Platforma Obywatelska (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 30.9% | 27.6–33.7% | 26.9–34.4% | 26.4–34.9% | 25.4–36.0% |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
32.0% | 30.1–33.9% | 29.6–34.4% | 29.1–34.9% | 28.3–35.9% |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
31.5% | 29.8–33.4% | 29.3–33.9% | 28.9–34.4% | 28.0–35.3% |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
29.0% | 27.2–30.9% | 26.7–31.4% | 26.3–31.9% | 25.4–32.8% |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | 31.0–34.9% | 30.5–35.4% | 30.1–35.9% | 29.2–36.8% |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
28.2% | 26.4–30.1% | 25.9–30.6% | 25.5–31.1% | 24.7–32.0% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
29.9% | 28.1–31.8% | 27.6–32.3% | 27.2–32.8% | 26.4–33.7% |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
33.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Platforma Obywatelska (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 6% | 97% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 10% | 91% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 12% | 80% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 13% | 68% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 15% | 55% | Median |
| 31.5–32.5% | 16% | 40% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 13% | 24% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
18 | 18–19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Platforma Obywatelska (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 14% | 98.8% | |
| 17 | 10% | 85% | |
| 18 | 38% | 75% | Median |
| 19 | 20% | 38% | |
| 20 | 15% | 18% | |
| 21 | 2% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |