Coligação Democrática Unitária (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.6% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.3–5.6% | 2.0–6.5% |
| 28 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
4.0% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.0% | 2.5–6.4% | 2.1–7.2% |
| 21–27 November 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
3.3% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% | 2.1–5.1% | 1.8–5.7% |
| 15–22 November 2024 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.3% | 2.3–5.8% |
| 13–19 November 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
3.8% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.3% | 2.5–5.6% | 2.2–6.2% |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
3.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.2% | 2.4–5.5% | 2.1–6.1% |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
2.5% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.8% | 1.5–4.0% | 1.2–4.6% |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
3.5% | 2.8–4.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.0% | 2.1–5.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Coligação Democrática Unitária (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 7% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 42% | 93% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 36% | 51% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 12% | 15% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 December 2024–5 January 2025 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal, Jornal de Notícias, TSF and TVI |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 21–27 November 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–22 November 2024 | Aximage Folha Nacional |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–19 November 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
|||||
| 17–23 October 2024 | CESOP–UCP Antena 1, Público and RTP |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 October 2024 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 September–5 October 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 August–4 September 2024 | Intercampus CMTV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–26 July 2024 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–13 July 2024 | CESOP–UCP RTP |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Coligação Democrática Unitária (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 67% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 33% | 33% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |