Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9.0% 7.7–10.4% 7.4–10.7% 7.1–11.1% 6.6–11.7%
11–13 February 2020 AKO 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 9.3% 8.2–10.5% 7.9–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.9%
3–6 February 2020 AKO 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
24–31 January 2020 MVK 8.1% 7.1–9.3% 6.9–9.6% 6.6–9.9% 6.2–10.4%
23–30 January 2020 Polis 9.1% 8.1–10.3% 7.8–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.1–11.6%
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 9.8% 8.7–11.1% 8.4–11.4% 8.1–11.8% 7.6–12.4%
15–17 January 2020 AKO 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
10–15 January 2020 Polis 8.4% 7.5–9.6% 7.2–9.9% 6.9–10.2% 6.5–10.8%
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 10.5% 9.3–11.8% 9.0–12.2% 8.7–12.5% 8.2–13.2%
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 9.1% 8.0–10.4% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.1% 7.0–11.7%
7–11 December 2019 Polis 9.5% 8.4–10.7% 8.1–11.0% 7.9–11.3% 7.4–11.9%
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 10.3% 9.2–11.6% 8.9–12.0% 8.6–12.4% 8.1–13.0%
19–25 November 2019 AKO 12.4% 11.1–13.8% 10.8–14.2% 10.5–14.6% 9.9–15.3%
9–13 November 2019 Polis 11.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.8% 9.3–13.2% 8.7–13.8%
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 11.7% 10.5–13.0% 10.1–13.4% 9.8–13.8% 9.3–14.5%
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 11.0% 9.8–12.3% 9.5–12.7% 9.2–13.0% 8.7–13.7%
7–10 October 2019 AKO 12.7% 11.4–14.1% 11.1–14.6% 10.8–14.9% 10.2–15.6%
18–25 September 2019 AKO 17.1% 15.7–18.7% 15.2–19.2% 14.9–19.6% 14.2–20.4%
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 13.3% 12.1–14.8% 11.7–15.2% 11.4–15.6% 10.8–16.3%
26–29 August 2019 AKO 14.5% 13.2–16.0% 12.8–16.4% 12.5–16.8% 11.8–17.6%
12 August 2019 MVK 13.3% 12.0–14.8% 11.6–15.2% 11.3–15.6% 10.7–16.3%
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 14.0% 12.7–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 12.0–16.3% 11.4–17.0%
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 15.7% 14.4–17.3% 14.0–17.7% 13.6–18.1% 13.0–18.9%
11–18 June 2019 Polis 15.0% 13.7–16.4% 13.4–16.8% 13.1–17.2% 12.5–17.9%
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 17.8% 16.3–19.4% 15.9–19.9% 15.6–20.3% 14.9–21.1%
28–31 May 2019 AKO 18.0% 16.5–19.6% 16.1–20.1% 15.7–20.5% 15.0–21.3%
8–10 May 2019 AKO 13.6% 12.3–15.1% 11.9–15.5% 11.6–15.9% 11.0–16.6%
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 13.7% 12.4–15.2% 12.0–15.6% 11.7–16.0% 11.1–16.7%
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 13.0% 11.7–14.4% 11.3–14.8% 11.0–15.2% 10.5–15.9%
1–2 April 2019 AKO 14.4% 13.1–15.9% 12.7–16.3% 12.4–16.7% 11.7–17.5%
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 8.0% 7.2–8.9% 7.0–9.2% 6.8–9.4% 6.4–9.9%
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 9.5% 8.4–10.8% 8.1–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.1%
8–12 February 2019 AKO 7.5% 6.5–8.7% 6.2–9.0% 6.0–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–28 November 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 November 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–8 October 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–17 August 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 June 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 May 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–24 April 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 April 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–26 February 2018 AKO 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0.5% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 7% 99.5%  
7.5–8.5% 25% 93%  
8.5–9.5% 37% 68% Median
9.5–10.5% 23% 31%  
10.5–11.5% 6% 7%  
11.5–12.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 0%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 17 14–19 13–20 13–22 12–23
11–13 February 2020 AKO 18 15–19 14–20 14–20 13–21
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 18 15–22 15–22 15–22 13–24
3–6 February 2020 AKO 17 17 15–17 15–18 14–20
24–31 January 2020 MVK 15 13–17 13–17 12–18 12–19
23–30 January 2020 Polis 17 15–18 14–19 13–20 12–21
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 18 16–19 16–19 15–20 13–21
15–17 January 2020 AKO 19 17–20 16–22 15–23 14–26
10–15 January 2020 Polis 15 13–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 18 17–22 17–23 16–24 15–25
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 16 13–19 13–19 13–19 12–22
7–11 December 2019 Polis 17 14–19 13–19 13–20 12–21
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 20 18–21 17–22 17–22 15–24
19–25 November 2019 AKO 23 23 22–23 21–24 19–26
9–13 November 2019 Polis 19 17–25 17–25 17–26 17–28
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 22 20–24 20–25 18–26 17–30
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 21 17–23 17–23 17–23 15–26
7–10 October 2019 AKO 23 21–27 19–27 19–27 18–27
18–25 September 2019 AKO 29 27–32 26–32 25–33 23–34
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 23 21–25 21–26 20–27 19–28
26–29 August 2019 AKO 25 23–27 22–28 22–29 21–31
12 August 2019 MVK 24 22–26 21–27 20–28 19–29
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 24 22–26 21–27 21–28 20–30
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 27 24–31 23–32 23–33 22–33
11–18 June 2019 Polis 26 22–29 22–31 22–32 21–34
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 31 28–33 27–34 26–35 25–36
28–31 May 2019 AKO 29 27–32 26–32 25–34 24–35
8–10 May 2019 AKO 22 19–24 18–25 18–26 17–26
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–26
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 22 20–25 19–26 19–26 17–28
1–2 April 2019 AKO 23 21–25 20–27 20–27 18–28
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 13 12–15 12–15 11–16 11–17
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 16 14–19 13–19 13–19 12–21
8–12 February 2019 AKO 11 10–13 10–14 9–15 9–16
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS          
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS          
27–28 November 2018 AKO          
13–15 November 2018 AKO          
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS          
3–8 October 2018 AKO          
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS          
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO          
15–17 August 2018 AKO          
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS          
18–21 June 2018 AKO          
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS          
16–21 May 2018 AKO          
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS          
20–24 April 2018 AKO          
4–7 April 2018 AKO          
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS          
21–26 February 2018 AKO          
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Progresívne Slovensko–SPOLU–Občianska Demokracia.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0.1% 100%  
12 0.8% 99.9%  
13 6% 99.0%  
14 7% 93%  
15 14% 86%  
16 17% 71%  
17 22% 55% Median
18 11% 33%  
19 13% 21%  
20 4% 8%  
21 2% 4%  
22 2% 3%  
23 0.3% 0.6%  
24 0.2% 0.3%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%