Platforma Obywatelska (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 33.2% | 30.4–36.7% | 29.7–37.5% | 29.2–38.2% | 28.1–39.4% |
| 20–23 March 2026 | Research Partner | 32.7% | 30.8–34.7% | 30.3–35.2% | 29.8–35.7% | 28.9–36.7% |
| 11–16 March 2026 | OGB | 36.4% | 34.4–38.3% | 33.9–38.9% | 33.4–39.4% | 32.5–40.4% |
| 13–15 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.1% | 31.1–35.1% | 30.6–35.6% | 30.1–36.1% | 29.2–37.1% |
| 13–15 March 2026 | IBRiS Polsat News |
32.0% | 30.1–34.0% | 29.6–34.6% | 29.1–35.1% | 28.2–36.1% |
| 11–13 March 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
30.7% | 29.0–32.6% | 28.5–33.1% | 28.0–33.5% | 27.2–34.4% |
| 11–12 March 2026 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
35.7% | 33.7–37.7% | 33.1–38.3% | 32.6–38.8% | 31.7–39.8% |
| 9 March 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 March 2026 | Opinia24 | 35.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 February–1 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 February 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.7% | 29.8–33.7% | 29.3–34.2% | 28.9–34.7% | 28.0–35.6% |
| 25–26 February 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
32.9% | 31.0–34.9% | 30.5–35.4% | 30.0–35.9% | 29.1–36.8% |
| 20–21 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | 30.1–34.1% | 29.6–34.7% | 29.1–35.2% | 28.2–36.1% |
| 19–20 February 2026 | Ipsos TVP Info |
30.2% | 28.3–32.2% | 27.8–32.8% | 27.3–33.3% | 26.4–34.2% |
| 6–17 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
31.7% | 29.9–33.5% | 29.4–34.1% | 29.0–34.5% | 28.2–35.4% |
| 13–15 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 February 2026 | OGB | 33.1% | 31.2–35.0% | 30.7–35.6% | 30.2–36.0% | 29.3–37.0% |
| 1–8 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
33.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 February 2026 | Opinia24 | 33.0% | 31.0–35.0% | 30.5–35.6% | 30.0–36.1% | 29.1–37.1% |
| 30 January–1 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 January 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 January 2026 | OGB Stan 360 |
37.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 January 2026 | Opinia24 | 31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 December 2025–1 January 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 December 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 December 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 December 2025 | OGB | 33.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Radio ZET |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 December 2025 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
33.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 December 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 December 2025 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 November 2025 | OGB Stan 360 |
36.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 November 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 November 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 November 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–15 November 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
32.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 November 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 November 2025 | Opinia24 | 34.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 October–3 November 2025 | Research Partner | 30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 October 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
32.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 October 2025 | OGB | 37.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 October 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 October 2025 | OGB | 34.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–13 October 2025 | OGB | 31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 October 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 October 2025 | Opinia24 | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Research Partner | 27.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
27.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 September 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
26.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 September 2025 | OGB | 31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–5 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolityce.pl |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 September 2025 | Opinia24 | 28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 August–1 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
27.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 August–1 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 August 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Research Partner | 28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 August 2025 | United Surveys SE.pl |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–13 August 2025 | OGB | 30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 August 2025 | Opinia24 | 27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
24.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 July 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
23.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 July 2025 | Research Partner | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 July 2025 | OGB | 28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 July 2025 | Opinia24 | 28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
25.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
25.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 June 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
24.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | 32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
28.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | 31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | 31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | 33.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | 33.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | 29.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
26.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | 29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
33.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
29.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
30.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
28.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
33.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Platforma Obywatelska (EPP).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 7% | 96% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 12% | 89% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 16% | 77% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 16% | 60% | Median |
| 33.5–34.5% | 14% | 44% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 11% | 30% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 9% | 20% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 6% | 11% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 3% | 5% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41.5–42.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 21 | 19–23 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 17–25 |
| 20–23 March 2026 | Research Partner | 20 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| 11–16 March 2026 | OGB | 22 | 21–23 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 19–25 |
| 13–15 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
21 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 18–23 |
| 13–15 March 2026 | IBRiS Polsat News |
19 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| 11–13 March 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
19 | 18–20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| 11–12 March 2026 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
22 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 20–25 |
| 9 March 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 2–4 March 2026 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 27 February–1 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 27–28 February 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| 25–26 February 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
21 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| 20–21 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| 19–20 February 2026 | Ipsos TVP Info |
19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 6–17 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
20 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 | 17–22 |
| 13–15 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 9–14 February 2026 | OGB | 20 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| 1–8 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 2–4 February 2026 | Opinia24 | 21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
| 30 January–1 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 30–31 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 20–21 January 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 12–19 January 2026 | OGB Stan 360 |
|||||
| 16–18 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 12–14 January 2026 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 2–4 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 2–3 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 31 December 2025–1 January 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 1–31 December 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 19–21 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 1–20 December 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 9–15 December 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 5–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Radio ZET |
|||||
| 5–8 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 4–7 December 2025 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
|||||
| 6–7 December 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 4–6 December 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
|||||
| 1–3 December 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 22–25 November 2025 | OGB Stan 360 |
|||||
| 21–23 November 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–23 November 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 15–17 November 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 1–15 November 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 14–15 November 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 3–5 November 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 31 October–3 November 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 1–31 October 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 23–27 October 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 24–26 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 24–25 October 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 15–22 October 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 13–14 October 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 8–13 October 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 10–12 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 11–12 October 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 8–9 October 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 6–8 October 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 26–29 September 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 26–28 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 27–28 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 26–27 September 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 13–15 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 12–15 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 10–11 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 2–9 September 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 29 August–5 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolityce.pl |
|||||
| 1–3 September 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 28 August–1 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 30 August–1 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 29–30 August 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 22–25 August 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 13–16 August 2025 | United Surveys SE.pl |
|||||
| 6–13 August 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 8–9 August 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 4–6 August 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–28 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 25–27 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 25–26 July 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
|||||
| 18–21 July 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 11–13 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 4–11 July 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 July 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 27–29 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 26–27 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 23–24 June 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
|||||
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
|||||
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
|||||
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 6–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 24 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
|||||
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
|||||
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
|||||
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | |||||
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
|||||
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
|||||
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
|||||
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
|||||
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
|||||
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
|||||
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
|||||
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
|||||
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
|||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
|||||
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Platforma Obywatelska (EPP).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 19 | 19% | 94% | |
| 20 | 23% | 75% | |
| 21 | 24% | 52% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 28% | |
| 23 | 7% | 10% | |
| 24 | 2% | 3% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | Majority |