Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 31.6% | 29.1–34.3% | 28.5–35.0% | 27.9–35.7% | 27.0–36.8% |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
30.0% | 28.1–32.0% | 27.6–32.5% | 27.1–33.0% | 26.2–34.0% |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 30.3% | 28.5–32.3% | 27.9–32.8% | 27.5–33.3% | 26.6–34.3% |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | 29.4–33.3% | 28.9–33.8% | 28.4–34.3% | 27.5–35.3% |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
33.2% | 31.2–35.4% | 30.6–36.0% | 30.1–36.5% | 29.1–37.5% |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
31.5% | 29.6–33.5% | 29.1–34.0% | 28.6–34.5% | 27.7–35.5% |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 33.4% | 31.5–35.4% | 30.9–36.0% | 30.5–36.5% | 29.6–37.4% |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.5% | 27.6–31.5% | 27.1–32.0% | 26.6–32.5% | 25.7–33.5% |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
33.1% | 31.3–35.1% | 30.8–35.6% | 30.3–36.1% | 29.5–37.0% |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
33.6% | 31.8–35.6% | 31.2–36.1% | 30.8–36.6% | 29.9–37.6% |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.2% | 28.3–32.2% | 27.7–32.7% | 27.3–33.2% | 26.4–34.2% |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Newsweek |
30.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 33.8% | 31.9–35.7% | 31.4–36.3% | 30.9–36.8% | 30.0–37.7% |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
28.9% | 27.0–30.9% | 26.5–31.5% | 26.0–31.9% | 25.1–32.9% |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | 31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
29.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | 32.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
30.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | 32.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
29.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | 31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
33.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 34.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
35.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
33.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
37.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
30.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | 31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
32.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
34.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
34.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
34.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
36.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 10% | 95% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 15% | 85% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 19% | 70% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 18% | 51% | Median |
| 32.5–33.5% | 14% | 33% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 10% | 18% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 18 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–21 |
| 12–14 June 2025 | IBRiS Polsat News |
16 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 |
| 9–12 June 2025 | Opinia24 | 18 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| 6–8 June 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 6–7 June 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–6 June 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Najwyższy Czas |
19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 |
| 28–29 May 2025 | Social Changes Radio Wnet |
18 | 18–19 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 27–28 May 2025 | Research Partner | 19 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| 25–27 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–21 | 15–21 |
| 26–27 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| 23–26 May 2025 | Opinia24 Radio Zet |
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| 25 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 12–14 May 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 12–13 May 2025 | IBRiS Onet |
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| 7–8 May 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 7 May 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
17 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 |
| 5–7 May 2025 | Opinia24 Newsweek |
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| 1–30 April 2025 | Opinia24 Fakty TVN and TVN24 |
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| 28–29 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 28–29 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 23–25 April 2025 | OGB | 19 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 17–19 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 14–16 April 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 14–16 April 2025 | Ipsos TVP Info |
16 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 15–16 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 9–14 April 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 7–9 April 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 4–6 April 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 2–6 April 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 3–4 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster TV Republika |
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| 31 March–1 April 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 21–24 March 2025 | Research Partner | |||||
| 21–23 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 17–21 March 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 10–13 March 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 11–13 March 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 7–9 March 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 7–9 March 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster SE.pl |
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| 7–8 March 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | |||||
| 19–26 February 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 21–24 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–24 February 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 17–21 February 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos Liberté! |
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| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | |||||
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
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| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
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| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
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| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
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| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
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| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 13% | 97% | |
| 17 | 10% | 84% | |
| 18 | 41% | 73% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 32% | |
| 20 | 8% | 13% | |
| 21 | 5% | 5% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |