NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum
Voting Intentions
Last result: 5.3% (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8.2% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
7.9% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.3–10.0% | 5.8–10.7% |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 8.0% | 6.9–9.5% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.7–11.0% |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 9.0% | 8.4–9.7% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
8.0% | 7.3–8.7% | 7.1–9.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
8.0% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.6–9.6% |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | 7.6–10.8% | 7.1–11.4% | 6.8–11.8% | 6.2–12.7% |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
9.0% | 8.4–9.7% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
10.0% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.2% | 7.5–13.0% |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.9% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.6% | 5.3–11.5% |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
9.0% | 8.4–9.7% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.9% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.6% | 5.3–11.5% |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.9% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.6% | 5.3–11.5% |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9.1% | 7.6–10.9% | 7.2–11.5% | 6.9–11.9% | 6.2–12.9% |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.9% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.6% | 5.3–11.5% |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
10.0% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.5–13.0% |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.7% | 5.3–11.6% |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.9% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% | 5.0–9.5% | 4.5–10.4% |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.9–10.7% | 5.3–11.6% |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
10.0% | 8.8–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.6–13.1% |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
8.0% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.1–10.3% |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 10.0% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.9% | 8.1–12.3% | 7.5–13.0% |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 10.0% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.2–12.0% | 7.7–12.7% |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
10.0% | 8.5–11.9% | 8.0–12.5% | 7.7–13.0% | 7.0–13.9% |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
8.0% | 6.8–9.3% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.3–10.0% | 5.8–10.7% |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 9.0% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.1–11.4% | 6.8–11.8% | 6.2–12.8% |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
7.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.5–8.9% | 5.0–9.5% |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 8.0% | 7.2–9.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.3–10.0% |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
10.9% | 9.6–12.4% | 9.2–12.8% | 8.9–13.2% | 8.3–13.9% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
7.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.4–8.9% | 4.9–9.6% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
7.5% | 6.8–8.3% | 6.6–8.6% | 6.4–8.7% | 6.1–9.1% |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
8.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.7% |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 5.9% | 4.9–7.2% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.4–7.9% | 4.0–8.6% |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
6.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.8–7.5% | 4.5–7.8% | 4.1–8.5% |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
8.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.5–9.7% | 6.3–10.0% | 5.8–10.7% |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.9% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.2% | 5.9–10.6% | 5.3–11.5% |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
7.0% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.3–9.1% | 4.8–9.9% |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.3% |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.3% |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
3.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.7% | 2.4–6.2% |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
6.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.7–7.5% | 4.5–7.8% | 4.1–8.4% |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
8.0% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.7–11.0% |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
4.0% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.4–6.2% |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 6.0–8.3% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.0% | 5.0–9.6% |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
5.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.5% |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
8.0% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.7–11.0% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
6.0% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.2–8.4% | 3.7–9.3% |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
4.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.8–5.8% | 2.5–6.3% |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
6.9% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.1% | 5.0–9.5% | 4.5–10.3% |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.6% |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.2% | 5.1–9.6% | 4.5–10.5% |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
8.1% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.4–10.2% | 5.9–10.8% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
7.0% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.4–9.1% | 4.9–9.8% |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
4.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.6–6.8% | 3.2–7.4% |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
7.0% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.4–9.2% | 5.1–9.6% | 4.5–10.5% |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.2–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
6.0% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.2–8.4% | 3.7–9.3% |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
6.0% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.5–8.0% | 4.0–8.7% |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
6.0% | 5.0–7.2% | 4.8–7.6% | 4.6–7.9% | 4.1–8.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5.5–6.5% | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 19% | 97% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 45% | 78% | Median |
| 8.5–9.5% | 27% | 33% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 5% | 6% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 10 seats (General Election of 15 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| 16–23 September 2019 | OGM Servus TV |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 19–22 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 12–20 September 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV, PULS 4 and Servus TV |
15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 13–18 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 16–18 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 |
| 1–18 September 2019 | Institut für Grundlagenforschung | 15 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| 11–17 September 2019 | Karmasin | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 2–13 September 2019 | Unique Research profil |
15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 6–13 September 2019 | OGM KURIER |
15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 6–11 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 | 11–24 |
| 5–10 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 5–8 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 30 August–4 September 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 2–4 September 2019 | Market Der Standard |
17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 29 August–3 September 2019 | Karmasin PULS 24 |
17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 22–28 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 19–22 August 2019 | Unique Research profil |
17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 16–21 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 9–14 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 13–22 | 11–24 |
| 8–12 August 2019 | OGM KURIER |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 26 July–9 August 2019 | Kowarcz Marktforschung | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 1–7 August 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 2–5 August 2019 | Market Der Standard |
19 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 25–31 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 |
| 18–24 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 5–17 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 8–12 July 2019 | Unique Research profil |
17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 5–10 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 8–9 July 2019 | Market Der Standard |
19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 27 June–4 July 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| 24–28 June 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
16 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 14–20 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–20 |
| 31 May–10 June 2019 | SORA ORF |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 5–6 June 2019 | Market Der Standard |
17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 31 May–5 June 2019 | Unique Research | 19 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 29 May–4 June 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Unique Research | 18 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 14–23 |
| 29–31 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
19 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 | 13–26 |
| 1–31 May 2019 | Demox Research | 20 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 27–29 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 |
| 18–20 May 2019 | Research Affairs | 17 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–22 | 11–24 |
| 29 April–2 May 2019 | OGM KURIER |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| 25 April–2 May 2019 | Demox Research | 15 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 |
| 25 April–1 May 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
17 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Market Der Standard |
13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 8–12 April 2019 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 28 March–11 April 2019 | Demox Research | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 |
| 28 March–3 April 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 14–20 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | Unique Research profil |
15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 4–7 March 2019 | Unique Research Heute |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 26 February–6 March 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 12–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 |
| 27 February–1 March 2019 | INSA SWG |
15 | 13–17 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 21–28 February 2019 | Peter Hajek ATV |
15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 |
| 13–20 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 18–20 February 2019 | Market Der Standard |
20 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 15–26 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | Unique Research profil |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 |
| 5–8 February 2019 | Demox Research Die Presse |
16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| 31 January–6 February 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 17–23 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| 15–17 January 2019 | OGM KURIER |
13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–17 | 9–18 |
| 7–11 January 2019 | Unique Research profil |
15 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–17 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | Unique Research profil |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 10–20 |
| 6–12 December 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 7–12 December 2018 | Market Der Standard |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 26 November–9 December 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 3–6 December 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
17 | 14–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 22–28 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 12–16 November 2018 | Unique Research profil |
17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 12–22 |
| 13–15 November 2018 | Market Der Standard |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 8–14 November 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| 22–31 October 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 |
| 24–30 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 9–29 October 2018 | Spectra | 11 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| 11–17 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 1–13 October 2018 | GfK Die Presse |
13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 |
| 8–12 October 2018 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 9–11 October 2018 | OGM KURIER |
11 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| 27 September–3 October 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 25–27 September 2018 | Market Der Standard |
15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 19–20 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
15 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 10–13 September 2018 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 3–6 September 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 30 August–5 September 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
14 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 23–29 August 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
13 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–17 | 9–19 |
| 20–23 August 2018 | Market Der Standard |
13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 16–22 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 6–10 August 2018 | Unique Research profil |
9 | 8–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 2–8 August 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 19–25 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Unique Research profil |
10 | 7–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 5–11 July 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 6–29 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 26–28 June 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 7–16 |
| 21–27 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 18–21 June 2018 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 12–15 June 2018 | Market Der Standard |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 7–13 June 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 4–11 June 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
16 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–21 |
| 4–6 June 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 9 May–5 June 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
7 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 24–30 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 22–25 May 2018 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 11–15 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 10–16 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 18 April–9 May 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
9 | 8–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 26 April–2 May 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 9–30 April 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
9 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 19–25 April 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
15 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 11–19 | 11–21 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–18 |
| 8–13 April 2018 | Unique Research profil |
11 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 0–17 |
| 29 March–4 April 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
14 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 | 10–18 |
| 26–29 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
15 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–19 | 11–21 |
| 6–26 March 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
7 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 19–22 March 2018 | Unique Research Heute |
15 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–20 |
| 14–21 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| 19–21 March 2018 | OGM ServusTV |
13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–17 | 8–19 |
| 14 February–18 March 2018 | IMAS Kronen Zeitung |
13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 12–15 March 2018 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 6–8 March 2018 | Market Der Standard |
15 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–21 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| 15–21 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
13 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 10–18 |
| 12–20 February 2018 | Peter Hajek ATV |
13 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 25 January–19 February 2018 | Spectra OÖNachrichten |
9 | 7–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 11–16 February 2018 | Unique Research profil |
13 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–20 |
| 1–8 February 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 18–24 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | Unique Research profil |
11 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 0–17 |
| 4–10 January 2018 | Research Affairs ÖSTERREICH |
11 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 18–21 December 2017 | Peter Hajek ATV |
11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 |
| 18–20 December 2017 | Market Der Standard |
11 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–16 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for NEOS–Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 11 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 13 | 9% | 95% | |
| 14 | 19% | 86% | |
| 15 | 26% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 21% | 41% | |
| 17 | 13% | 20% | |
| 18 | 5% | 7% | |
| 19 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |