Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 28.8% 26.8–30.7% 26.2–31.3% 25.6–31.8% 24.5–33.0%
22 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 29.3% 26.8–31.8% 26.2–32.6% 25.6–33.2% 24.5–34.5%
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.7–33.0%
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 28.3% 27.1–29.6% 26.8–29.9% 26.5–30.2% 25.9–30.8%
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.1–31.7% 25.2–32.6%
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.3–32.7%
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.7% 27.4–30.1% 27.0–30.5% 26.7–30.8% 26.1–31.4%
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 29.7% 28.4–31.0% 28.0–31.4% 27.7–31.7% 27.1–32.4%
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 27.0% 25.2–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
16–20 September 2024 InvyMark
laSexta		 30.1% 28.4–31.8% 28.0–32.3% 27.5–32.8% 26.8–33.6%
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 30.3% 28.5–32.2% 27.9–32.7% 27.5–33.2% 26.6–34.1%
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 30.6% 28.8–32.5% 28.3–33.0% 27.9–33.5% 27.0–34.4%
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 29.2% 27.4–31.1% 26.9–31.6% 26.5–32.1% 25.6–33.0%
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 29.6% 27.9–31.5% 27.4–32.0% 27.0–32.4% 26.2–33.3%
2–6 September 2024 CIS 33.0% 32.1–34.0% 31.8–34.2% 31.6–34.5% 31.1–34.9%
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29.1% 27.9–30.3% 27.6–30.7% 27.3–31.0% 26.7–31.6%
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.8% 27.6–30.0% 27.3–30.3% 27.0–30.7% 26.4–31.2%
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 28.7% 26.5–31.0% 25.9–31.7% 25.4–32.3% 24.3–33.4%
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 30.5% 29.2–31.9% 28.8–32.2% 28.5–32.6% 27.9–33.2%
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 30.5% 28.3–32.9% 27.6–33.6% 27.1–34.2% 26.0–35.4%
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 28.9% 27.6–30.2% 27.3–30.5% 27.0–30.9% 26.4–31.5%
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 30.7% 28.5–33.2% 27.8–33.8% 27.3–34.4% 26.2–35.6%
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 29.3% 27.7–31.1% 27.2–31.6% 26.8–32.0% 26.0–32.8%
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 29.9% 28.7–31.1% 28.4–31.4% 28.1–31.7% 27.6–32.3%
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 31.7% 29.4–34.1% 28.7–34.8% 28.2–35.4% 27.1–36.6%
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 29.9% 28.1–31.8% 27.6–32.3% 27.1–32.8% 26.3–33.7%
1–4 July 2024 CIS 32.9% 31.9–33.9% 31.7–34.1% 31.4–34.4% 31.0–34.8%
25–28 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 29.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 30.0% 28.7–31.3% 28.3–31.7% 28.0–32.1% 27.4–32.7%
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 31.2% 29.9–32.6% 29.5–32.9% 29.2–33.3% 28.6–33.9%
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 29.8% 27.5–32.1% 26.9–32.8% 26.4–33.4% 25.3–34.5%
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 31.7% 28.4–35.3% 27.5–36.3% 26.7–37.1% 25.1–38.9%
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 30.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0.1% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0.5% 99.9%  
24.5–25.5% 2% 99.5%  
25.5–26.5% 5% 98%  
26.5–27.5% 13% 92%  
27.5–28.5% 23% 79%  
28.5–29.5% 26% 56% Median
29.5–30.5% 18% 30%  
30.5–31.5% 8% 12%  
31.5–32.5% 3% 4%  
32.5–33.5% 0.7% 1.0%  
33.5–34.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
34.5–35.5% 0% 0.1%  
35.5–36.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 20 18–21 18–22 17–22 17–23
22 October 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 20 19–22 18–22 17–23 17–23
16–18 October 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 20 19–22 19–22 18–22 18–23
16–18 October 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 20 19–20 18–20 18–20 18–21
16–18 October 2024 DYM
Henneo		 20 19–22 19–22 18–22 18–23
8–11 October 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 19 18–21 18–21 18–21 17–22
20–27 September 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 20 19–21 19–21 19–21 18–21
25–27 September 2024 40dB
Prisa		 21 20–22 20–22 20–23 19–23
23–26 September 2024 GESOP
Prensa Ibérica		 18 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–21
16–20 September 2024 InvyMark
laSexta		 22 21–23 21–24 20–24 20–25
18–19 September 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 21 20–22 19–23 19–23 18–24
1–13 September 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 22 20–23 20–23 20–24 19–24
3–6 September 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 20 19–21 18–22 18–22 17–23
2–6 September 2024 Celeste-Tel
Onda Cero		 20 19–20 18–20 18–21 18–22
2–6 September 2024 CIS 24 23–24 22–24 22–24 22–24
26–31 August 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 20 20 19–20 19–21 18–22
22–29 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 20 18–20 18–21 18–21 17–21
20–23 August 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 20 20 19–20 18–21 18–22
19–23 August 2024 40dB
Prisa		 22 21–23 20–23 20–23 20–24
1–9 August 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 21 20–23 19–23 19–24 18–25
5–8 August 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 19 19–21 19–21 19–21 18–22
22 July 2024 Target Point
El Debate		 21 20–23 19–23 19–24 18–25
18–20 July 2024 SocioMétrica
El Español		 20 20–21 19–21 18–21 18–22
12–18 July 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 20 20–21 20–21 19–21 19–23
1–10 July 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		 22 20–24 20–24 20–24 19–25
1–4 July 2024 Hamalgama Métrica
VozPópuli		 20 19–21 19–21 18–22 18–22
1–4 July 2024 CIS 22 22–23 22–24 22–24 21–24
25–28 June 2024 Target Point
El Debate		          
21–28 June 2024 Sigma Dos
El Mundo		 22 22 22 21–22 19–23
21–24 June 2024 40dB
Prisa		 22 21–23 21–24 21–24 20–24
11–15 June 2024 NC Report
La Razón		 19 19–21 18–21 18–21 18–23
10–14 June 2024 Invymark
laSexta		 22 19–24 19–25 18–25 17–27
1–11 June 2024 Simple Lógica
elDiario.es		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.3% 100%  
17 3% 99.7%  
18 12% 97%  
19 22% 85%  
20 33% 63% Median
21 20% 30%  
22 8% 9%  
23 1.3% 1.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%