Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 8.0% (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 11.7% 9.9–13.5% 9.5–13.9% 9.1–14.3% 8.5–15.1%
11–13 February 2020 AKO 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 12.2% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.3–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
3–6 February 2020 AKO 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–14.0% 9.4–14.6%
24–31 January 2020 MVK 12.7% 11.5–14.1% 11.2–14.5% 10.9–14.8% 10.3–15.5%
23–30 January 2020 Polis 11.1% 10.0–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.4–13.1% 8.9–13.7%
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 12.8% 11.6–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.8%
15–17 January 2020 AKO 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
10–15 January 2020 Polis 12.4% 11.2–13.7% 10.9–14.1% 10.6–14.4% 10.0–15.1%
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 13.6% 12.3–15.0% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.6%
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.1–13.5% 9.8–13.9% 9.3–14.5%
7–11 December 2019 Polis 12.2% 11.0–13.5% 10.7–13.9% 10.4–14.3% 9.9–14.9%
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 10.0–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
19–25 November 2019 AKO 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.1–13.1%
9–13 November 2019 Polis 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.8%
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.1–13.0%
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
7–10 October 2019 AKO 12.3% 11.1–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.5% 9.8–15.2%
18–25 September 2019 AKO 10.8% 9.6–12.2% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.9% 8.5–13.6%
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 10.6% 9.5–11.9% 9.1–12.3% 8.9–12.7% 8.4–13.3%
26–29 August 2019 AKO 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
12 August 2019 MVK 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 12.1% 10.8–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 12.6% 11.4–14.0% 11.0–14.4% 10.7–14.8% 10.1–15.5%
11–18 June 2019 Polis 11.4% 10.3–12.7% 10.0–13.1% 9.7–13.4% 9.2–14.0%
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 12.5% 11.2–13.9% 10.9–14.3% 10.6–14.7% 10.0–15.4%
28–31 May 2019 AKO 14.9% 13.5–16.4% 13.2–16.9% 12.8–17.3% 12.2–18.0%
8–10 May 2019 AKO 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.6%
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 13.9% 12.6–15.4% 12.2–15.8% 11.9–16.2% 11.3–16.9%
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
1–2 April 2019 AKO 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 13.0% 12.0–14.2% 11.7–14.5% 11.4–14.8% 11.0–15.3%
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 11.7% 10.5–13.1% 10.2–13.5% 9.9–13.9% 9.4–14.6%
8–12 February 2019 AKO 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.2% 7.8–11.5% 7.3–12.1%
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 8.4% 7.4–9.6% 7.1–10.0% 6.8–10.3% 6.4–10.9%
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
27–28 November 2018 AKO 9.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
13–15 November 2018 AKO 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
3–8 October 2018 AKO 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.5–11.1%
15–17 August 2018 AKO 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.7–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 7.9–12.8%
18–21 June 2018 AKO 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.9%
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 9.7% 8.6–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.3%
16–21 May 2018 AKO 10.4% 9.3–11.7% 8.9–12.1% 8.7–12.5% 8.1–13.1%
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
20–24 April 2018 AKO 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.8–12.0% 8.6–12.3% 8.0–13.0%
4–7 April 2018 AKO 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 10.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.9–12.8%
21–26 February 2018 AKO 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.8–9.6% 6.6–10.0% 6.1–10.6%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0.6% 100% Last Result
8.5–9.5% 5% 99.4%  
9.5–10.5% 16% 94%  
10.5–11.5% 25% 78%  
11.5–12.5% 26% 53% Median
12.5–13.5% 18% 27%  
13.5–14.5% 7% 9%  
14.5–15.5% 1.4% 2%  
15.5–16.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 14 seats (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 21 18–25 17–26 17–28 15–29
11–13 February 2020 AKO 18 17–22 16–23 15–23 14–25
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 23 20–26 20–27 20–29 18–30
3–6 February 2020 AKO 22 21–22 18–22 18–23 18–26
24–31 January 2020 MVK 23 21–26 20–28 19–28 18–29
23–30 January 2020 Polis 21 18–22 17–23 16–25 16–26
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 23 20–25 19–25 19–26 19–27
15–17 January 2020 AKO 21 17–24 17–25 17–25 16–26
10–15 January 2020 Polis 22 20–26 19–29 18–29 18–29
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 25 22–28 22–29 21–30 20–32
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 21 19–24 18–25 17–25 16–27
7–11 December 2019 Polis 23 21–24 20–25 19–27 16–28
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 22 20–27 20–27 19–27 18–27
19–25 November 2019 AKO 18 18 17–18 17–19 15–21
9–13 November 2019 Polis 20 19–26 17–26 17–26 16–27
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 18 17–21 16–22 15–23 14–24
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 18 16–20 15–22 15–23 14–24
7–10 October 2019 AKO 22 19–24 18–25 18–25 16–27
18–25 September 2019 AKO 20 17–22 16–22 15–22 14–22
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 17 17–22 16–22 15–22 15–23
26–29 August 2019 AKO 18 16–19 15–21 14–21 14–22
12 August 2019 MVK 15 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 20 18–24 18–25 17–25 17–26
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 21 20–25 19–25 18–26 17–28
11–18 June 2019 Polis 21 19–24 18–24 17–26 16–26
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 21 19–23 18–24 18–25 17–27
28–31 May 2019 AKO 25 22–26 21–27 21–28 19–29
8–10 May 2019 AKO 21 19–24 19–24 18–25 17–27
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 23 20–25 19–25 19–26 17–27
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 18 16–21 15–22 15–22 14–23
1–2 April 2019 AKO 18 17–20 16–21 15–22 14–23
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 22 20–24 20–25 19–25 18–26
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 20 17–22 17–23 16–23 15–25
8–12 February 2019 AKO 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 14 13–16 12–17 12–18 11–19
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 16 14–18 14–19 13–19 12–21
27–28 November 2018 AKO 15 13–18 13–18 12–19 11–20
13–15 November 2018 AKO 14 11–15 11–16 9–16 9–17
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 17 14–19 14–20 13–21 13–22
3–8 October 2018 AKO 19 17–20 16–21 15–22 14–23
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 18 15–21 15–22 14–23 14–24
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 15 13–17 12–17 12–18 11–18
15–17 August 2018 AKO 20 16–20 15–20 15–21 15–23
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 18 16–20 15–21 15–21 14–22
18–21 June 2018 AKO 17 17–20 16–21 16–22 15–23
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 17 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–22
16–21 May 2018 AKO 18 15–19 15–20 14–21 13–22
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 17 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–21
20–24 April 2018 AKO 18 15–19 15–19 15–20 13–21
4–7 April 2018 AKO 17 15–19 14–19 14–20 12–21
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 18 14–19 14–20 14–21 13–23
21–26 February 2018 AKO 14 12–15 11–15 11–16 10–17
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 14 11–16 11–16 11–17 10–18

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Kotleba–Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.3% 100% Last Result
15 0.6% 99.7%  
16 1.4% 99.1%  
17 8% 98%  
18 7% 90%  
19 3% 83%  
20 7% 80%  
21 33% 73% Median
22 10% 40%  
23 10% 30%  
24 7% 20%  
25 7% 13%  
26 2% 6%  
27 2% 5%  
28 2% 3%  
29 0.8% 1.0%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0.1%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%