Scottish Liberal Democrats
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.2% (General Election of 5 May 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.5% | 4.3–8.1% | 3.9–8.5% | 3.6–8.9% | 3.2–9.7% |
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 4 May 2021 | Survation The Courier |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 30 April–4 May 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 3 May 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 3 May 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
| 28–30 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 27–30 April 2021 | BMG Research The Herald |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 23–27 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 23–26 April 2021 | Survation GMB |
7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 21–26 April 2021 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.4–8.2% |
| 20–22 April 2021 | Survation The Sunday Post |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 16–20 April 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5.1% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 4.0–6.5% | 3.6–6.9% |
| 16–20 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 7–19 April 2021 | Lord Ashcroft | 7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
| 9–12 April 2021 | Panelbase Believe in Scotland |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 2–7 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 1–6 April 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 30 March–4 April 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 30 March–1 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 29–30 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 23–26 March 2021 | Find Out Now Daily Express |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.1% |
| 19–22 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 16–19 March 2021 | BMG Research Herald Scotland |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 11–18 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
7.1% | 6.3–8.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.5–8.9% |
| 11–16 March 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 9–12 March 2021 | Survation Scotland in Union |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 5–10 March 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 4–8 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 3–5 March 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 24–25 February 2021 | Survation Daily Record |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 4–9 February 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 19–22 January 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| 11–13 January 2021 | Survation Scot Goes Pop |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 8–13 January 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 11–15 December 2020 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 4–9 December 2020 | Survation | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 20–26 November 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 5–11 November 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 6–10 November 2020 | YouGov | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 3 November 2020 | Survation | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 9 October 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 7.1% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 2–9 October 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.4% |
| 17–21 September 2020 | JL Partners Politico |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 2–7 September 2020 | Survation | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 6–13 August 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 6–10 August 2020 | YouGov The Times |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.8–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.2–9.1% |
| 3 July 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| 1–5 June 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 1–5 May 2020 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| 24–27 April 2020 | YouGov | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.3–9.3% |
| 24–26 March 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 28–31 January 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 20–22 January 2020 | Survation Progress Scotland |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 3–6 December 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times |
10.1% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.8–12.8% |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
11.2% | 10.0–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% |
| 3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
12.9% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 11.1–15.1% | 10.5–15.8% |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10.2% | 9.0–11.5% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.4–12.2% | 7.9–12.8% |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 24–26 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 6 March 2019 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
9.1% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.0% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 1–4 March 2019 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.8% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.7–13.9% |
| 5 December 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 18–21 October 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 7.0–11.6% |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Survation SNP |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 4 October 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 2 October 2018 | Survation The Sunday Post |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.6–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 5–10 July 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
10.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–12.0% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 8–13 June 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 1–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
7.1% | 6.2–8.2% | 5.9–8.5% | 5.7–8.8% | 5.3–9.3% |
| 24–28 January 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 12–16 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 1–5 December 2017 | Survation The Sunday Post |
9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–11.9% | 7.7–12.6% |
| 27–30 November 2017 | Survation Daily Record |
8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 2–5 October 2017 | YouGov The Times |
6.1% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–8.1% |
| 8–12 September 2017 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 9–14 March 2017 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 24–29 November 2016 | YouGov The Times |
6.1% | 5.3–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–8.2% |
| 4 October 2016 | BMG Research | 7.1% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 29–31 August 2016 | YouGov The Times |
6.1% | 5.2–7.1% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.8–7.7% | 4.4–8.2% |
| 24–28 June 2016 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Scottish Liberal Democrats.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 12% | 98% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 15% | 86% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 24% | 72% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 28% | 48% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 15% | 19% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 5 seats (General Election of 5 May 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6 | 4–8 | 3–10 | 2–10 | 2–12 |
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| 4 May 2021 | Survation The Courier |
7 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 30 April–4 May 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 3 May 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 2–8 |
| 3 May 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 28–30 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 27–30 April 2021 | BMG Research The Herald |
8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 23–27 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
5 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–7 |
| 23–26 April 2021 | Survation GMB |
6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 21–26 April 2021 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 20–22 April 2021 | Survation The Sunday Post |
6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| 16–20 April 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 16–20 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
5 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–7 |
| 7–19 April 2021 | Lord Ashcroft | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 9–12 April 2021 | Panelbase Believe in Scotland |
5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 2–7 April 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–10 |
| 1–6 April 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 30 March–4 April 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
5 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–8 |
| 30 March–1 April 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 29–30 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| 23–26 March 2021 | Find Out Now Daily Express |
5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 19–22 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 |
| 16–19 March 2021 | BMG Research Herald Scotland |
8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 11–18 March 2021 | Survation The Courier |
7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 11–16 March 2021 | Opinium Sky News |
5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–6 |
| 9–12 March 2021 | Survation Scotland in Union |
8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 |
| 5–10 March 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| 4–8 March 2021 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| 3–5 March 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–11 |
| 24–25 February 2021 | Survation Daily Record |
6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 15–21 February 2021 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 2–8 |
| 4–9 February 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 2–8 |
| 19–22 January 2021 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| 11–13 January 2021 | Survation Scot Goes Pop |
10 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 8–13 January 2021 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| 11–15 December 2020 | Savanta ComRes The Scotsman |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 4–9 December 2020 | Survation | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 4–11 |
| 20–26 November 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 2–8 |
| 5–11 November 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| 6–10 November 2020 | YouGov | 5 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 3 November 2020 | Survation | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–11 |
| 9 October 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 2–9 October 2020 | Ipsos MORI STV News |
9 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 | 5–12 |
| 17–21 September 2020 | JL Partners Politico |
8 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 |
| 2–7 September 2020 | Survation | 8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| 6–13 August 2020 | Savanta ComRes | 8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–11 |
| 6–10 August 2020 | YouGov The Times |
7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 3 July 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 1–5 June 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
8 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 5–12 |
| 1–5 May 2020 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 2–8 |
| 24–27 April 2020 | YouGov | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–9 |
| 24–26 March 2020 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 3–8 | 2–9 |
| 28–31 January 2020 | Panelbase Scot Goes Pop |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–10 |
| 20–22 January 2020 | Survation Progress Scotland |
9 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 6–13 | 6–13 |
| 3–6 December 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–13 |
| 3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–15 |
| 20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–14 |
| 9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
13 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 9–17 |
| 3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
15 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 |
| 18–20 June 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–14 |
| 14–17 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
8 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 24–26 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
7 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 6 March 2019 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
11 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–13 |
| 1–4 March 2019 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 5 December 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
6 | 5–8 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–11 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 18–21 October 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 6–15 |
| 3–5 October 2018 | Survation SNP |
8 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 |
| 4 October 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
9 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 2 October 2018 | Survation The Sunday Post |
10 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 5–10 July 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Panelbase Wings Over Scotland |
6 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 5–12 |
| 8–13 June 2018 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
5 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| 1–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
6 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 |
| 24–28 January 2018 | Survation Daily Record |
9 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 12–16 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
6 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 |
| 1–5 December 2017 | Survation The Sunday Post |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 27–30 November 2017 | Survation Daily Record |
9 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 6–13 |
| 2–5 October 2017 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–10 |
| 8–12 September 2017 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 8–15 |
| 9–14 March 2017 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 |
| 24–29 November 2016 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–8 | 4–8 |
| 4 October 2016 | BMG Research | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–11 |
| 29–31 August 2016 | YouGov The Times |
5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 2–8 |
| 24–28 June 2016 | Survation Scottish Daily Mail |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Scottish Liberal Democrats.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 3% | 95% | |
| 4 | 8% | 92% | |
| 5 | 26% | 84% | Last Result |
| 6 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 31% | |
| 8 | 14% | 24% | |
| 9 | 4% | 9% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |