Pessoas–Animais–Natureza
Voting Intentions
Last result: 1.4% (General Election of 4 October 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.9% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.7–6.3% | 2.5–6.6% | 2.3–7.3% |
| 30 September–3 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4.8% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.6–6.5% | 3.4–6.9% | 3.0–7.5% |
| 29 September–2 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–6.0% | 3.0–6.3% | 2.6–6.9% |
| 26 September–2 October 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
3.8% | 3.3–4.4% | 3.2–4.5% | 3.0–4.7% | 2.8–5.0% |
| 28 September–1 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% | 2.6–5.7% | 2.2–6.3% |
| 26 September–1 October 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 25 September–1 October 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| 27–30 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.8–4.5% | 1.5–5.1% |
| 26–29 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.2% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.5% |
| 23–29 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
3.1% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.0–4.5% |
| 26–29 September 2019 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
3.0% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% |
| 25–28 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.2% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.5% |
| 24–27 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.2% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.5% |
| 23–26 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| 22–25 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.2–5.1% | 1.8–5.7% |
| 21–25 September 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
3.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| 21–24 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.0% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.9–4.7% | 1.6–5.3% |
| 20–23 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.2–5.1% | 1.8–5.7% |
| 18–21 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.2% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.5% |
| 17–20 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| 9–12 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% | 2.0–4.9% | 1.7–5.5% |
| 7–12 September 2019 | Eurosondagem | 4.5% | 3.9–5.1% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.4–5.8% |
| 2–11 September 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
5.2% | 4.4–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.9–7.0% | 3.5–7.6% |
| 1–8 September 2019 | Aximage | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 24 August–5 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
| 1–5 September 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 12–24 August 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.2% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.6% |
| 18–28 July 2019 | Multidados TVI |
7.9% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.5–9.6% | 6.2–10.0% | 5.7–10.6% |
| 12–15 July 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
4.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.6% | 2.7–5.9% | 2.3–6.5% |
| 8–14 July 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% |
| 7–11 July 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
4.3% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 15–27 June 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
| 13–19 June 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
4.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.0–5.7% | 2.8–6.0% | 2.4–6.7% |
| 2–6 June 2019 | Eurosondagem | 4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 16–22 May 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1.4% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.8–2.7% | 0.6–3.2% |
| 10–19 May 2019 | Pitagórica | 3.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| 16–19 May 2019 | CESOP–UCP | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
| 7–12 May 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.2–3.2% | 1.0–3.6% |
| 3–13 April 2019 | Pitagórica | 2.8% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% | 1.8–4.5% | 1.5–5.0% |
| 7–11 April 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
2.5% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| 30 March–1 April 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 March 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
2.4% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 9–13 March 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
2.2% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.4% | 1.3–3.7% | 1.0–4.2% |
| 9–21 February 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| 5–10 February 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
2.5% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.8% | 1.5–4.1% | 1.2–4.6% |
| 2–9 January 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 4–7 January 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
3.5% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% | 2.3–5.2% | 2.0–5.8% |
| 7–11 December 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–14 November 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.8% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 0.9–3.1% |
| 9–12 November 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 October 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 September 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| 1–2 September 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 July 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 July 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.1% | 0.8–1.6% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.2% |
| 9–12 June 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 May 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.7% |
| 5–9 May 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 April 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 March 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.4% | 0.7–2.8% |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 February 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 January 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1.8% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.6% | 1.1–2.8% | 0.9–3.1% |
| 6–9 January 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Pessoas–Animais–Natureza.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1.5–2.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 34% | 97% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 34% | 64% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 16% | 30% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 11% | 14% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 4 October 2015)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 3–12 | 2–15 |
| 30 September–3 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
6 | 4–10 | 4–12 | 4–13 | 3–15 |
| 29 September–2 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
6 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 3–9 | 2–12 |
| 26 September–2 October 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 28 September–1 October 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 26 September–1 October 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9 | 6–12 | 6–13 | 6–14 | 6–17 |
| 25 September–1 October 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal |
6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–8 |
| 27–30 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| 26–29 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–8 |
| 23–29 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
3 | 3–4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 26–29 September 2019 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 25–28 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–9 |
| 24–27 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–7 |
| 23–26 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
6 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 22–25 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–9 |
| 21–25 September 2019 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 21–24 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–8 |
| 20–23 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–7 | 2–9 |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
5 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–9 |
| 18–21 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 1–8 |
| 17–20 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 9–12 September 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–8 |
| 7–12 September 2019 | Eurosondagem | 6 | 6–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 2–11 September 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6 | 6–10 | 6–12 | 5–13 | 4–14 |
| 1–8 September 2019 | Aximage | 7 | 6–9 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 4–15 |
| 24 August–5 September 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
6 | 4–6 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 3–9 |
| 1–5 September 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
6 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 3–11 |
| 12–24 August 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
4 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 18–28 July 2019 | Multidados TVI |
17 | 13–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 | 9–23 |
| 12–15 July 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6 | 4–8 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–13 |
| 8–14 July 2019 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 2–8 |
| 7–11 July 2019 | Eurosondagem Associação Mutualista Montepio |
6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 3–10 |
| 15–27 June 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
5 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 3–9 | 2–9 |
| 13–19 June 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
6 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 2–13 |
| 2–6 June 2019 | Eurosondagem | 7 | 6–9 | 5–9 | 4–11 | 4–13 |
| 16–22 May 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 10–19 May 2019 | Pitagórica | 4 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 2–8 | 2–10 |
| 16–19 May 2019 | CESOP–UCP | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–6 |
| 7–12 May 2019 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 3–13 April 2019 | Pitagórica | 3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 1–6 | 1–7 |
| 7–11 April 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
2 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–6 |
| 30 March–1 April 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
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| 10–14 March 2019 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
2 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
| 9–13 March 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
2 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 0–6 |
| 9–21 February 2019 | GfK Metris Expresso and SIC Notícias |
3 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 5–10 February 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
3 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 1–6 | 1–6 |
| 2–9 January 2019 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 4–7 January 2019 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
4 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–9 |
| 7–11 December 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
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| 7–14 November 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 9–12 November 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 1–3 October 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 5–12 September 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 1–2 September 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 13–16 July 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 4–11 July 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 9–12 June 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 3–9 May 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 5–9 May 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 8–12 April 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 8–14 March 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 3–6 February 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
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| 14–17 January 2018 | Eurosondagem Expresso and SIC Notícias |
1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 6–9 January 2018 | Aximage Correio da Manhã |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Pessoas–Animais–Natureza.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 17% | 98% | |
| 4 | 26% | 81% | |
| 5 | 5% | 55% | |
| 6 | 29% | 50% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 21% | |
| 8 | 5% | 18% | |
| 9 | 8% | 13% | |
| 10 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 12 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |