PRO România
Voting Intentions
Last result: 4.1% (General Election of 6 December 2020)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1.8% | 0.9–2.6% | 0.8–2.8% | 0.7–3.0% | 0.5–3.4% |
26–30 December 2023 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.2% | 1.1–3.6% |
16–28 December 2023 | ARA Public Opinion | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.6–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
20–27 November 2023 | INSCOP News.ro |
2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
23 October–2 November 2023 | INSCOP News.ro |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.1% |
15–22 September 2023 | INSCOP News.ro |
1.5% | 1.2–2.0% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.2% | 0.9–2.5% |
12–22 September 2023 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
28–31 August 2023 | INSOMAR | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–20 July 2023 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
1–30 June 2023 | INSCOP | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1 May–30 June 2023 | Geeks for Democracy | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–27 May 2023 | CURS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–17 May 2023 | CURS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–20 March 2023 | CURS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–19 February 2023 | INSCOP | 2.4% | 2.1–2.8% | 2.0–2.9% | 1.9–3.0% | 1.8–3.2% |
1–13 February 2023 | INSCOP | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–30 January 2023 | Atlas Intel | 4.2% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.5–5.0% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.1–5.4% |
10–20 January 2023 | CURS | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
1–31 December 2022 | INSCOP | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–22 November 2022 | CURS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 October 2022 | Sociopol | 1.9% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.0–3.5% |
8–22 September 2022 | CURS | 3.9% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
1–31 August 2022 | Sociopol | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–17 August 2022 | CURS | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–31 July 2022 | Avangarde | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
22–30 June 2022 | Avangarde | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–26 May 2022 | CURS | 2.9% | 2.5–3.4% | 2.4–3.5% | 2.3–3.6% | 2.2–3.8% |
12–20 April 2022 | Avangarde | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28 March–11 April 2022 | CURS | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–4.0% |
22–29 March 2022 | Avangarde | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–11 March 2022 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.1–3.3% |
2–7 March 2022 | INSCOP | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–19 February 2022 | Sociopol | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
20–31 January 2022 | Avangarde | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–29 January 2022 | CURS | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
10–18 January 2022 | INSCOP | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.5% |
15–23 December 2021 | Avangarde | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
17–22 December 2021 | Sociopol | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
13–17 December 2021 | CURS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–24 November 2021 | Avangarde | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
17–22 November 2021 | CURS | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.8% |
25–30 October 2021 | CURS | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
17–26 October 2021 | Avangarde | 3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.8–4.8% |
15–25 October 2021 | INSCOP | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
12–20 October 2021 | CURS | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–17 October 2021 | INSCOP | 3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–15 October 2021 | Sociopol | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–29 September 2021 | Gazeta Civică | 5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.8% |
28 September 2021 | INSOMAR | 2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.8% |
15–27 September 2021 | INSCOP | 4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–21 September 2021 | Avangarde | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–10 September 2021 | CURS | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–5 September 2021 | CURS | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–24 August 2021 | Avangarde | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–20 August 2021 | CURS | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–19 August 2021 | IRES | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
1–15 July 2021 | Sociopol | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–15 July 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–18 June 2021 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
1–15 June 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
2.1% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
1–15 June 2021 | INSCOP | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.4% | 3.2–5.6% | 2.9–6.1% |
1–31 May 2021 | Sociopol | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 May 2021 | IRES | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–31 May 2021 | Avangarde | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7 May 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
14–17 April 2021 | CURS | 3.0% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
30 March–11 April 2021 | BCS | 2.9% | 2.4–3.6% | 2.2–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.2% |
12–28 March 2021 | Sociopol | 1.9% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% | 1.2–3.1% | 1.0–3.5% |
1–12 March 2021 | INSCOP | 4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.3–6.6% |
22–26 February 2021 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
9–11 February 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
1.0% | 0.7–1.5% | 0.6–1.6% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.4–2.1% |
15–17 January 2021 | Avangarde | 1.0% | 0.7–1.7% | 0.5–1.8% | 0.5–2.0% | 0.4–2.4% |
11–15 January 2021 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
17–21 December 2020 | CURS | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
10–20 December 2020 | Avangarde | 1.0% | 0.7–1.6% | 0.6–1.7% | 0.5–1.9% | 0.4–2.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for PRO România.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
0.5–1.5% | 36% | 99.3% | |
1.5–2.5% | 52% | 63% | Median |
2.5–3.5% | 11% | 11% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 6 December 2020)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26–30 December 2023 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16–28 December 2023 | ARA Public Opinion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–27 November 2023 | INSCOP News.ro |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 October–2 November 2023 | INSCOP News.ro |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–22 September 2023 | INSCOP News.ro |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–22 September 2023 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28–31 August 2023 | INSOMAR | |||||
8–20 July 2023 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–30 June 2023 | INSCOP | |||||
1 May–30 June 2023 | Geeks for Democracy | |||||
19–27 May 2023 | CURS | |||||
12–17 May 2023 | CURS | |||||
10–20 March 2023 | CURS | |||||
5–19 February 2023 | INSCOP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–13 February 2023 | INSCOP | |||||
27–30 January 2023 | Atlas Intel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–18 |
10–20 January 2023 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–22 |
1–31 December 2022 | INSCOP | |||||
8–22 November 2022 | CURS | |||||
1–31 October 2022 | Sociopol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–22 September 2022 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–21 |
1–31 August 2022 | Sociopol | |||||
5–17 August 2022 | CURS | |||||
22–31 July 2022 | Avangarde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22–30 June 2022 | Avangarde | |||||
16–26 May 2022 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–20 April 2022 | Avangarde | |||||
28 March–11 April 2022 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22–29 March 2022 | Avangarde | |||||
2–11 March 2022 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2–7 March 2022 | INSCOP | |||||
9–19 February 2022 | Sociopol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–31 January 2022 | Avangarde | |||||
22–29 January 2022 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–18 January 2022 | INSCOP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–23 December 2021 | Avangarde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–22 December 2021 | Sociopol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13–17 December 2021 | CURS | |||||
16–24 November 2021 | Avangarde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–22 November 2021 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0–17 | 0–18 | 0–19 |
25–30 October 2021 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–26 October 2021 | Avangarde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–25 October 2021 | INSCOP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–20 October 2021 | CURS | |||||
12–17 October 2021 | INSCOP | |||||
11–15 October 2021 | Sociopol | |||||
26–29 September 2021 | Gazeta Civică | 16 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 |
28 September 2021 | INSOMAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–27 September 2021 | INSCOP | |||||
14–21 September 2021 | Avangarde | |||||
8–10 September 2021 | CURS | |||||
3–5 September 2021 | CURS | |||||
20–24 August 2021 | Avangarde | |||||
12–20 August 2021 | CURS | |||||
15–19 August 2021 | IRES | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–15 July 2021 | Sociopol | |||||
1–15 July 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
|||||
11–18 June 2021 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–15 June 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–15 June 2021 | INSCOP | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–19 | 0–21 |
1–31 May 2021 | Sociopol | |||||
1–31 May 2021 | IRES | |||||
1–31 May 2021 | Avangarde | |||||
7 May 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
0 | 0 | 0–18 | 0–19 | 0–21 |
14–17 April 2021 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 March–11 April 2021 | BCS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–28 March 2021 | Sociopol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–12 March 2021 | INSCOP | 0 | 0–19 | 0–20 | 0–21 | 0–22 |
22–26 February 2021 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 February 2021 | INSOMAR Realitatea.net |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–17 January 2021 | Avangarde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–15 January 2021 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17–21 December 2020 | CURS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–20 December 2020 | Avangarde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for PRO România.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |