Ruch Narodowy (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.0% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.1–7.9% | 3.8–8.3% | 3.4–9.0% |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
6.7% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.2–8.5% | 4.8–9.1% |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.0–7.6% | 4.8–7.9% | 4.4–8.5% |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
7.1% | 6.1–8.3% | 5.9–8.6% | 5.6–8.9% | 5.2–9.5% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
5.8% | 4.8–6.9% | 4.6–7.3% | 4.4–7.6% | 4.0–8.2% |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.9–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 4.5% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.4–6.0% | 3.0–6.5% |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.1–8.9% | 5.9–9.3% | 5.4–9.9% |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
7.5% | 6.5–8.6% | 6.3–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.8% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
7.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
6.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.0% | 5.1–7.2% | 4.9–7.5% | 4.7–7.8% | 4.3–8.4% |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Newsweek |
6.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
7.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.7% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | 6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.6–9.6% | 6.4–10.0% | 5.9–10.6% |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
7.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
7.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
7.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
7.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | 6.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
8.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | 8.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
9.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
7.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
6.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
6.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 5.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | 6.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | 5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
6.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
5.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | 4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 5.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
4.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
5.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
5.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
2.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
3.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
5.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
2.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
4.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
4.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
3.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
3.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 4.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ruch Narodowy (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 25% | 88% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 31% | 63% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 23% | 33% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
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| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 2–5 |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
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| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Newsweek |
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| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
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| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
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| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | |||||
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
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| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
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| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
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| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
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| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ruch Narodowy (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 21% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 43% | 79% | Median |
| 4 | 28% | 36% | |
| 5 | 7% | 8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |