LIVRE

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 1.1% (General Election of 6 October 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 1.5% 0.7–2.2% 0.5–2.4% 0.4–2.6% 0.3–3.0%
24–28 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.7% 1.2–2.5% 1.1–2.7% 1.0–2.9% 0.8–3.3%
23–26 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.8% 1.3–2.7% 1.1–3.0% 1.0–3.2% 0.8–3.7%
19–26 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 2.0% 1.7–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
22–25 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.6% 1.1–2.5% 1.0–2.8% 0.9–3.0% 0.7–3.5%
21–24 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.0% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.9% 0.5–2.1% 0.3–2.6%
18–24 January 2022 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–1.8% 0.4–2.1%
20–23 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.2% 0.8–1.9% 0.6–2.1% 0.6–2.4% 0.4–2.8%
16–21 January 2022 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 1.5% 1.1–2.1% 0.9–2.3% 0.9–2.4% 0.7–2.8%
17–20 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.5% 1.0–2.3% 0.9–2.6% 0.8–2.8% 0.6–3.3%
15–18 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1%
14–17 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.3% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.4% 0.7–2.6% 0.5–3.0%
12–15 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 January 2022 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 January 2022 Intercampus
CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%
6–10 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.8% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.3%
30 December 2021–9 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 1.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–20 December 2021 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–14 December 2021 Intercampus
CMTV and Correio da Manhã		 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
9–13 December 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–12 December 2021 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 November 2021 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 November 2021 Intercampus
CMTV and Correio da Manhã		 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%
29 October–4 November 2021 CESOP–UCP 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 October–1 November 2021 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–31 October 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–21 October 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–23 September 2021 Intercampus
CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–23 September 2021 Eurosondagem
Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–19 September 2021 Pitagórica
TVI		 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
13–20 August 2021 Intercampus 0.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 August 2021 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 July 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–16 July 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.1%
10–12 July 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 July 2021 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–16 June 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.1%
31 May–3 June 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–30 May 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.3% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.0–1.2%
10–13 May 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 May 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 1.3% 0.9–2.1% 0.8–2.3% 0.7–2.6% 0.5–3.0%
3–7 May 2021 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–25 April 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.8% 0.5–1.4% 0.5–1.6% 0.4–1.7% 0.3–2.1%
7–13 April 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
5–13 April 2021 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 April 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–27 March 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–10 March 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.0%
1–4 March 2021 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 February 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 1.3% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2% 0.7–2.4% 0.6–2.8%
8–13 February 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.7% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.7% 0.2–2.1%
8–11 February 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24 January 2021 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 1.0% 0.8–1.2% 0.8–1.3% 0.7–1.3% 0.7–1.4%
7–18 January 2021 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 January 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.6% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.4% 0.2–1.6% 0.2–2.0%
11–14 January 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–14 January 2021 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 December 2020–10 January 2021 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 January 2021 Intercampus 0.2% 0.1–0.7% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%
22 December 2020–3 January 2021 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%
17–27 December 2020 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 December 2020 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0.5% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.1% 0.2–1.3% 0.1–1.6%
17–20 December 2020 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 December 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
10–13 December 2020 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 December 2020 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–10 December 2020 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–26 November 2020 Aximage 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–25 November 2020 ICS/ISCTE 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–16 November 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 1.8% 1.2–2.7% 1.1–2.9% 1.0–3.1% 0.8–3.6%
2–5 November 2020 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–26 October 2020 Aximage 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 October 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
5–8 October 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–24 September 2020 ICS/ISCTE 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 September 2020 Aximage 1.2% 0.8–2.0% 0.7–2.2% 0.6–2.4% 0.4–2.8%
7–10 September 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 September 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
6–11 August 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–18 July 2020 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 July 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.3% 0.2–0.9% 0.1–1.0% 0.1–1.2% 0.0–1.5%
5–8 July 2020 Aximage
Jornal Económico		 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%
29 June–2 July 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 June 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
5–8 June 2020 Aximage
Jornal Económico		 0.3% 0.1–1.1% 0.1–1.3% 0.1–1.6% 0.0–2.1%
1–4 June 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–24 May 2020 Pitagórica
Jornal de Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–20 May 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 May 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.6% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–2.0%
4–7 May 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–26 April 2020 Pitagórica
Jornal de Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–14 April 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.6% 0.4–1.3% 0.3–1.5% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–2.0%
29 March–2 April 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–21 March 2020 Pitagórica
Jornal de Notícias		 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 March 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.2% 0.1–0.6% 0.0–0.8% 0.0–0.9% 0.0–1.2%
1–5 March 2020 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 February 2020 Aximage 0.7% 0.5–1.3% 0.4–1.4% 0.3–1.6% 0.2–1.9%
11–17 February 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0.8% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.7% 0.4–1.9% 0.2–2.3%
2–6 February 2020 Eurosondagem 0.5% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.1% 0.2–1.2% 0.2–1.4%
22 January–5 February 2020 ICS/ISCTE 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.5–2.0% 0.4–2.3%
19–24 January 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 1.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 January 2020 Eurosondagem 0.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 December 2019 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 1.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 December 2019 Eurosondagem 0.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–26 November 2019 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 2.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–21 November 2019 Eurosondagem 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 November 2019 Aximage 0.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–28 October 2019 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 2.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for LIVRE.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 6% 100%  
0.5–1.5% 49% 94% Last Result, Median
1.5–2.5% 42% 45%  
2.5–3.5% 3% 3%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 1 seats (General Election of 6 October 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3
24–28 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 1–2 1–3 1–3 0–4
23–26 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 1–3 1–3 1–4 0–4
19–26 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
22–25 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 1–3 0–3 0–4 0–4
21–24 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–3
18–24 January 2022 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
20–23 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
19–22 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
18–21 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–3
16–21 January 2022 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 1 1 1–2 0–2 0–3
17–20 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
16–19 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 1–2 0–3 0–3 0–4
15–18 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
12–18 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 1 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
14–17 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
13–16 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		 1 0–1 0–2 0–3 0–3
12–15 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
11–14 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
10–13 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
6–12 January 2022 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		          
4–10 January 2022 Intercampus
CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
6–10 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–4
30 December 2021–9 January 2022 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
28 December 2021–5 January 2022 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		          
10–20 December 2021 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		          
7–14 December 2021 Intercampus
CMTV and Correio da Manhã		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
9–13 December 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		          
7–12 December 2021 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
10–15 November 2021 Pitagórica
CNN Portugal and TVI		          
5–11 November 2021 Intercampus
CMTV and Correio da Manhã		 0 0 0 0 0–1
29 October–4 November 2021 CESOP–UCP          
21 October–1 November 2021 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		          
28–31 October 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		          
18–21 October 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
14–23 September 2021 Intercampus
CMTV, Correio da Manhã and Negócios		          
20–23 September 2021 Eurosondagem
Sol		          
10–19 September 2021 Pitagórica
TVI		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
13–20 August 2021 Intercampus          
16–19 August 2021 Eurosondagem          
26–29 July 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
7–16 July 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
10–12 July 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		          
5–8 July 2021 Eurosondagem          
8–16 June 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
31 May–3 June 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
26–30 May 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0 0 0 0 0–1
10–13 May 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
5–11 May 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 1 0–1 0–2 0–3 0–3
3–7 May 2021 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		          
22–25 April 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
7–13 April 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
5–13 April 2021 ICS/ISCTE
Expresso and SIC Notícias		          
5–8 April 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
24–27 March 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		          
4–10 March 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
1–4 March 2021 Eurosondagem          
17–20 February 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 1 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–3
8–13 February 2021 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
8–11 February 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
24 January 2021 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
7–18 January 2021 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		          
9–15 January 2021 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
11–14 January 2021 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
11–14 January 2021 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		          
29 December 2020–10 January 2021 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		          
4–7 January 2021 Intercampus 0 0 0 0 0–1
22 December 2020–3 January 2021 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		 0 0 0 0 0–1
17–27 December 2020 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		          
19–22 December 2020 Aximage
Diário de Notícias, Jornal de Notícias and TSF Rádio Notícias		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
17–20 December 2020 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		          
14–18 December 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–3
10–13 December 2020 Pitagórica
Observador and TVI		          
4–11 December 2020 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		          
7–10 December 2020 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
23–26 November 2020 Aximage          
11–25 November 2020 ICS/ISCTE          
9–16 November 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 1 1–3 1–3 0–3 0–4
2–5 November 2020 Eurosondagem
Porto Canal and Sol		          
22–26 October 2020 Aximage          
6–11 October 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
5–8 October 2020 Eurosondagem          
14–24 September 2020 ICS/ISCTE          
12–15 September 2020 Aximage 1 0–2 0–2 0–3 0–3
7–10 September 2020 Eurosondagem          
4–9 September 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
6–11 August 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		          
13–18 July 2020 CESOP–UCP
Público and RTP		          
8–13 July 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
5–8 July 2020 Aximage
Jornal Económico		 0 0 0 0 0–1
29 June–2 July 2020 Eurosondagem          
9–13 June 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
5–8 June 2020 Aximage
Jornal Económico		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
1–4 June 2020 Eurosondagem          
16–24 May 2020 Pitagórica
Jornal de Notícias		          
17–20 May 2020 Eurosondagem          
5–9 May 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
4–7 May 2020 Eurosondagem          
15–26 April 2020 Pitagórica
Jornal de Notícias		          
9–14 April 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
29 March–2 April 2020 Eurosondagem          
13–21 March 2020 Pitagórica
Jornal de Notícias		          
13–19 March 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0 0 0–1 0–1
1–5 March 2020 Eurosondagem          
14–18 February 2020 Aximage 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
11–17 February 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		 0 0–1 0–1 0–2 0–2
2–6 February 2020 Eurosondagem 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
22 January–5 February 2020 ICS/ISCTE 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
19–24 January 2020 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		          
5–9 January 2020 Eurosondagem          
12–17 December 2019 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		          
8–12 December 2019 Eurosondagem          
20–26 November 2019 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		          
17–21 November 2019 Eurosondagem          
8–11 November 2019 Aximage          
22–28 October 2019 Intercampus
Correio da Manhã and Negócios		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for LIVRE.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100%  
1 61% 74% Last Result, Median
2 11% 13%  
3 2% 2%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%