Bloco de Esquerda
Voting Intentions
Last result: 10.2% (General Election of 4 October 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.8% | 8.4–11.0% | 7.9–11.4% | 7.6–11.7% | 6.9–12.3% |
| 30 September–3 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
9.2% | 7.8–10.9% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.8% | 6.5–12.6% |
| 29 September–2 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
9.2% | 7.8–10.9% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.8% | 6.5–12.6% |
| 26 September–2 October 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
10.7% | 9.9–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.4–12.1% | 9.1–12.5% |
| 28 September–1 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
8.8% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.1–11.0% | 6.8–11.4% | 6.2–12.2% |
| 26 September–1 October 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 25 September–1 October 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal |
9.6% | 8.8–10.5% | 8.6–10.7% | 8.4–11.0% | 8.0–11.4% |
| 27–30 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
9.5% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.7–11.7% | 7.4–12.1% | 6.8–13.0% |
| 26–29 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
9.2% | 7.8–10.9% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.8% | 6.5–12.6% |
| 23–29 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
10.2% | 9.2–11.3% | 8.9–11.6% | 8.6–11.9% | 8.2–12.5% |
| 26–29 September 2019 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
9.9% | 9.2–10.6% | 9.1–10.8% | 8.9–11.0% | 8.6–11.3% |
| 25–28 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.0% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% | 7.8–12.7% | 7.2–13.5% |
| 24–27 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.3% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.5–12.6% | 8.1–13.0% | 7.5–13.9% |
| 23–26 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.2% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.3–12.4% | 8.0–12.8% | 7.4–13.7% |
| 22–25 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.7% | 9.2–12.5% | 8.8–13.0% | 8.4–13.4% | 7.8–14.3% |
| 21–25 September 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
11.0% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.1–13.3% | 8.7–13.8% | 8.1–14.7% |
| 21–24 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.7% | 9.2–12.5% | 8.8–13.0% | 8.4–13.4% | 7.8–14.3% |
| 20–23 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.5% | 9.0–12.3% | 8.6–12.8% | 8.3–13.2% | 7.6–14.1% |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.3% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.5–12.6% | 8.1–13.0% | 7.5–13.9% |
| 18–21 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
9.7% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.9–11.9% | 7.5–12.3% | 6.9–13.2% |
| 17–20 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
8.8% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.1–11.0% | 6.8–11.4% | 6.2–12.2% |
| 9–12 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.1% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.3–12.3% | 7.9–12.8% | 7.3–13.6% |
| 7–12 September 2019 | Eurosondagem | 9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.5–10.7% | 8.3–10.9% | 8.0–11.3% |
| 2–11 September 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.7% | 8.5–11.2% | 8.2–11.6% | 7.9–12.0% | 7.3–12.7% |
| 1–8 September 2019 | Aximage | 10.2% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.4–12.2% | 7.9–12.9% |
| 24 August–5 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.8% |
| 1–5 September 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 12–24 August 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10.0% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.2–12.2% |
| 18–28 July 2019 | Multidados TVI |
14.8% | 13.2–16.5% | 12.8–17.0% | 12.5–17.4% | 11.8–18.2% |
| 12–15 July 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.3% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.6–11.5% | 7.2–11.9% | 6.6–12.8% |
| 8–14 July 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
9.2% | 8.0–10.7% | 7.7–11.1% | 7.4–11.5% | 6.9–12.2% |
| 7–11 July 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 15–27 June 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
10.9% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.2–12.8% | 8.9–13.2% | 8.3–14.0% |
| 13–19 June 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.9% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.2–11.1% | 6.9–11.5% | 6.3–12.3% |
| 2–6 June 2019 | Eurosondagem | 9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 16–22 May 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.2% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.5–11.3% | 7.1–11.7% | 6.5–12.5% |
| 10–19 May 2019 | Pitagórica | 8.3% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.6–10.3% | 6.3–10.7% | 5.8–11.6% |
| 16–19 May 2019 | CESOP–UCP | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.4–10.8% |
| 7–12 May 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.6–11.9% |
| 3–13 April 2019 | Pitagórica | 8.3% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.6–10.3% | 6.3–10.7% | 5.8–11.6% |
| 7–11 April 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7.8% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 30 March–1 April 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.5% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.5–11.0% | 5.9–11.8% |
| 10–14 March 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.2–10.6% |
| 9–13 March 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.2% | 7.8–10.9% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.8% | 6.5–12.6% |
| 9–21 February 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 5–10 February 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
9.0% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–11.1% | 6.9–11.5% | 6.3–12.4% |
| 2–9 January 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| 4–7 January 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
8.9% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.2–11.0% | 6.9–11.4% | 6.3–12.3% |
| 7–11 December 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
10.0% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% | 7.8–12.6% | 7.2–13.5% |
| 7–14 November 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7.7% | 6.7–8.8% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.7–10.1% |
| 9–12 November 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
9.1% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.7% | 6.5–12.5% |
| 1–3 October 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
9.2% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.7% | 6.5–12.6% |
| 5–12 September 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 1–2 September 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
7.8% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.2–9.8% | 5.9–10.2% | 5.4–11.0% |
| 13–16 July 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
9.5% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.7–11.7% | 7.4–12.1% | 6.8–13.0% |
| 4–11 July 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.3% |
| 9–12 June 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
10.3% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.5–12.6% | 8.1–13.0% | 7.5–13.9% |
| 3–9 May 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 5–9 May 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
10.0% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% | 7.8–12.7% | 7.2–13.5% |
| 8–12 April 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
10.0% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% | 7.8–12.7% | 7.2–13.5% |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
9.9% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.1–12.1% | 7.8–12.6% | 7.1–13.4% |
| 3–6 February 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
8.8% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.1–10.9% | 6.8–11.3% | 6.2–12.2% |
| 14–17 January 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
8.5% | 7.5–9.8% | 7.2–10.1% | 7.0–10.4% | 6.5–11.1% |
| 6–9 January 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
9.2% | 7.8–10.9% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.8% | 6.5–12.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 98% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 27% | 88% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 39% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 18% | 22% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 4 October 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 15–25 | 12–26 |
| 30 September–3 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
18 | 15–24 | 14–25 | 12–25 | 10–28 |
| 29 September–2 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
18 | 16–23 | 14–24 | 12–24 | 10–27 |
| 26 September–2 October 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
24 | 21–25 | 19–25 | 19–25 | 18–27 |
| 28 September–1 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
17 | 15–21 | 13–24 | 12–24 | 10–26 |
| 26 September–1 October 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 16–21 | 15–23 | 14–23 | 11–24 |
| 25 September–1 October 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal |
19 | 18–23 | 18–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 |
| 27–30 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
20 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 14–26 | 11–28 |
| 26–29 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
20 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 14–25 | 10–27 |
| 23–29 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
22 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–26 |
| 26–29 September 2019 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
21 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 18–24 |
| 25–28 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
21 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 16–27 | 14–28 |
| 24–27 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
22 | 18–26 | 17–27 | 17–28 | 15–32 |
| 23–26 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
23 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 16–28 | 14–30 |
| 22–25 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
23 | 18–26 | 18–28 | 17–29 | 16–33 |
| 21–25 September 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
24 | 19–28 | 18–28 | 18–30 | 17–38 |
| 21–24 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
22 | 18–27 | 18–28 | 18–30 | 17–34 |
| 20–23 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
23 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–27 | 14–32 |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
22 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 17–27 | 15–29 |
| 18–21 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
19 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 14–24 | 13–28 |
| 17–20 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
18 | 13–22 | 13–24 | 10–24 | 10–25 |
| 9–12 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
22 | 18–25 | 17–27 | 16–28 | 13–30 |
| 7–12 September 2019 | Eurosondagem | 20 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 |
| 2–11 September 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
20 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–26 | 14–28 |
| 1–8 September 2019 | Aximage | 24 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–28 | 17–31 |
| 24 August–5 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
19 | 17–24 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 12–28 |
| 1–5 September 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
18 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 13–26 |
| 12–24 August 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
22 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 18–28 July 2019 | Multidados TVI |
38 | 29–41 | 28–42 | 28–44 | 26–48 |
| 12–15 July 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
20 | 17–25 | 16–26 | 15–27 | 12–29 |
| 8–14 July 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
18 | 17–22 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 13–25 |
| 7–11 July 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
18 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 13–26 |
| 15–27 June 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
28 | 20–28 | 19–29 | 18–29 | 17–32 |
| 13–19 June 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
19 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 14–26 | 10–28 |
| 2–6 June 2019 | Eurosondagem | 19 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 13–26 |
| 16–22 May 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 16–24 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 10–28 |
| 10–19 May 2019 | Pitagórica | 17 | 14–21 | 11–23 | 10–24 | 9–25 |
| 16–19 May 2019 | CESOP–UCP | 17 | 15–18 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 12–22 |
| 7–12 May 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
18 | 15–22 | 13–23 | 12–24 | 10–25 |
| 3–13 April 2019 | Pitagórica | 17 | 13–21 | 11–23 | 10–24 | 9–25 |
| 7–11 April 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
15 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–21 |
| 30 March–1 April 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 13–23 | 12–24 | 11–24 | 10–26 |
| 10–14 March 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–21 | 10–23 |
| 9–13 March 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
19 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 | 10–27 |
| 9–21 February 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
15 | 12–19 | 10–22 | 10–22 | 10–23 |
| 5–10 February 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 14–23 | 13–24 | 12–25 | 10–27 |
| 2–9 January 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
15 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 4–7 January 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 14–22 | 13–24 | 11–24 | 10–26 |
| 7–11 December 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
22 | 18–25 | 16–27 | 15–27 | 13–29 |
| 7–14 November 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
14 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–19 |
| 9–12 November 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 15–24 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 10–27 |
| 1–3 October 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 16–23 | 14–24 | 13–24 | 10–27 |
| 5–12 September 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
15 | 12–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–21 |
| 1–2 September 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
15 | 10–18 | 10–19 | 9–22 | 8–24 |
| 13–16 July 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 16–24 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 11–27 |
| 4–11 July 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
14 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 10–20 |
| 9–12 June 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
23 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–27 | 14–30 |
| 3–9 May 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
15 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–21 |
| 5–9 May 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
20 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 15–27 | 12–28 |
| 8–12 April 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
20 | 18–24 | 17–26 | 15–27 | 12–28 |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
13 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 10–18 | 9–20 |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
20 | 18–25 | 16–26 | 15–27 | 12–28 |
| 3–6 February 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 13–22 | 12–23 | 11–24 | 10–26 |
| 14–17 January 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
17 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 11–22 | 10–24 |
| 6–9 January 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
18 | 15–24 | 14–24 | 13–25 | 10–27 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 15 | 2% | 98% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 17 | 7% | 95% | |
| 18 | 20% | 88% | |
| 19 | 14% | 68% | Last Result |
| 20 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 21 | 8% | 47% | |
| 22 | 6% | 40% | |
| 23 | 16% | 34% | |
| 24 | 15% | 18% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |