Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja
Voting Intentions
Last result: 3.9% (General Election of 29 February 2020)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.4% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.2–5.7% | 2.0–6.1% | 1.7–6.8% |
| 25–26 September 2023 | Median | 2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 22–26 September 2023 | Focus | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.3% |
| 20–26 September 2023 | AKO | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 22–25 September 2023 | Ipsos | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 21–24 September 2023 | NMS | 3.1% | 2.6–3.8% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.5% |
| 16–20 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–6.9% | 3.9–7.4% |
| 15–19 September 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 6–13 September 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 5–11 September 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 5–9 September 2023 | NMS | 3.2% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.2–4.6% |
| 1–6 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia eReport |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–31 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 August 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 9–16 August 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 10–14 August 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 7–14 August 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 1–7 August 2023 | NMS | 3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
| 26 July–1 August 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 July 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| 22–27 July 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.4–6.7% | 4.2–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Median RTVS |
2.4% | 1.9–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 19–21 July 2023 | Median | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 July 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 10–17 July 2023 | AKO | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% |
| 4–9 July 2023 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% |
| 21–28 June 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 15 May–20 June 2023 | Median | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 June 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 6–9 June 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| 2–8 June 2023 | NMS | 3.4% | 2.9–4.1% | 2.7–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.3–4.8% |
| 24–31 May 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 16–19 May 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 3–17 May 2023 | NMS | 2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 May 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| 29 April–6 May 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 1 April–6 May 2023 | Median | 2.5% | 2.1–3.0% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.9–3.3% | 1.7–3.6% |
| 19–26 April 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| 10–14 April 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
2.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 April 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 March–2 April 2023 | NMS | 3.0% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 1–31 March 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 14–22 March 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.7% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 12 March 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 1 February–5 March 2023 | Median | 2.6% | 2.1–3.3% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.7% | 1.6–4.1% |
| 7–13 February 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 1–8 February 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.1–6.5% |
| 9 January–5 February 2023 | Median | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.8% |
| 28 January–1 February 2023 | Polis SITA |
4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 18–20 January 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 10–16 January 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 19–23 December 2022 | Median | 2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.8–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 16–20 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.5% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.1–6.2% |
| 6–12 December 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 30 November–7 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 22–28 November 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 8–12 November 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.2% |
| 8–11 November 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 18–21 October 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 October 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 21–27 September 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| 14–20 September 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 8–18 September 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.7% | 2.1–3.5% | 2.0–3.7% | 1.9–3.9% | 1.6–4.3% |
| 15–18 August 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 29 July–8 August 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| 7–14 July 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| 20–27 June 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 7–10 June 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% | 1.0–3.3% |
| 25–31 May 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 May 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 April 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 March–6 April 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 March 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 February–1 March 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–20 February 2022 | Median | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 February 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 27 January–1 February 2022 | Median | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 19–26 January 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 10–17 January 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 7–13 December 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 16–23 November 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
4.4% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.3–5.8% | 3.0–6.3% |
| 8–16 November 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 20–27 October 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| 17–20 October 2021 | Actly Zoznam/Topky |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 4–7 October 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| 6–13 September 2021 | AKO | 3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 September 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 August 2021 | AKO | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 July 2021 | AKO | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
| 7–11 June 2021 | AKO | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 2–9 June 2021 | FOCUS | 5.7% | 4.9–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.1–7.9% |
| 4–7 June 2021 | Actly | 3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–19 May 2021 | FOCUS | 4.8% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 13–17 May 2021 | AKO | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 12–17 April 2021 | AKO | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 31 March–7 April 2021 | FOCUS | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 27–31 March 2021 | Actly | 4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–6.0% |
| 8–12 March 2021 | AKO | 1.1% | 0.8–1.7% | 0.7–1.8% | 0.6–2.0% | 0.5–2.3% |
| 17–24 February 2021 | FOCUS | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.3% |
| 8–11 February 2021 | AKO | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 31 January–8 February 2021 | Polis SITA |
5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.3–7.0% | 3.9–7.5% |
| 16–20 January 2021 | Polis | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.2–6.4% | 4.1–6.7% | 3.7–7.2% |
| 12–19 January 2021 | FOCUS | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 7–13 January 2021 | Median SK RTVS |
3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 19–22 December 2020 | Polis | 5.3% | 4.5–6.3% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.8–7.3% |
| 17–19 December 2020 | AKO | 1.3% | 0.9–1.9% | 0.8–2.1% | 0.8–2.2% | 0.6–2.5% |
| 8–14 December 2020 | FOCUS | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 6–11 December 2020 | Actly | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–25 November 2020 | Polis | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 18–25 November 2020 | FOCUS | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 6–11 November 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.1–5.0% |
| 21–26 October 2020 | Actly | 1.6% | 1.2–2.2% | 1.1–2.4% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% |
| 15–23 October 2020 | Polis | 5.3% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.1–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 7–15 October 2020 | FOCUS | 3.2% | 2.5–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 7–12 October 2020 | Polis | 5.2% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.1% |
| 1–9 October 2020 | AKO | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| 14–18 September 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| 4–9 September 2020 | Polis | 5.5% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% | 4.4–6.9% | 4.0–7.4% |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | FOCUS | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| 21–26 August 2020 | Actly | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–27 July 2020 | Polis | 5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.5–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 7–17 July 2020 | AKO | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 17–24 June 2020 | FOCUS | 3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| 5–10 June 2020 | Polis | 4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
| 23–27 May 2020 | Polis | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.0% |
| 14–21 May 2020 | FOCUS | 4.2% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 15–19 April 2020 | FOCUS | 2.8% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.0–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
| 14–17 April 2020 | AKO | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 4–8 April 2020 | Polis | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 March 2020 | FOCUS | 3.5% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.3–5.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 42% | 87% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 27% | 45% | Last Result |
| 4.5–5.5% | 11% | 18% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 29 February 2020)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| 25–26 September 2023 | Median | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–26 September 2023 | Focus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| 20–26 September 2023 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–25 September 2023 | Ipsos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 |
| 21–24 September 2023 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–20 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 10 | 8–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 15–19 September 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| 6–13 September 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 5–11 September 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5–9 September 2023 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–6 September 2023 | Polis Slovakia eReport |
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| 25–31 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
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| 21–24 August 2023 | Median RTVS |
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| 11–16 August 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
10 | 9–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–13 |
| 9–16 August 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–14 August 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 7–14 August 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–7 August 2023 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 July–1 August 2023 | IPSOS Pravda |
|||||
| 24–28 July 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–27 July 2023 | Polis Slovakia Zoznam |
8 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Median RTVS |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–26 July 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 |
| 19–21 July 2023 | Median | |||||
| 17–21 July 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–17 July 2023 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–9 July 2023 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–28 June 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 |
| 15 May–20 June 2023 | Median | |||||
| 12–16 June 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–9 June 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2–8 June 2023 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–31 May 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 16–19 May 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 3–17 May 2023 | NMS | |||||
| 4–10 May 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 April–6 May 2023 | Polis Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 April–6 May 2023 | Median | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–26 April 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 10–14 April 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
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| 4–11 April 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 28 March–2 April 2023 | NMS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 March 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| 14–22 March 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 12 March 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 February–5 March 2023 | Median | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–13 February 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–8 February 2023 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 9 January–5 February 2023 | Median | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| 28 January–1 February 2023 | Polis SITA |
0 | 0–9 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 18–20 January 2023 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–16 January 2023 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–23 December 2022 | Median | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–20 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| 6–12 December 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 November–7 December 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 22–28 November 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| 8–12 November 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–11 November 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
9 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 18–21 October 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
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| 12–19 October 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–27 September 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 14–20 September 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–18 September 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–18 August 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 July–8 August 2022 | IPSOS Denník N |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–14 July 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–27 June 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 7–10 June 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 25–31 May 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
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| 10–16 May 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 5–11 April 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 30 March–6 April 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
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| 8–11 March 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
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| 22 February–1 March 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
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| 9–20 February 2022 | Median | |||||
| 8–14 February 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 27 January–1 February 2022 | Median | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–26 January 2022 | Focus TV Markíza |
0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–12 |
| 10–17 January 2022 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 7–13 December 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–10 |
| 16–23 November 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 8–16 November 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 |
| 20–27 October 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 17–20 October 2021 | Actly Zoznam/Topky |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 4–7 October 2021 | AKO TV JOJ |
0 | 0–9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| 6–13 September 2021 | AKO | |||||
| 1–7 September 2021 | FOCUS TV Markíza |
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| 10–15 August 2021 | AKO | |||||
| 6–12 July 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 7–11 June 2021 | AKO | 9 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 2–9 June 2021 | FOCUS | 10 | 9–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–14 |
| 4–7 June 2021 | Actly | |||||
| 11–19 May 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 |
| 13–17 May 2021 | AKO | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 0–12 |
| 12–17 April 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| 31 March–7 April 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 27–31 March 2021 | Actly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 |
| 8–12 March 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–24 February 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–11 February 2021 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 January–8 February 2021 | Polis SITA |
10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 16–20 January 2021 | Polis | 9 | 9–11 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–13 |
| 12–19 January 2021 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–13 January 2021 | Median SK RTVS |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19–22 December 2020 | Polis | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 0–10 |
| 17–19 December 2020 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8–14 December 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 6–11 December 2020 | Actly | |||||
| 20–25 November 2020 | Polis | 0 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| 18–25 November 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| 6–11 November 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–10 |
| 21–26 October 2020 | Actly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–23 October 2020 | Polis | 10 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–12 | 0–13 |
| 7–15 October 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7–12 October 2020 | Polis | 9 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 1–9 October 2020 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–18 September 2020 | Median SK RTVS |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–9 September 2020 | Polis | 10 | 0–11 | 0–11 | 0–12 | 0–14 |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–26 August 2020 | Actly | |||||
| 22–27 July 2020 | Polis | 10 | 0–11 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 7–17 July 2020 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–24 June 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 5–10 June 2020 | Polis | 0 | 0–10 | 0–10 | 0–11 | 0–12 |
| 23–27 May 2020 | Polis | 0 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–9 | 0–10 |
| 14–21 May 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–9 |
| 15–19 April 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14–17 April 2020 | AKO | 0 | 0 | 0–9 | 0–11 | 0–11 |
| 4–8 April 2020 | Polis | |||||
| 18–21 March 2020 | FOCUS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Strana maďarskej koalície–Magyar Koalíció Pártja.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 86% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 14% | |
| 2 | 0% | 14% | |
| 3 | 0% | 14% | |
| 4 | 0% | 14% | |
| 5 | 0% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0% | 14% | |
| 7 | 0% | 14% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 14% | |
| 9 | 2% | 13% | |
| 10 | 7% | 11% | |
| 11 | 3% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |