Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.5% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.5% | 2.7–5.8% | 2.4–6.4% |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.6% |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Magyar Szövetség (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 27% | 98.7% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 46% | 72% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 22% | 26% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
|||||
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Magyar Szövetség (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 93% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 7% | 7% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |