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Polska 2050 (RE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 5.2% 3.9–6.5% 3.6–6.8% 3.4–7.1% 3.0–7.7%
25–27 October 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
5.9% 5.0–7.0% 4.8–7.3% 4.6–7.5% 4.2–8.1%
25–26 October 2024 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita
5.6% 4.8–6.6% 4.6–6.9% 4.4–7.2% 4.0–7.7%
15–18 October 2024 Opinia24
TVN24
4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
11–14 October 2024 IBRiS
Wydarzenia Polsat
5.5% 4.7–6.4% 4.5–6.7% 4.3–7.0% 3.9–7.5%
7–9 October 2024 Opinia24
Gazeta Wyborcza
3.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 October 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express
5.6% 4.7–6.6% 4.5–6.9% 4.3–7.2% 3.9–7.7%
29–30 September 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP Info
5.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 September 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
6.1% 5.2–7.2% 5.0–7.5% 4.8–7.8% 4.4–8.3%
20–21 September 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–18 September 2024 Ipsos
Krytyka Polityczna
4.2% 3.5–5.1% 3.3–5.4% 3.1–5.6% 2.8–6.1%
13–16 September 2024 Research Partner
Ariadna
5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.2–6.5% 4.0–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
9–10 September 2024 IBRiS
Wydarzenia Polsat
6.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30–31 August 2024 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita
6.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 August 2024 Opinia24 6.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8 August 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express
5.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 July 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
6.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 July 2024 IBRiS
Onet.pl
5.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 July 2024 Research Partner
Ariadna
4.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 July 2024 Opinia24 6.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 July 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express
4.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 July 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
5.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–23 June 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
5.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 June 2024 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita
5.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–21 June 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
5.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 June 2024 IBRiS
Onet.pl
5.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 June 2024 Opinia24 4.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Polska 2050 (RE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 4% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 24% 96%  
4.5–5.5% 34% 72% Median
5.5–6.5% 29% 38%  
6.5–7.5% 8% 9%  
7.5–8.5% 0.8% 0.8%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
25–27 October 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
3 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–4
25–26 October 2024 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita
3 3–4 3–4 2–4 2–5
15–18 October 2024 Opinia24
TVN24
2 2 2–3 2–3 2–3
11–14 October 2024 IBRiS
Wydarzenia Polsat
3 2–3 2–4 2–4 2–4
7–9 October 2024 Opinia24
Gazeta Wyborcza
         
5–6 October 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express
3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–5
29–30 September 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
TVP Info
         
27–29 September 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
4 3–4 3–5 3–5 2–5
20–21 September 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
         
10–18 September 2024 Ipsos
Krytyka Polityczna
2 2–3 2–3 2–3 1–4
13–16 September 2024 Research Partner
Ariadna
3 3–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
9–10 September 2024 IBRiS
Wydarzenia Polsat
         
30–31 August 2024 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita
         
5–8 August 2024 Opinia24          
8 August 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express
         
26–28 July 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
         
24–25 July 2024 IBRiS
Onet.pl
         
19–22 July 2024 Research Partner
Ariadna
         
8–11 July 2024 Opinia24          
8–9 July 2024 Instytut Badań Pollster
Super Express
         
5–8 July 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
         
21–23 June 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
         
21–22 June 2024 IBRiS
Rzeczpospolita
         
23–21 June 2024 United Surveys
WP.pl
         
18–19 June 2024 IBRiS
Onet.pl
         
10–11 June 2024 Opinia24          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Polska 2050 (RE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 31% 99.7%  
3 56% 69% Median
4 12% 13%  
5 0.5% 0.5%  
6 0% 0%