Slovenská národná strana

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 8.6% (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 5.3% 4.1–6.5% 3.8–6.8% 3.6–7.1% 3.2–7.6%
11–13 February 2020 AKO 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.1%
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 4.4% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.3–5.8% 3.0–6.3%
3–6 February 2020 AKO 5.1% 4.3–6.1% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.6% 3.6–7.2%
24–31 January 2020 MVK 6.0% 5.2–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.7–7.5% 4.4–8.0%
23–30 January 2020 Polis 5.5% 4.7–6.5% 4.5–6.8% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.8% 3.7–7.3%
15–17 January 2020 AKO 5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
10–15 January 2020 Polis 6.3% 5.5–7.3% 5.2–7.6% 5.0–7.9% 4.7–8.4%
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 5.1% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.4% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 6.2% 5.3–7.3% 5.1–7.6% 4.9–7.9% 4.5–8.4%
7–11 December 2019 Polis 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.6–8.6% 5.2–9.2%
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 5.4% 4.5–6.4% 4.3–6.7% 4.1–6.9% 3.8–7.5%
19–25 November 2019 AKO 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
9–13 November 2019 Polis 6.1% 5.2–7.1% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.7% 4.4–8.3%
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.2–7.8% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
7–10 October 2019 AKO 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.0–8.1% 4.6–8.7%
18–25 September 2019 AKO 5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.5–7.0% 4.3–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 6.8% 5.9–7.9% 5.6–8.2% 5.4–8.5% 5.0–9.1%
26–29 August 2019 AKO 6.3% 5.4–7.4% 5.2–7.7% 5.0–8.0% 4.6–8.6%
12 August 2019 MVK 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.2–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 7.3% 6.4–8.5% 6.1–8.8% 5.9–9.1% 5.5–9.7%
11–18 June 2019 Polis 7.6% 6.7–8.7% 6.5–9.0% 6.2–9.3% 5.8–9.9%
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 7.2% 6.2–8.3% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–8.9% 5.3–9.5%
28–31 May 2019 AKO 7.2% 6.2–8.4% 6.0–8.7% 5.7–9.0% 5.3–9.6%
8–10 May 2019 AKO 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
1–2 April 2019 AKO 7.6% 6.6–8.8% 6.3–9.1% 6.1–9.4% 5.7–10.0%
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.7%
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 7.5% 6.6–8.7% 6.3–9.0% 6.1–9.3% 5.6–9.9%
8–12 February 2019 AKO 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.4%
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
27–28 November 2018 AKO 9.3% 8.2–10.6% 7.9–10.9% 7.7–11.3% 7.2–11.9%
13–15 November 2018 AKO 9.2% 8.1–10.5% 7.8–10.8% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.5% 6.5–9.8% 6.0–10.5%
3–8 October 2018 AKO 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 9.2% 8.1–10.4% 7.8–10.8% 7.5–11.1% 7.1–11.7%
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
15–17 August 2018 AKO 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.8–11.4% 7.3–12.0%
18–21 June 2018 AKO 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.7–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 9.8% 8.6–11.1% 8.3–11.4% 8.1–11.7% 7.6–12.4%
16–21 May 2018 AKO 10.1% 9.0–11.4% 8.6–11.8% 8.4–12.1% 7.9–12.8%
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 10.1% 9.0–11.5% 8.7–11.8% 8.4–12.2% 7.9–12.8%
20–24 April 2018 AKO 10.9% 9.7–12.3% 9.4–12.7% 9.1–13.0% 8.6–13.7%
4–7 April 2018 AKO 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 10.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.0% 7.8–12.7%
21–26 February 2018 AKO 9.9% 8.8–11.2% 8.5–11.6% 8.2–11.9% 7.7–12.6%
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 8.6% 7.6–9.8% 7.3–10.2% 7.0–10.5% 6.6–11.1%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Slovenská národná strana.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 2% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 20% 98%  
4.5–5.5% 39% 78% Median
5.5–6.5% 30% 39%  
6.5–7.5% 8% 9%  
7.5–8.5% 0.7% 0.7%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0% Last Result

Seats

Last result: 15 seats (General Election of 5 March 2016)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 9 0–12 0–12 0–13 0–14
11–13 February 2020 AKO 0 0–10 0–11 0–12 0–13
6–12 February 2020 FOCUS 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–11
3–6 February 2020 AKO 0 0–9 0–10 0–10 0–12
24–31 January 2020 MVK 11 0–12 0–13 0–14 0–15
23–30 January 2020 Polis 10 0–11 0–12 0–13 0–13
15–22 January 2020 FOCUS 9 9–10 0–10 0–11 0–14
15–17 January 2020 AKO 10 0–12 0–12 0–14 0–15
10–15 January 2020 Polis 11 9–14 9–14 9–14 0–16
10–14 January 2020 FOCUS 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
7–9 January 2020 AKO
TA3		 11 0–13 0–13 0–14 0–15
7–11 December 2019 Polis 13 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
2–9 December 2019 FOCUS 0 0–10 0–12 0–13 0–13
19–25 November 2019 AKO 12 12 10–12 0–13 0–14
9–13 November 2019 Polis 11 10–15 0–15 0–15 0–15
30 October–6 November 2019 FOCUS 12 11–16 10–16 10–16 0–16
15–22 October 2019 FOCUS 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 0–15
7–10 October 2019 AKO 13 10–14 10–14 9–14 0–15
18–25 September 2019 AKO 10 0–11 0–11 0–11 0–13
11–17 September 2019 FOCUS 13 9–14 0–15 0–15 0–16
26–29 August 2019 AKO 11 10–13 10–13 9–14 0–15
12 August 2019 MVK 15 13–17 13–18 12–19 11–20
1–7 August 2019 FOCUS 12 10–14 10–14 9–15 8–16
19–25 June 2019 FOCUS 13 11–15 10–15 10–16 9–17
11–18 June 2019 Polis 14 12–16 11–17 11–17 10–18
1–11 June 2019 FOCUS 12 11–14 10–15 10–15 9–17
28–31 May 2019 AKO 12 11–14 10–14 9–14 8–15
8–10 May 2019 AKO 13 11–15 11–15 10–16 10–17
29 April–6 May 2019 AKO 13 10–15 10–15 10–15 10–17
8–14 April 2019 FOCUS 13 11–15 11–16 11–17 10–18
1–2 April 2019 AKO 13 11–14 10–14 10–14 9–16
1–15 March 2019 FOCUS 10 9–11 9–12 0–12 0–13
21–26 February 2019 FOCUS 13 11–14 10–15 10–16 9–17
8–12 February 2019 AKO 13 11–15 11–15 10–15 9–17
16–23 January 2019 FOCUS 14 12–16 12–17 11–17 11–19
1–9 December 2018 FOCUS 16 13–18 13–19 13–20 12–21
27–28 November 2018 AKO 15 13–17 13–18 13–19 12–19
13–15 November 2018 AKO 17 13–19 13–19 13–19 12–20
7–14 November 2018 FOCUS 14 11–16 10–16 10–17 10–18
3–8 October 2018 AKO 16 15–19 14–19 14–20 13–21
18–25 September 2018 FOCUS 17 14–21 14–21 13–21 12–22
30 August–5 September 2018 AKO 19 17–20 17–21 16–21 15–21
15–17 August 2018 AKO 18 15–21 15–22 15–23 15–23
2–9 August 2018 FOCUS 17 14–18 14–19 13–20 13–21
18–21 June 2018 AKO 17 15–19 15–19 15–20 13–21
4–11 June 2018 FOCUS 18 15–20 15–21 14–21 13–23
16–21 May 2018 AKO 18 15–19 15–20 14–20 13–21
24–30 April 2018 FOCUS 19 17–21 16–21 16–22 15–23
20–24 April 2018 AKO 17 16–19 16–21 15–22 14–22
4–7 April 2018 AKO 18 15–20 15–21 15–21 14–23
7–13 March 2018 FOCUS 17 14–19 14–20 14–21 14–22
21–26 February 2018 AKO 16 13–18 13–18 13–19 12–20
23–28 January 2018 FOCUS 14 12–16 12–17 12–18 11–19

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Slovenská národná strana.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 0.1% 53%  
9 8% 53% Median
10 24% 45%  
11 10% 21%  
12 7% 11%  
13 2% 4%  
14 1.0% 1.2%  
15 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
16 0% 0%