socio-Data 33 29–37 28–39 27–40 25–42
5–28 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
29 25–33 25–35 24–36 22–38
19 July–5 August 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
22 20–25 19–26 18–27 17–28
15 July–2 August 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
30 27–34 25–35 25–36 23–38
7–23 July 2019 BCS 0 0 0 0 0
28 June–8 July 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
27 23–31 22–32 21–33 20–35
7–26 June 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
33 29–37 28–38 27–40 25–42
2–20 May 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
26 22–29 21–31 20–32 19–34
1–21 February 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
37 33–41 31–43 31–44 29–46
21 January–6 February 2019 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
27 23–31 23–32 22–33 20–35
21 January–5 February 2019 INSCOP
Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung
22 18–25 18–26 17–27 0–29
28 January–4 February 2019 Sociopol 27 23–31 22–32 22–33 20–36
1–31 January 2019 PNL 18 17–18 17–19 17–19 17–19
11–30 January 2019 IMAS
Europa FM
27 23–30 22–32 21–33 20–35
4–20 December 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
21 18–25 17–26 0–27 0–28
24 November–9 December 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
31 27–34 26–36 25–37 23–39
1–30 November 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
         
26 October–12 November 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
30 26–34 25–36 25–37 23–39
1–31 October 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
         
3–4 October 2018 Sociopol 17 0–21 0–22 0–23 0–25
20 September–1 October 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
19 17–23 0–24 0–25 0–27
1–30 September 2018 IMAS
Europa FM
         
22–27 September 2018 Sociopol 24 21–28 20–29 19–30 17–32
7–20 August 2018 Sociopol 0 0 0 0 0
23 June–1 July 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
17 0–20 0–21 0–22 0–24
1–30 June 2018 IMAS          
22–26 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV
16 0–19 0–20 0–21 0–23
28 May–8 June 2018 Sociopol
România TV
0 0 0 0 0
27 April–8 May 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
0 0 0 0 0
1–31 March 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
         
27 February–5 March 2018 Sociopol
STIRIPESURSE.RO
         
1–28 February 2018 IMAS          
3–10 January 2018 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
0 0 0 0 0
24 November–7 December 2017 Avangarde          
1–30 November 2017 CURS
STIRIPESURSE.RO
         
22 September–5 October 2017 Sociopol          
1–30 September 2017 IMAS          
28 August–14 September 2017 Sociopol          
11–23 August 2017 Avangarde          
15–22 June 2017 Avangarde          
1–30 April 2017 IMAS          
6–14 March 2017 Sociopol          
1–31 January 2017 IMAS          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for PRO România.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 12% 100% Last Result
1 0% 88%  
2 0% 88%  
3 0% 88%  
4 0% 88%  
5 0% 88%  
6 0% 88%  
7 0% 88%  
8 0% 88%  
9 0% 88%  
10 0% 88%  
11 0% 88%  
12 0% 88%  
13 0% 88%  
14 0% 88%  
15 0% 88%  
16 0% 88%  
17 0.5% 88%  
18 2% 88%  
19 4% 86%  
20 7% 82%  
21 5% 76%  
22 5% 71%  
23 7% 66%  
24 5% 58%  
25 5% 53% Median
26 5% 48%  
27 4% 43%  
28 4% 39%  
29 3% 36%  
30 3% 32%  
31 2% 29%  
32 3% 27%  
33 3% 24%  
34 2% 21%  
35 0.9% 19%  
36 2% 18%  
37 1.4% 16%  
38 0.9% 15%  
39 0.8% 14%  
40 0.9% 13%  
41 1.1% 13%  
42 1.3% 12%  
43 1.3% 10%  
44 1.5% 9%  
45 2% 7%  
46 1.4% 6%  
47 1.0% 4%  
48 1.1% 3%  
49 0.8% 2%  
50 0.5% 2%  
51 0.4% 1.0%  
52 0.2% 0.6%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%