Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.2% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 6.5% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.2–7.9% | 5.0–8.2% | 4.6–8.8% |
6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 6.4% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.5% |
11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
6.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.3% | 4.9–8.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 11% | 99.6% | |
5.5–6.5% | 42% | 88% | Median |
6.5–7.5% | 35% | 46% | |
7.5–8.5% | 10% | 11% | |
8.5–9.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 2 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–2 |
11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
|||||
5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 2% | 100% | |
1 | 95% | 98% | Median |
2 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
3 | 0% | 0% |