Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (NI)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2.9% | 2.1–3.9% | 1.9–4.3% | 1.7–4.5% | 1.5–5.1% |
25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
2.2% | 1.8–2.9% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.3% | 1.3–3.7% |
15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% |
11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.5–3.9% |
7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% |
13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.6–4.1% |
9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
3.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 3.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
2.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
2.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (NI).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 32% | 99.1% | |
2.5–3.5% | 48% | 68% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 17% | 20% | |
4.5–5.5% | 2% | 2% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Konfederacja Korony Polskiej (NI).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 62% | 99.5% | Median |
2 | 36% | 37% | |
3 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
4 | 0% | 0% |