Magyar Szövetség (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.5% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 4.0% | 3.1–4.9% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.7–5.5% | 2.4–6.0% |
| 13–21 October 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 15–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 8–17 October 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 1–5 October 2025 | NMS | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 8–22 September 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 17–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.3–5.2% |
| 10–17 September 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.3–5.7% | 3.0–6.2% |
| 3–7 September 2025 | NMS | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 15–19 August 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.4–5.4% |
| 6–19 August 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.6% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.0–5.3% | 3.9–5.4% | 3.7–5.7% |
| 5–11 August 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 6–10 August 2025 | NMS | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 8–15 July 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 7–13 July 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 16–19 June 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 11–19 June 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 2–9 June 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 June 2025 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 19–26 May 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 30 April–4 May 2025 | NMS | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 10–17 April 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 1–8 April 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | NMS | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 11–19 March 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 10–14 March 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.2% | 2.6–5.7% |
| 5–9 March 2025 | NMS TV Markíza |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 7–12 February 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 5–12 February 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 5–9 February 2025 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 27–31 January 2025 | CSV | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.8% |
| 14–24 January 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 11–17 January 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
4.8% | 4.1–5.8% | 3.8–6.1% | 3.7–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.1% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.5–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Magyar Szövetség (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 27% | 98.9% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 51% | 72% | Median |
| 4.5–5.5% | 19% | 21% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 13–21 October 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–20 October 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–17 October 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–5 October 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–22 September 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–21 September 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 10–17 September 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–7 September 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 15–19 August 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 6–19 August 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–11 August 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–10 August 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–15 July 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–13 July 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–19 June 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–19 June 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 2–9 June 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
|||||
| 4–8 June 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–26 May 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 12–18 May 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
|||||
| 12–16 May 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 30 April–4 May 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–17 April 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–8 April 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
|||||
| 2–6 April 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–19 March 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–14 March 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 5–9 March 2025 | NMS TV Markíza |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 7–12 February 2025 | Focus 360tka.sk |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–12 February 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–9 February 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 27–31 January 2025 | CSV | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–24 January 2025 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 11–17 January 2025 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 16–19 December 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–9 December 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–8 December 2024 | Focus 360tka |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–20 November 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–13 November 2024 | Focus 360tka |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 7–11 November 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 27 October–1 November 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 8–17 October 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 2–7 October 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 17–26 September 2024 | Focus | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 10–16 September 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 6–10 September 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–9 September 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–12 August 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–12 August 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
| 9–15 July 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–14 July 2024 | Focus | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–8 July 2024 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 June–1 July 2024 | Ipsos Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 11–18 June 2024 | AKO TV JOJ |
|||||
| 5–12 June 2024 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Magyar Szövetség (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 87% | 100% | Median |
| 1 | 13% | 13% | Last Result |
| 2 | 0% | 0% |