Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 28.0% | 25.1–30.6% | 24.5–31.3% | 24.0–31.8% | 22.9–32.9% |
| 20–23 March 2026 | Research Partner | 29.4% | 27.6–31.3% | 27.0–31.9% | 26.6–32.3% | 25.7–33.3% |
| 11–16 March 2026 | OGB | 28.8% | 27.0–30.7% | 26.5–31.2% | 26.0–31.7% | 25.2–32.6% |
| 13–15 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
26.4% | 24.6–28.3% | 24.1–28.8% | 23.7–29.3% | 22.8–30.2% |
| 13–15 March 2026 | IBRiS Polsat News |
26.6% | 24.8–28.5% | 24.2–29.0% | 23.8–29.5% | 23.0–30.4% |
| 11–13 March 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
30.0% | 28.2–31.8% | 27.7–32.3% | 27.3–32.8% | 26.5–33.7% |
| 11–12 March 2026 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
25.7% | 23.9–27.6% | 23.4–28.1% | 23.0–28.6% | 22.1–29.5% |
| 9 March 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
26.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 March 2026 | Opinia24 | 23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 February–1 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
25.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 February 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
24.2% | 22.5–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.9% |
| 25–26 February 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
28.4% | 26.6–30.3% | 26.1–30.9% | 25.7–31.3% | 24.9–32.3% |
| 20–21 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
23.4% | 21.6–25.2% | 21.2–25.8% | 20.7–26.2% | 19.9–27.1% |
| 19–20 February 2026 | Ipsos TVP Info |
28.3% | 26.4–30.2% | 25.9–30.8% | 25.4–31.3% | 24.6–32.2% |
| 6–17 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
28.0% | 26.3–29.8% | 25.8–30.3% | 25.4–30.7% | 24.6–31.6% |
| 13–15 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
23.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 February 2026 | OGB | 27.8% | 26.0–29.6% | 25.5–30.2% | 25.1–30.6% | 24.2–31.6% |
| 1–8 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 February 2026 | Opinia24 | 26.3% | 24.5–28.2% | 24.0–28.8% | 23.6–29.2% | 22.7–30.2% |
| 30 January–1 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 January 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 January 2026 | OGB Stan 360 |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 January 2026 | Opinia24 | 27.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 December 2025–1 January 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 December 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
27.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
27.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–20 December 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 December 2025 | OGB | 31.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Radio ZET |
26.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 December 2025 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 December 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 December 2025 | Opinia24 | 26.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 November 2025 | OGB Stan 360 |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 November 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
27.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 November 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 November 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–15 November 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–15 November 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
28.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 November 2025 | Opinia24 | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 October–3 November 2025 | Research Partner | 30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–31 October 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 October 2025 | OGB | 28.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 October 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 October 2025 | OGB | 29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–13 October 2025 | OGB | 27.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 October 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
29.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 October 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 October 2025 | Opinia24 | 30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 September 2025 | Research Partner | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
28.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 September 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
33.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–9 September 2025 | OGB | 30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–5 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolityce.pl |
36.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 September 2025 | Opinia24 | 30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 August–1 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 August–1 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 August 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 August 2025 | Research Partner | 35.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 August 2025 | United Surveys SE.pl |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–13 August 2025 | OGB | 30.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 August 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 August 2025 | Opinia24 | 31.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 July 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 July 2025 | Research Partner | 33.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–11 July 2025 | OGB | 26.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 July 2025 | Opinia24 | 30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
33.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 June 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
30.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
33.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
33.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
33.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
29.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 33.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
27.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
28.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | 31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | 32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | 32.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | 31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
33.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 34.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
35.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
33.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
37.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | 31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
32.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
34.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
34.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
34.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
36.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 9% | 95% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 13% | 86% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 16% | 73% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 17% | 57% | Median |
| 28.5–29.5% | 17% | 40% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 13% | 24% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 7% | 11% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 16 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–20 |
| 20–23 March 2026 | Research Partner | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 11–16 March 2026 | OGB | 17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| 13–15 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
14 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 |
| 13–15 March 2026 | IBRiS Polsat News |
15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 11–13 March 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 11–12 March 2026 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 9 March 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 2–4 March 2026 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 27 February–1 March 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 27–28 February 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| 25–26 February 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
17 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 20–21 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 19–20 February 2026 | Ipsos TVP Info |
16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 6–17 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| 13–15 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 9–14 February 2026 | OGB | 16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 1–8 February 2026 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 2–4 February 2026 | Opinia24 | 16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| 30 January–1 February 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 30–31 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 20–21 January 2026 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 12–19 January 2026 | OGB Stan 360 |
|||||
| 16–18 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 12–14 January 2026 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 2–4 January 2026 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 2–3 January 2026 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 31 December 2025–1 January 2026 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 1–31 December 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 19–21 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 1–20 December 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 9–15 December 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 5–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Radio ZET |
|||||
| 5–8 December 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 4–7 December 2025 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
|||||
| 6–7 December 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 4–6 December 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
|||||
| 1–3 December 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 22–25 November 2025 | OGB Stan 360 |
|||||
| 21–23 November 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–23 November 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 15–17 November 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 1–15 November 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 14–15 November 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 3–5 November 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 31 October–3 November 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 1–31 October 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 23–27 October 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 24–26 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 24–25 October 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 15–22 October 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 13–14 October 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 8–13 October 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 10–12 October 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 11–12 October 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 8–9 October 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 6–8 October 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 26–29 September 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 26–28 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 27–28 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 26–27 September 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 13–15 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 12–15 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolsce24 |
|||||
| 10–11 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 2–9 September 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 29 August–5 September 2025 | Social Changes wPolityce.pl |
|||||
| 1–3 September 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 28 August–1 September 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 30 August–1 September 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 29–30 August 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 22–25 August 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 13–16 August 2025 | United Surveys SE.pl |
|||||
| 6–13 August 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 8–9 August 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 4–6 August 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–28 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 25–27 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 25–26 July 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
|||||
| 18–21 July 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 11–13 July 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 4–11 July 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 July 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 27–29 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 26–27 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 23–24 June 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
|||||
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
|||||
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
|||||
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
|||||
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
|||||
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 6–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 24 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
|||||
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
|||||
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
|||||
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
|||||
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
|||||
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | |||||
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
|||||
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
|||||
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
|||||
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
|||||
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
|||||
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
|||||
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
|||||
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
|||||
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
|||||
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
|||||
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
|||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
|||||
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
|||||
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
|||||
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
|||||
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
|||||
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
|||||
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 11% | 98% | |
| 15 | 22% | 88% | |
| 16 | 23% | 65% | Median |
| 17 | 20% | 43% | |
| 18 | 14% | 22% | |
| 19 | 7% | 8% | |
| 20 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |