Platforma Obywatelska (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 30.9% | 27.6–33.8% | 26.9–34.5% | 26.4–35.0% | 25.4–36.2% |
25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.1% | 31.2–35.1% | 30.7–35.6% | 30.2–36.1% | 29.4–37.0% |
25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.3% | 29.6–33.2% | 29.1–33.7% | 28.6–34.2% | 27.8–35.1% |
15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
32.0% | 30.1–33.9% | 29.6–34.4% | 29.1–34.9% | 28.3–35.9% |
11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
31.5% | 29.8–33.4% | 29.3–33.9% | 28.9–34.4% | 28.0–35.3% |
7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | 31.0–34.9% | 30.5–35.4% | 30.1–35.9% | 29.2–36.8% |
20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
29.9% | 28.1–31.8% | 27.6–32.3% | 27.2–32.8% | 26.4–33.7% |
9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
33.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Platforma Obywatelska (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
24.5–25.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
25.5–26.5% | 2% | 99.3% | |
26.5–27.5% | 6% | 97% | |
27.5–28.5% | 10% | 91% | |
28.5–29.5% | 13% | 80% | |
29.5–30.5% | 13% | 68% | |
30.5–31.5% | 15% | 54% | Median |
31.5–32.5% | 15% | 39% | |
32.5–33.5% | 12% | 24% | |
33.5–34.5% | 7% | 12% | |
34.5–35.5% | 3% | 5% | |
35.5–36.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
36.5–37.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 18–22 |
25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
18 | 18–19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 |
11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Platforma Obywatelska (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0% | 100% | |
7 | 0% | 100% | |
8 | 0% | 100% | |
9 | 0% | 100% | |
10 | 0% | 100% | |
11 | 0% | 100% | |
12 | 0% | 100% | |
13 | 0% | 100% | |
14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
15 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
16 | 13% | 98.8% | |
17 | 8% | 86% | |
18 | 36% | 78% | Median |
19 | 34% | 42% | |
20 | 7% | 8% | |
21 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
23 | 0% | 0% |