Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (EPP)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 4.3% | 3.2–5.5% | 2.9–5.8% | 2.7–6.1% | 2.4–6.6% |
15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
4.5% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.5–5.9% | 3.1–6.4% |
7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
3.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.5% |
29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
4.3% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% |
9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 3.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (EPP).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 1.2% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 20% | 98.8% | |
3.5–4.5% | 39% | 79% | Median |
4.5–5.5% | 31% | 39% | |
5.5–6.5% | 8% | 8% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–3 |
11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
|||||
5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
|||||
27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
2 | 1–2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 |
13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
2 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
|||||
30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (EPP).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 9% | 100% | |
2 | 53% | 91% | Median |
3 | 35% | 38% | |
4 | 3% | 3% | |
5 | 0% | 0% |