Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11.9% | 9.4–14.3% | 8.9–14.7% | 8.6–15.2% | 7.9–15.9% |
| 24–28 September 2025 | NMS Novinky |
13.1% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 22–28 September 2025 | Ipsos | 10.1% | 9.1–11.2% | 8.9–11.5% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.2–12.3% |
| 1–25 September 2025 | Median | 13.0% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.0–15.2% | 10.4–15.9% |
| 18–24 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.8% | 12.6–15.1% | 12.2–15.5% | 11.9–15.8% | 11.4–16.5% |
| 8–22 September 2025 | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 11.3% | 10.1–12.5% | 9.8–12.9% | 9.6–13.2% | 9.0–13.9% |
| 1–19 September 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
9.5% | 8.4–10.8% | 8.1–11.1% | 7.9–11.4% | 7.4–12.1% |
| 28 August–16 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.0% | 11.0–13.1% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.5–13.7% | 10.0–14.3% |
| 21 August–9 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.5% | 11.4–13.6% | 11.2–13.9% | 10.9–14.2% | 10.4–14.8% |
| 1–7 September 2025 | NMS | 12.3% | 11.0–13.7% | 10.7–14.1% | 10.4–14.5% | 9.8–15.2% |
| 14 August–2 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.6–14.4% | 11.3–14.7% | 10.8–15.2% |
| 1–31 August 2025 | Median | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 27–31 August 2025 | Ipsos | 11.5% | 10.3–12.8% | 10.0–13.2% | 9.7–13.5% | 9.2–14.2% |
| 7–26 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.8% | 11.8–13.9% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.6% | 10.7–15.1% |
| 4–22 August 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
10.5% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.0–12.2% | 8.8–12.5% | 8.2–13.2% |
| 31 July–19 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 July–12 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.1% | 11.1–13.2% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.6–13.8% | 10.1–14.4% |
| 17 July–5 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 August 2025 | NMS | 14.6% | 13.2–16.1% | 12.9–16.5% | 12.5–16.9% | 11.9–17.7% |
| 28 July–2 August 2025 | Ipsos | 11.4% | 10.2–12.7% | 9.8–13.1% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.1% |
| 1–31 July 2025 | Median | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
| 10–29 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.8% | 12.7–15.0% | 12.4–15.3% | 12.2–15.6% | 11.7–16.2% |
| 3–22 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 June–15 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 June–8 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 13.3% | 12.0–14.7% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 12 June–1 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 June 2025 | Median | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 June 2025 | Ipsos | 10.5% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.2% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.3–13.2% |
| 5–24 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–20 June 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
| 30 May–17 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–11 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 May–4 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
13.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–3 June 2025 | NMS | 16.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 May 2025 | Median | 13.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–30 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–27 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–20 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 May 2025 | NMS | 13.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18 April–6 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 April–4 May 2025 | Ipsos | 10.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 April–2 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Median | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–29 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
12.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–22 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
11.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 March–15 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 April 2025 | NMS | 12.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 March–8 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 March–4 April 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 March–1 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
10.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 March 2025 | Median | 7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 March 2025 | Ipsos | 9.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–25 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–18 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 February–11 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–5 March 2025 | NMS | 7.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14 February–4 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Median | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–28 February 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 February 2025 | Ipsos | 7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–25 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–18 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 January–11 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 February 2025 | NMS | 7.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 January–4 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–31 January 2025 | Median | 8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–31 January 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 January 2025 | Ipsos | 5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–28 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–21 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–14 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | 6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 November–31 December 2024 | Median | 4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 December 2024 | Phoenix Research | 9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2024 | NMS | 7.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 November 2024 | Median | 6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 November 2024 | NMS | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–10 November 2024 | Phoenix Research | 10.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
8.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21 October–8 November 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Median | 5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–11 October 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–11 October 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–9 October 2024 | NMS | 7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 September 2024 | Median | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–10 September 2024 | NMS | 7.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–8 September 2024 | STEM | 7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–8 September 2024 | Phoenix Research | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 August 2024 | Median | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–8 August 2024 | NMS | 6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 July 2024 | Phoenix Research | 5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 July 2024 | Median | 8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–12 July 2024 | NMS | 6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 June 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
7.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 June 2024 | Median | 8.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–21 June 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 10% | 98% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 17% | 87% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 15% | 70% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 19% | 40% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 14% | 21% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 24–28 September 2025 | NMS Novinky |
3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 22–28 September 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–25 September 2025 | Median | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 18–24 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 8–22 September 2025 | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–19 September 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
2 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 28 August–16 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 21 August–9 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 |
| 1–7 September 2025 | NMS | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 14 August–2 September 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 1–31 August 2025 | Median | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 27–31 August 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 7–26 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 4–22 August 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 31 July–19 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 24 July–12 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 17 July–5 August 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–5 August 2025 | NMS | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 28 July–2 August 2025 | Ipsos | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 1–31 July 2025 | Median | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 10–29 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 3–22 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 June–15 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 19 June–8 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 2–7 July 2025 | NMS | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–4 |
| 12 June–1 July 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–30 June 2025 | Median | |||||
| 24–29 June 2025 | Ipsos | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 5–24 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 9–20 June 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 30 May–17 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 May–11 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 23 May–4 June 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 May–3 June 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 26 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 1–31 May 2025 | Median | |||||
| 12–30 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 9–27 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 April–20 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 6–12 May 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 18 April–6 May 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 April–4 May 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 14 April–2 May 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 1–30 April 2025 | Median | |||||
| 11–29 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 4–22 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 24 March–15 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 2–9 April 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 21 March–8 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 17 March–4 April 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 14 March–1 April 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–31 March 2025 | Median | |||||
| 24–28 March 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 7–25 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 February–18 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 21 February–11 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 28 February–5 March 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 14 February–4 March 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–28 February 2025 | Median | |||||
| 10–28 February 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 24–28 February 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 7–25 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 31 January–18 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 24 January–11 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 4–9 February 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 17 January–4 February 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 7–31 January 2025 | Median | |||||
| 13–31 January 2025 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 24–29 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 10–28 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 3–21 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 3–14 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 9–13 January 2025 | NMS | |||||
| 3–7 January 2025 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 21 November–31 December 2024 | Median | |||||
| 1–13 December 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 3–9 December 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–30 November 2024 | Median | |||||
| 5–12 November 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–10 November 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 21 October–8 November 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 1–31 October 2024 | Median | |||||
| 2–11 October 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 30 September–11 October 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
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| 4–9 October 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–30 September 2024 | Median | |||||
| 3–10 September 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 29 August–8 September 2024 | STEM | |||||
| 1–8 September 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 1–31 August 2024 | Median | |||||
| 1–8 August 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–31 July 2024 | Phoenix Research | |||||
| 1–31 July 2024 | Median | |||||
| 4–12 July 2024 | NMS | |||||
| 1–30 June 2024 | STEM CNN Prima News |
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| 1–30 June 2024 | Median | |||||
| 10–21 June 2024 | Kantar ČT24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Svoboda a přímá demokracie (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 37% | 100% | |
| 3 | 59% | 63% | Median |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |