Scottish Greens
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.6% (General Election of 5 May 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.4% | 7.7–12.8% | 7.3–13.5% | 7.0–14.0% | 6.4–15.0% |
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov The Times |
13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
| 4 May 2021 | Survation The Courier |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 30 April–4 May 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 3 May 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 3 May 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
12.0% | 11.0–13.1% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.0–14.3% |
| 28–30 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.1–10.4% |
| 27–30 April 2021 | BMG Research The Herald |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 23–27 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
9.8% | 8.7–11.1% | 8.4–11.5% | 8.1–11.8% | 7.6–12.5% |
| 23–26 April 2021 | Survation GMB |
10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.8–11.9% | 8.5–12.3% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 21–26 April 2021 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.4–12.0% | 7.9–12.6% |
| 20–22 April 2021 | Survation The Sunday Post |
10.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.9–12.8% |
| 16–20 April 2021 | YouGov The Times |
10.2% | 9.2–11.4% | 8.9–11.8% | 8.6–12.1% | 8.2–12.7% |
| 16–20 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| 7–19 April 2021 | Lord Ashcroft | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% |
| 9–12 April 2021 | Panelbase Believe in Scotland |
9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 2–7 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
8.9% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.3–10.9% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 1–6 April 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 30 March–4 April 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 30 March–1 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 29–30 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 23–26 March 2021 | Find Out Now Daily Express |
11.2% | 10.0–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.4–13.2% | 8.8–13.9% |
| 19–22 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 16–19 March 2021 | BMG Research Herald Scotland |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 11–18 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
11.1% | 10.1–12.2% | 9.8–12.5% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.1–13.3% |
| 11–16 March 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 9–12 March 2021 | Survation Scotland in Union |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 5–10 March 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 4–8 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.4–8.1% |
| 3–5 March 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 24–25 February 2021 | Survation Daily Record |
11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.7% |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 4–9 February 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 19–22 January 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.9–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.2–10.5% |
| 11–13 January 2021 | Survation Scot Goes Pop |
11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.7% |
| 8–13 January 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 11–15 December 2020 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
12.0% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 4–9 December 2020 | Survation | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 20–26 November 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 5–11 November 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 6–10 November 2020 | YouGov | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.2% |
| 3 November 2020 | Survation | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.3–11.9% | 7.8–12.6% |
| 9 October 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 11.1% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 2–9 October 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.5% |
| 17–21 September 2020 | JL Partners Politico |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 2–7 September 2020 | Survation | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 6–13 August 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 6–10 August 2020 | YouGov The Times |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.4–8.0% |
| 3 July 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 1–5 June 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 1–5 May 2020 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.7–8.8% | 5.3–9.3% |
| 24–27 April 2020 | YouGov | 8.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.1–10.4% |
| 24–26 March 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 28–31 January 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 20–22 January 2020 | Survation Progress Scotland |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 3–6 December 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.4% |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.4% |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 24–26 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 6 March 2019 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 1–4 March 2019 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 5 December 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 18–21 October 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Survation SNP |
3.9% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 4 October 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 2 October 2018 | Survation The Sunday Post |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.4–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 5–10 July 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.4–12.7% | 9.2–13.0% | 8.6–13.7% |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 8–13 June 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 1–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.0–11.5% |
| 24–28 January 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 12–16 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.4–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.5% |
| 1–5 December 2017 | Survation The Sunday Post |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 27–30 November 2017 | Survation Daily Record |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 2–5 October 2017 | YouGov The Times |
6.1% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–8.1% |
| 8–12 September 2017 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 9–14 March 2017 | YouGov The Times |
12.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| 24–29 November 2016 | YouGov The Times |
11.1% | 10.0–12.4% | 9.7–12.8% | 9.4–13.1% | 8.9–13.7% |
| 4 October 2016 | BMG Research | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 29–31 August 2016 | YouGov The Times |
9.1% | 8.1–10.4% | 7.8–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.1–11.7% |
| 24–28 June 2016 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
11.8% | 10.7–13.2% | 10.3–13.6% | 10.0–13.9% | 9.5–14.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Scottish Greens.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 7% | 99.3% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 21% | 92% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 27% | 72% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 15% | 45% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 9% | 30% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 9% | 21% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 7% | 12% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 6 seats (General Election of 5 May 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 10–14 | 8–15 | 6–16 | 5–19 |
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov The Times |
14 | 13–17 | 12–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 |
| 4 May 2021 | Survation The Courier |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 30 April–4 May 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| 3 May 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 4–12 |
| 3 May 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 28–30 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 4–12 |
| 27–30 April 2021 | BMG Research The Herald |
10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 6–13 |
| 23–27 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 23–26 April 2021 | Survation GMB |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 |
| 21–26 April 2021 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 7–14 |
| 20–22 April 2021 | Survation The Sunday Post |
10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| 16–20 April 2021 | YouGov The Times |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
| 16–20 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
7 | 5–10 | 4–10 | 4–10 | 3–11 |
| 7–19 April 2021 | Lord Ashcroft | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–12 |
| 9–12 April 2021 | Panelbase Believe in Scotland |
10 | 9–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 5–13 |
| 2–7 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 6–13 |
| 1–6 April 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
6 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 30 March–4 April 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 30 March–1 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 3–11 |
| 29–30 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 23–26 March 2021 | Find Out Now Daily Express |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| 19–22 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 16–19 March 2021 | BMG Research Herald Scotland |
10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–10 | 4–11 |
| 11–18 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 11–16 March 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
6 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 9–12 March 2021 | Survation Scotland in Union |
10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 5–10 March 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 7–14 |
| 4–8 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
4 | 3–8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 |
| 3–5 March 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
4 | 3–6 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| 24–25 February 2021 | Survation Daily Record |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 4–9 February 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 19–22 January 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 11–13 January 2021 | Survation Scot Goes Pop |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 8–13 January 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 11–15 December 2020 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–17 |
| 4–9 December 2020 | Survation | 10 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 20–26 November 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
5 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 5–11 November 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–10 | 3–11 |
| 6–10 November 2020 | YouGov | 9 | 5–10 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 3 November 2020 | Survation | 10 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
| 9 October 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 2–9 October 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 7–13 |
| 17–21 September 2020 | JL Partners Politico |
2 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| 2–7 September 2020 | Survation | 10 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 6–13 August 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 6–10 August 2020 | YouGov The Times |
4 | 3–8 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 3 July 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10 | 7–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 1–5 June 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
6 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 |
| 1–5 May 2020 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
6 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 24–27 April 2020 | YouGov | 10 | 8–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 24–26 March 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
2 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 28–31 January 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
8 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 20–22 January 2020 | Survation Progress Scotland |
10 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 5–13 |
| 3–6 December 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
3 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–10 |
| 3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times |
10 | 9–10 | 7–11 | 5–11 | 4–12 |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–6 | 2–8 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
3 | 2–7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
10 | 8–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–10 |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 |
| 24–26 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase | 7 | 4–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 6 March 2019 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
4 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–10 |
| 1–4 March 2019 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
11 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
| 5 December 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
4 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
4 | 3–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 18–21 October 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 6–13 | 6–14 |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Survation SNP |
2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 4 October 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–10 |
| 2 October 2018 | Survation The Sunday Post |
10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 8–15 |
| 5–10 July 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
4 | 2–7 | 2–7 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 8–13 June 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 3–10 |
| 1–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
10 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–14 |
| 24–28 January 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 6–14 |
| 12–16 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
10 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 1–5 December 2017 | Survation The Sunday Post |
10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 27–30 November 2017 | Survation Daily Record |
10 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 2–5 October 2017 | YouGov The Times |
4 | 3–7 | 3–8 | 2–9 | 2–10 |
| 8–12 September 2017 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 6–12 |
| 9–14 March 2017 | YouGov The Times |
13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 24–29 November 2016 | YouGov The Times |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| 4 October 2016 | BMG Research | 10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 29–31 August 2016 | YouGov The Times |
10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 6–13 |
| 24–28 June 2016 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–18 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Scottish Greens.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 99.6% | |
| 6 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 7 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 8 | 2% | 95% | |
| 9 | 3% | 94% | |
| 10 | 51% | 90% | Median |
| 11 | 8% | 40% | |
| 12 | 10% | 31% | |
| 13 | 10% | 22% | |
| 14 | 5% | 12% | |
| 15 | 4% | 7% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |