Polska 2050 (RE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.2% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.1–4.5% | 2.0–4.8% | 1.7–5.4% |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 2.8% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.7–4.5% |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.0% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
3.2% | 2.6–4.2% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.2–4.7% | 2.0–5.2% |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
3.5% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.9% | 2.2–5.3% |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 2.5% | 2.0–3.3% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.1% |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.3% | 1.5–3.5% | 1.3–3.9% |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
3.2% | 2.6–4.0% | 2.4–4.2% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
3.5% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.7–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.2% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.0–5.7% | 2.7–6.2% |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Newsweek |
2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.1–6.8% |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | 3.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | 3.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | 2.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | 4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | 5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
5.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
5.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Polska 2050 (RE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 17% | 99.8% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 50% | 83% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 28% | 33% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
2 | 2 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–3 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
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| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
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| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Newsweek |
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| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
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| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
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| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | |||||
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
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| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
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| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
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| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
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| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Polska 2050 (RE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 17% | 88% | |
| 2 | 65% | 71% | Median |
| 3 | 6% | 6% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |