Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.2% (General Election of 21 December 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.0% | 3.3–6.2% | 2.9–6.6% | 2.6–6.9% | 2.2–7.5% |
| 2–3 December 2020 | IRES | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
| 28–29 November 2020 | Sociopol | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 22–28 November 2020 | IRSOP | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 6–27 November 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| 20–25 November 2020 | Verifield | 5.4% | 4.6–6.3% | 4.4–6.6% | 4.2–6.9% | 3.8–7.4% |
| 11–18 November 2020 | ADS PER |
5.1% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.2% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.7–6.9% |
| 1–10 November 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% |
| 25–30 October 2020 | BCS PMP |
4.8% | 4.1–5.6% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.5–6.4% |
| 7–28 October 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.0% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 8–11 October 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.3% |
| 7–23 September 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.8–7.4% |
| 6–26 August 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 29 July–5 August 2020 | CURS | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 10–29 July 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.6% | 4.8–6.7% | 4.6–7.0% | 4.4–7.3% | 4.0–7.8% |
| 19–30 June 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 5–27 June 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 8–27 May 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.1% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 15–26 May 2020 | Avangarde | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 15–20 May 2020 | INSCOP | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.3% |
| 1–7 May 2020 | BCS | 1.3% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.0% | 0.7–2.2% |
| 6–24 April 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 11–15 April 2020 | BCS | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 6–12 April 2020 | Avangarde STIRIPESURSE.RO |
4.2% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.7% | 2.7–6.2% |
| 5–26 March 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.5% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 11–28 February 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| 13–31 January 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 20–30 January 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.1% | 4.4–6.0% | 4.2–6.3% | 4.0–6.5% | 3.7–7.0% |
| 13–18 December 2019 | Sociopol | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 4–18 December 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 12–17 December 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 11–27 November 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.2% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 25 October–3 November 2019 | USR | 4.5% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.6–5.6% | 3.5–5.8% | 3.2–6.2% |
| 8–28 October 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 15–23 October 2019 | USR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 October 2019 | BCS | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
| 5–28 September 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 3–24 September 2019 | USR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 September 2019 | Socio-Data | 5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.6–7.0% |
| 9–13 September 2019 | Socio-Data | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 2–6 September 2019 | Socio-Data | 3.9% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.7% |
| 19–31 August 2019 | Sociopol | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 26–30 August 2019 | Verifield | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 26–30 August 2019 | Socio-Data | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 5–28 August 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 19 July–5 August 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 15 July–2 August 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.2% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 7–23 July 2019 | BCS | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.5% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.7–7.2% |
| 28 June–8 July 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 7–26 June 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 2–20 May 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 1–21 February 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.0% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 21 January–6 February 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% |
| 21 January–5 February 2019 | INSCOP Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.1% |
| 28 January–4 February 2019 | Sociopol | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 1–31 January 2019 | PNL | 5.0% | 4.8–5.2% | 4.8–5.2% | 4.7–5.3% | 4.6–5.4% |
| 11–30 January 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| 4–20 December 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 24 November–9 December 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 1–30 November 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| 26 October–12 November 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 October 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 3–4 October 2018 | Sociopol | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% | 2.9–5.5% | 2.6–6.1% |
| 20 September–1 October 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.9% |
| 1–30 September 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 22–27 September 2018 | Sociopol | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 7–20 August 2018 | Sociopol | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 23 June–1 July 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.1% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.0% |
| 1–30 June 2018 | IMAS | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
| 22–26 June 2018 | Sociopol România TV |
4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.3% | 2.9–5.5% | 2.6–6.0% |
| 28 May–8 June 2018 | Sociopol România TV |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 27 April–8 May 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 1–31 March 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 February–5 March 2018 | Sociopol STIRIPESURSE.RO |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 1–28 February 2018 | IMAS | 6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 3–10 January 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
5.8% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.6–7.4% | 4.2–7.9% |
| 24 November–7 December 2017 | Avangarde | 5.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.6–6.9% | 3.2–7.5% |
| 1–30 November 2017 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 22 September–5 October 2017 | Sociopol | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.0–4.3% | 1.8–4.8% |
| 1–30 September 2017 | IMAS | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 28 August–14 September 2017 | Sociopol | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 11–23 August 2017 | Avangarde | 5.1% | 4.2–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.7–7.0% | 3.3–7.6% |
| 15–22 June 2017 | Avangarde | 2.9% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.7–4.9% |
| 1–30 April 2017 | IMAS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–14 March 2017 | Sociopol | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 1–31 January 2017 | IMAS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 10% | 98% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 18% | 88% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 41% | 69% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 23% | 29% | Last Result |
| 6.5–7.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 21 seats (General Election of 21 December 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17 | 12–22 | 9–23 | 7–25 | 7–27 |
| 2–3 December 2020 | IRES | 12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–14 |
| 28–29 November 2020 | Sociopol | 21 | 17–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 | 15–28 |
| 22–28 November 2020 | IRSOP | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 11–23 |
| 6–27 November 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
16 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 | 11–23 |
| 20–25 November 2020 | Verifield | 19 | 16–22 | 15–24 | 15–24 | 13–26 |
| 11–18 November 2020 | ADS PER |
20 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 | 14–27 |
| 1–10 November 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
16 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 11–22 |
| 25–30 October 2020 | BCS PMP |
16 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| 7–28 October 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 11–24 |
| 8–11 October 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
16 | 13–20 | 12–21 | 12–22 | 11–24 |
| 7–23 September 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
19 | 16–22 | 15–24 | 14–24 | 13–26 |
| 6–26 August 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
20 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 | 14–27 |
| 29 July–5 August 2020 | CURS | 14 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 10–29 July 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
19 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–25 | 13–27 |
| 19–30 June 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
17 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 12–20 | 11–24 |
| 5–27 June 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
13 | 10–15 | 9–16 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| 8–27 May 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–25 |
| 15–26 May 2020 | Avangarde | 18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–25 |
| 15–20 May 2020 | INSCOP | 16 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 12–21 | 11–22 |
| 1–7 May 2020 | BCS | 5 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–7 | 2–8 |
| 6–24 April 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
19 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 15–25 | 13–27 |
| 11–15 April 2020 | BCS | 12 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 | 7–17 |
| 6–12 April 2020 | Avangarde STIRIPESURSE.RO |
14 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–19 | 9–21 |
| 5–26 March 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
15 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 11–28 February 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
15 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 | 10–23 |
| 13–31 January 2020 | IMAS Europa FM |
16 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–21 | 11–23 |
| 20–30 January 2020 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
17 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–24 |
| 13–18 December 2019 | Sociopol | 14 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 4–18 December 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
17 | 14–21 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 12–24 |
| 12–17 December 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 9–20 |
| 11–27 November 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
14 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–19 | 9–21 |
| 25 October–3 November 2019 | USR | 15 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 10–22 |
| 8–28 October 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
19 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 15–25 | 13–27 |
| 15–23 October 2019 | USR | |||||
| 12–19 October 2019 | BCS | 11 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 7–15 | 6–17 |
| 5–28 September 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 14–23 | 12–25 |
| 3–24 September 2019 | USR | |||||
| 16–20 September 2019 | Socio-Data | 17 | 14–20 | 13–22 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| 9–13 September 2019 | Socio-Data | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| 2–6 September 2019 | Socio-Data | 13 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| 19–31 August 2019 | Sociopol | 10 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 6–16 |
| 26–30 August 2019 | Verifield | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 26–30 August 2019 | Socio-Data | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| 5–28 August 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
15 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 19 July–5 August 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
13 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 15 July–2 August 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
14 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 7–23 July 2019 | BCS | 19 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–24 | 13–26 |
| 28 June–8 July 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
14 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–18 | 10–20 |
| 7–26 June 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 | 4–13 |
| 2–20 May 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
10 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 6–16 |
| 1–21 February 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
16 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 | 11–23 |
| 21 January–6 February 2019 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
17 | 15–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 11–24 |
| 21 January–5 February 2019 | INSCOP Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung |
17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| 28 January–4 February 2019 | Sociopol | 13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 1–31 January 2019 | PNL | 16 | 16–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 |
| 11–30 January 2019 | IMAS Europa FM |
13 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 | 9–21 |
| 4–20 December 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
15 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 24 November–9 December 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
20 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 16–26 | 14–27 |
| 1–30 November 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
20 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 16–26 | 14–28 |
| 26 October–12 November 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
|||||
| 1–31 October 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
16 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 | 11–23 |
| 3–4 October 2018 | Sociopol | 14 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 10–19 | 9–21 |
| 20 September–1 October 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
15 | 15–19 | 12–21 | 12–21 | 12–22 |
| 1–30 September 2018 | IMAS Europa FM |
20 | 15–23 | 14–24 | 14–25 | 13–26 |
| 22–27 September 2018 | Sociopol | 14 | 11–17 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 7–20 August 2018 | Sociopol | 14 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 23 June–1 July 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
17 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 13–22 | 12–24 |
| 1–30 June 2018 | IMAS | 17 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 | 12–23 |
| 22–26 June 2018 | Sociopol România TV |
13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–20 |
| 28 May–8 June 2018 | Sociopol România TV |
18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–25 |
| 27 April–8 May 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
20 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 | 15–29 |
| 1–31 March 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
|||||
| 27 February–5 March 2018 | Sociopol STIRIPESURSE.RO |
21 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 16–26 | 14–28 |
| 1–28 February 2018 | IMAS | 21 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 | 15–29 |
| 3–10 January 2018 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
22 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 16–27 | 15–30 |
| 24 November–7 December 2017 | Avangarde | 18 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–24 | 11–26 |
| 1–30 November 2017 | CURS STIRIPESURSE.RO |
20 | 17–24 | 17–25 | 16–26 | 15–28 |
| 22 September–5 October 2017 | Sociopol | 10 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–15 | 6–16 |
| 1–30 September 2017 | IMAS | 19 | 15–21 | 14–23 | 14–25 | 12–26 |
| 28 August–14 September 2017 | Sociopol | 14 | 11–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 11–23 August 2017 | Avangarde | 19 | 15–23 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 12–28 |
| 15–22 June 2017 | Avangarde | 9 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 | 5–16 |
| 1–30 April 2017 | IMAS | |||||
| 6–14 March 2017 | Sociopol | 17 | 13–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 | 12–24 |
| 1–31 January 2017 | IMAS |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 9 | 3% | 97% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 12 | 9% | 93% | |
| 13 | 3% | 84% | |
| 14 | 5% | 81% | |
| 15 | 8% | 75% | |
| 16 | 10% | 67% | |
| 17 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 18 | 10% | 47% | |
| 19 | 9% | 37% | |
| 20 | 8% | 28% | |
| 21 | 7% | 20% | Last Result |
| 22 | 5% | 13% | |
| 23 | 4% | 8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 4% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |