Bloco de Esquerda
Voting Intentions
Last result: 9.5% (General Election of 6 October 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.1% | 4.6–8.6% | 4.3–9.3% | 4.1–9.9% | 3.6–10.9% |
| 24–28 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.1% | 4.2–6.3% | 4.0–6.6% | 3.8–7.0% | 3.4–7.6% |
| 23–26 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
6.1% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.7–7.9% | 4.5–8.3% | 4.0–9.0% |
| 19–26 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.5% |
| 22–25 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
6.7% | 5.6–8.2% | 5.3–8.7% | 5.0–9.0% | 4.5–9.8% |
| 21–24 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.8% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.4–7.6% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.7–8.6% |
| 18–24 January 2022 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 20–23 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.8% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.4–7.6% | 4.2–7.9% | 3.7–8.6% |
| 16–21 January 2022 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
6.6% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.4–8.1% | 5.2–8.4% | 4.8–9.0% |
| 17–20 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
4.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.5–7.0% | 3.1–7.7% |
| 15–18 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.7–6.7% |
| 14–17 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.9% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.3–8.1% | 3.8–8.8% |
| 12–15 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
6.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 January 2022 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
7.4% | 6.4–8.8% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.8–9.5% | 5.3–10.1% |
| 4–10 January 2022 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.5% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.8–10.5% | 6.5–10.9% | 5.9–11.8% |
| 6–10 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
6.0% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.3% | 4.8–7.5% | 4.5–8.0% |
| 30 December 2021–9 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
6.3% | 5.2–7.8% | 4.9–8.2% | 4.6–8.6% | 4.2–9.3% |
| 28 December 2021–5 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–20 December 2021 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
5.0% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.4–7.2% |
| 7–14 December 2021 | Intercampus CMTV and Correio da Manhã |
6.6% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.2–8.5% | 4.9–8.9% | 4.4–9.7% |
| 9–13 December 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
7.4% | 6.0–9.2% | 5.6–9.8% | 5.3–10.2% | 4.7–11.2% |
| 7–12 December 2021 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.5–7.0% | 3.1–7.6% |
| 10–15 November 2021 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
5.4% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.1–7.2% | 3.9–7.5% | 3.5–8.2% |
| 5–11 November 2021 | Intercampus CMTV and Correio da Manhã |
7.7% | 6.5–9.2% | 6.1–9.7% | 5.8–10.1% | 5.3–10.9% |
| 29 October–4 November 2021 | CESOP–UCP | 6.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.4–8.8% | 5.0–9.4% |
| 21 October–1 November 2021 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
5.0% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.7–6.8% | 3.3–7.3% |
| 28–31 October 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
8.8% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.3–10.7% | 7.1–11.0% | 6.5–11.7% |
| 18–21 October 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 14–23 September 2021 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 September 2021 | Eurosondagem Sol |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–19 September 2021 | Pitagórica TVI |
7.1% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.6–9.0% | 5.3–9.4% | 4.8–10.2% |
| 13–20 August 2021 | Intercampus | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 August 2021 | Eurosondagem | 5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
4.8% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 7–16 July 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.1% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.2% | 7.0–11.6% | 6.4–12.5% |
| 10–12 July 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
7.9% | 6.7–9.3% | 6.4–9.6% | 6.2–10.0% | 5.7–10.7% |
| 5–8 July 2021 | Eurosondagem | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 8–16 June 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.9% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.2–11.0% | 6.9–11.4% | 6.3–12.3% |
| 31 May–3 June 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.2–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 26–30 May 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
8.0% | 6.9–9.4% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.3–10.2% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 10–13 May 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
6.6% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–8.9% |
| 5–11 May 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.3% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.7–10.4% | 6.4–10.8% | 5.8–11.6% |
| 3–7 May 2021 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
8.0% | 7.1–9.2% | 6.8–9.5% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.1–10.3% |
| 22–25 April 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
9.2% | 8.0–10.6% | 7.7–11.0% | 7.4–11.3% | 6.8–12.0% |
| 7–13 April 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.4% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.6–11.5% | 7.3–11.9% | 6.7–12.8% |
| 5–13 April 2021 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 5–8 April 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 24–27 March 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
8.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 March 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.3% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.7–10.3% | 6.4–10.7% | 5.8–11.6% |
| 1–4 March 2021 | Eurosondagem | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.4% |
| 17–20 February 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
7.7% | 6.6–9.0% | 6.3–9.4% | 6.0–9.7% | 5.5–10.4% |
| 8–13 February 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.2% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.3% | 6.3–10.7% | 5.7–11.5% |
| 8–11 February 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| 24 January 2021 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
8.0% | 7.5–8.5% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.3–8.8% | 7.0–9.1% |
| 7–18 January 2021 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
5.4% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.1–7.1% | 3.9–7.5% | 3.5–8.2% |
| 9–15 January 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
7.2% | 6.1–8.7% | 5.7–9.2% | 5.5–9.5% | 5.0–10.3% |
| 11–14 January 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 11–14 January 2021 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.6–8.6% |
| 29 December 2020–10 January 2021 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
7.2% | 6.0–8.6% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.4–9.4% | 4.9–10.2% |
| 4–7 January 2021 | Intercampus | 9.1% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.4–11.3% | 7.1–11.7% | 6.5–12.5% |
| 22 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
7.3% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.3% | 5.5–9.6% | 5.0–10.4% |
| 17–27 December 2020 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
5.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.3% | 4.0–7.7% | 3.6–8.4% |
| 19–22 December 2020 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
8.5% | 7.4–9.9% | 7.0–10.3% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.2–11.3% |
| 17–20 December 2020 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
5.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.3% | 4.0–7.7% | 3.6–8.4% |
| 14–18 December 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
7.3% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.3% | 5.5–9.7% | 5.0–10.5% |
| 10–13 December 2020 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
6.7% | 5.5–8.1% | 5.2–8.6% | 5.0–8.9% | 4.5–9.7% |
| 4–11 December 2020 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
7.0% | 6.2–8.0% | 5.9–8.3% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.4–9.0% |
| 7–10 December 2020 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
7.2% | 6.2–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.7–8.9% | 5.3–9.5% |
| 23–26 November 2020 | Aximage | 7.9% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.8% | 6.1–10.2% | 5.5–11.0% |
| 11–25 November 2020 | ICS/ISCTE | 8.0% | 6.9–9.3% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.3–10.1% | 5.8–10.8% |
| 9–16 November 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
7.7% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.2–9.7% | 5.9–10.1% | 5.3–10.9% |
| 2–5 November 2020 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 22–26 October 2020 | Aximage | 10.1% | 8.7–11.7% | 8.4–12.2% | 8.1–12.6% | 7.5–13.4% |
| 6–11 October 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
11.0% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.1–13.3% | 8.8–13.7% | 8.1–14.6% |
| 5–8 October 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.1% | 7.1–9.3% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.6–10.0% | 6.1–10.6% |
| 14–24 September 2020 | ICS/ISCTE | 8.1% | 7.0–9.5% | 6.7–9.9% | 6.4–10.2% | 5.9–10.9% |
| 12–15 September 2020 | Aximage | 8.3% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.6–10.4% | 6.3–10.8% | 5.8–11.6% |
| 7–10 September 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.9% | 6.8–10.2% | 6.3–10.8% |
| 4–9 September 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.9% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.1–12.1% | 7.8–12.6% | 7.2–13.4% |
| 6–11 August 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
8.5% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.8–10.6% | 6.5–11.0% | 5.9–11.8% |
| 13–18 July 2020 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| 8–13 July 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
10.5% | 9.1–12.2% | 8.6–12.7% | 8.3–13.2% | 7.7–14.0% |
| 5–8 July 2020 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
8.5% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.9–10.5% | 6.6–11.0% | 6.0–11.8% |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.4% | 7.4–9.6% | 7.1–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.4–10.9% |
| 9–13 June 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.8% | 8.4–11.6% | 8.0–12.0% | 7.7–12.5% | 7.1–13.3% |
| 5–8 June 2020 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
8.1% | 6.5–10.2% | 6.1–10.9% | 5.7–11.4% | 5.0–12.5% |
| 1–4 June 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.8–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| 16–24 May 2020 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
6.1% | 5.2–7.3% | 4.9–7.7% | 4.6–8.0% | 4.2–8.6% |
| 17–20 May 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.1% | 7.4–8.9% | 7.2–9.2% | 7.0–9.4% | 6.7–9.8% |
| 5–9 May 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
9.0% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.1% | 7.0–11.6% | 6.4–12.4% |
| 4–7 May 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.3% | 7.2–9.5% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.7–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| 15–26 April 2020 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
8.1% | 6.8–9.7% | 6.5–10.2% | 6.2–10.6% | 5.6–11.4% |
| 9–14 April 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
11.9% | 10.3–13.7% | 9.9–14.2% | 9.6–14.7% | 8.9–15.6% |
| 29 March–2 April 2020 | Eurosondagem | 9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 13–21 March 2020 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
8.6% | 7.3–10.2% | 6.9–10.7% | 6.6–11.1% | 6.0–11.9% |
| 13–19 March 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
14.6% | 12.9–16.5% | 12.4–17.1% | 12.0–17.6% | 11.2–18.6% |
| 1–5 March 2020 | Eurosondagem | 8.8% | 7.8–10.1% | 7.5–10.4% | 7.2–10.7% | 6.7–11.3% |
| 14–18 February 2020 | Aximage | 7.7% | 6.7–9.1% | 6.4–9.4% | 6.1–9.8% | 5.6–10.4% |
| 11–17 February 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
13.2% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.1–15.6% | 10.7–16.1% | 10.0–17.1% |
| 2–6 February 2020 | Eurosondagem | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 22 January–5 February 2020 | ICS/ISCTE | 9.0% | 7.8–10.4% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.2–11.2% | 6.7–11.9% |
| 19–24 January 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 January 2020 | Eurosondagem | 9.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–17 December 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
10.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 December 2019 | Eurosondagem | 9.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 November 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
10.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 November 2019 | Eurosondagem | 10.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2019 | Aximage | 10.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–28 October 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
11.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 8% | 99.6% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 24% | 91% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 31% | 67% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 16% | 36% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 9% | 20% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 6% | 10% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 19 seats (General Election of 6 October 2019)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 7–17 | 5–18 | 4–18 | 3–21 |
| 24–28 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
7 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 4–13 | 3–15 |
| 23–26 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
10 | 7–15 | 7–15 | 7–15 | 5–18 |
| 19–26 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
9 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 |
| 22–25 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
12 | 8–16 | 7–17 | 7–18 | 7–20 |
| 21–24 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
8 | 7–13 | 5–14 | 5–15 | 3–17 |
| 18–24 January 2022 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7 | 5–9 | 4–10 | 4–11 | 2–13 |
| 20–23 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 19–22 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 18–21 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
9 | 7–12 | 6–14 | 5–15 | 4–16 |
| 16–21 January 2022 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
11 | 9–15 | 7–15 | 7–16 | 7–17 |
| 17–20 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 16–19 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
7 | 4–11 | 4–12 | 3–13 | 2–15 |
| 15–18 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 12–18 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
7 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 3–11 |
| 14–17 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 13–16 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
8 | 7–12 | 6–14 | 5–15 | 3–17 |
| 12–15 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 11–14 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 10–13 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
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| 6–12 January 2022 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
13 | 11–16 | 9–18 | 7–18 | 7–20 |
| 4–10 January 2022 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
17 | 12–18 | 11–20 | 11–21 | 8–24 |
| 6–10 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
9 | 7–13 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 7–15 |
| 30 December 2021–9 January 2022 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
11 | 7–15 | 7–15 | 7–16 | 5–18 |
| 28 December 2021–5 January 2022 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
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| 10–20 December 2021 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7 | 5–9 | 4–11 | 3–11 | 2–13 |
| 7–14 December 2021 | Intercampus CMTV and Correio da Manhã |
12 | 7–16 | 7–17 | 7–17 | 6–19 |
| 9–13 December 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
14 | 9–18 | 7–19 | 7–20 | 7–22 |
| 7–12 December 2021 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
7 | 4–10 | 3–11 | 2–12 | 2–14 |
| 10–15 November 2021 | Pitagórica CNN Portugal and TVI |
7 | 5–12 | 5–12 | 4–13 | 3–15 |
| 5–11 November 2021 | Intercampus CMTV and Correio da Manhã |
15 | 11–18 | 10–18 | 9–19 | 7–22 |
| 29 October–4 November 2021 | CESOP–UCP | 13 | 8–15 | 7–16 | 7–17 | 7–18 |
| 21 October–1 November 2021 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
7 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 3–11 | 2–13 |
| 28–31 October 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
18 | 14–21 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 11–25 |
| 18–21 October 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
7 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 3–11 | 2–13 |
| 14–23 September 2021 | Intercampus CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
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| 20–23 September 2021 | Eurosondagem Sol |
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| 10–19 September 2021 | Pitagórica TVI |
12 | 9–17 | 7–18 | 7–18 | 7–21 |
| 13–20 August 2021 | Intercampus | |||||
| 16–19 August 2021 | Eurosondagem | |||||
| 26–29 July 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
7 | 4–7 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 2–11 |
| 7–16 July 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 15–22 | 13–24 | 12–25 | 11–28 |
| 10–12 July 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
14 | 12–18 | 11–19 | 11–20 | 7–22 |
| 5–8 July 2021 | Eurosondagem | 7 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 3–13 |
| 8–16 June 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
17 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–24 | 10–28 |
| 31 May–3 June 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
7 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| 26–30 May 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
16 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 11–21 | 9–22 |
| 10–13 May 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
11 | 7–15 | 7–16 | 7–16 | 7–18 |
| 5–11 May 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
16 | 13–20 | 13–22 | 11–24 | 8–25 |
| 3–7 May 2021 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
15 | 13–18 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 10–20 |
| 22–25 April 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
18 | 15–21 | 14–22 | 14–22 | 11–25 |
| 7–13 April 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 14–23 | 14–23 | 13–25 | 12–29 |
| 5–13 April 2021 | ICS/ISCTE Expresso and SIC Notícias |
18 | 15–20 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 11–25 |
| 5–8 April 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
11 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 7–16 | 5–16 |
| 24–27 March 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
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| 4–10 March 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
17 | 12–19 | 11–21 | 11–23 | 7–24 |
| 1–4 March 2021 | Eurosondagem | 12 | 10–16 | 8–16 | 7–17 | 7–18 |
| 17–20 February 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
12 | 11–18 | 9–18 | 9–19 | 7–21 |
| 8–13 February 2021 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
14 | 12–19 | 11–21 | 10–22 | 8–24 |
| 8–11 February 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
12 | 10–16 | 9–16 | 7–18 | 7–18 |
| 24 January 2021 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–19 |
| 7–18 January 2021 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
7 | 7–11 | 5–13 | 4–14 | 2–16 |
| 9–15 January 2021 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
14 | 10–18 | 7–18 | 7–18 | 7–21 |
| 11–14 January 2021 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
11 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 7–16 | 7–18 |
| 11–14 January 2021 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 7–17 |
| 29 December 2020–10 January 2021 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
13 | 9–16 | 7–18 | 7–18 | 7–20 |
| 4–7 January 2021 | Intercampus | 18 | 14–22 | 13–23 | 12–25 | 11–28 |
| 22 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
13 | 10–17 | 9–19 | 7–19 | 7–21 |
| 17–27 December 2020 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
7 | 7–12 | 5–13 | 5–14 | 3–16 |
| 19–22 December 2020 | Aximage Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias |
16 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 11–21 | 11–23 |
| 17–20 December 2020 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
7 | 7–11 | 5–13 | 5–14 | 3–16 |
| 14–18 December 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
14 | 11–18 | 8–19 | 7–20 | 7–22 |
| 10–13 December 2020 | Pitagórica Observador and TVI |
11 | 7–16 | 7–16 | 7–17 | 7–19 |
| 4–11 December 2020 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
12 | 8–14 | 7–15 | 7–16 | 7–18 |
| 7–10 December 2020 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
14 | 10–16 | 10–17 | 8–18 | 7–19 |
| 23–26 November 2020 | Aximage | 16 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 | 7–22 |
| 11–25 November 2020 | ICS/ISCTE | 16 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 11–21 | 9–22 |
| 9–16 November 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
15 | 11–18 | 11–19 | 9–21 | 7–23 |
| 2–5 November 2020 | Eurosondagem Porto Canal and Sol |
16 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 | 10–22 |
| 22–26 October 2020 | Aximage | 21 | 18–24 | 16–25 | 15–27 | 14–30 |
| 6–11 October 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
23 | 19–27 | 18–28 | 17–30 | 16–33 |
| 5–8 October 2020 | Eurosondagem | 16 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 |
| 14–24 September 2020 | ICS/ISCTE | |||||
| 12–15 September 2020 | Aximage | 17 | 12–21 | 11–23 | 11–23 | 10–25 |
| 7–10 September 2020 | Eurosondagem | 17 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 | 11–22 |
| 4–9 September 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 17–23 | 16–26 | 14–28 | 13–31 |
| 6–11 August 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
16 | 13–21 | 12–21 | 11–22 | 9–23 |
| 13–18 July 2020 | CESOP–UCP Público and RTP |
12 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 8–16 | 7–18 |
| 8–13 July 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
21 | 16–24 | 16–26 | 16–28 | 15–32 |
| 5–8 July 2020 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
15 | 13–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 | 9–24 |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Eurosondagem | 17 | 14–19 | 12–20 | 11–20 | 10–22 |
| 9–13 June 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 17–22 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 13–28 |
| 5–8 June 2020 | Aximage Jornal Económico |
16 | 10–21 | 9–22 | 9–24 | 7–31 |
| 1–4 June 2020 | Eurosondagem | 15 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 12–19 | 11–21 |
| 16–24 May 2020 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
10 | 7–15 | 7–15 | 7–16 | 5–18 |
| 17–20 May 2020 | Eurosondagem | 16 | 15–16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| 5–9 May 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
18 | 15–24 | 13–24 | 13–24 | 11–25 |
| 4–7 May 2020 | Eurosondagem | 16 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 13–20 | 11–21 |
| 15–26 April 2020 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
16 | 12–19 | 10–21 | 10–21 | 7–23 |
| 9–14 April 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
28 | 22–32 | 21–32 | 20–33 | 18–37 |
| 29 March–2 April 2020 | Eurosondagem | 19 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–24 | 14–26 |
| 13–21 March 2020 | Pitagórica Jornal de Notícias |
16 | 11–21 | 11–21 | 11–23 | 8–23 |
| 13–19 March 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
34 | 29–36 | 28–40 | 28–40 | 24–44 |
| 1–5 March 2020 | Eurosondagem | 19 | 16–21 | 15–23 | 15–23 | 12–24 |
| 14–18 February 2020 | Aximage | 17 | 14–19 | 12–19 | 11–20 | 10–21 |
| 11–17 February 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
33 | 23–35 | 23–37 | 23–38 | 21–43 |
| 2–6 February 2020 | Eurosondagem | 19 | 16–20 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 22 January–5 February 2020 | ICS/ISCTE | 18 | 16–21 | 14–21 | 12–23 | 12–24 |
| 19–24 January 2020 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
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| 5–9 January 2020 | Eurosondagem | |||||
| 12–17 December 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
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| 8–12 December 2019 | Eurosondagem | |||||
| 20–26 November 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
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| 17–21 November 2019 | Eurosondagem | |||||
| 8–11 November 2019 | Aximage | |||||
| 22–28 October 2019 | Intercampus Correio da Manhã and Negócios |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Bloco de Esquerda.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 3% | 97% | |
| 6 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 7 | 28% | 93% | |
| 8 | 5% | 65% | |
| 9 | 13% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 47% | |
| 11 | 11% | 41% | |
| 12 | 5% | 30% | |
| 13 | 2% | 25% | |
| 14 | 5% | 22% | |
| 15 | 4% | 17% | |
| 16 | 3% | 13% | |
| 17 | 2% | 10% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 2% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |