Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 31.7% | 28.9–34.3% | 28.2–35.0% | 27.5–35.5% | 26.4–36.6% |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 31.8% | 29.9–33.9% | 29.4–34.4% | 28.9–34.9% | 28.0–35.9% |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
31.8% | 29.4–34.4% | 28.8–35.1% | 28.2–35.7% | 27.1–37.0% |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
29.2% | 27.3–31.1% | 26.8–31.7% | 26.4–32.2% | 25.5–33.1% |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.2% | 31.4–35.1% | 30.9–35.7% | 30.5–36.1% | 29.6–37.0% |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | 30.9–34.9% | 30.4–35.5% | 29.9–36.0% | 29.0–37.0% |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
30.8% | 29.0–32.7% | 28.5–33.2% | 28.0–33.7% | 27.2–34.6% |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
31.5% | 29.6–33.5% | 29.1–34.1% | 28.6–34.6% | 27.7–35.6% |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
33.7% | 31.8–35.7% | 31.2–36.2% | 30.8–36.7% | 29.9–37.7% |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.9% | 30.9–34.9% | 30.4–35.5% | 29.9–36.0% | 29.0–36.9% |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | 32.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 34.5% | 32.6–36.5% | 32.1–37.0% | 31.6–37.5% | 30.7–38.5% |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.7% | 31.8–35.6% | 31.3–36.2% | 30.8–36.7% | 29.9–37.6% |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
31.5% | 29.6–33.5% | 29.1–34.1% | 28.6–34.6% | 27.7–35.6% |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.4% | 32.4–36.4% | 31.9–36.9% | 31.4–37.4% | 30.5–38.4% |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
35.6% | 33.7–37.6% | 33.2–38.2% | 32.7–38.7% | 31.8–39.6% |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
33.1% | 31.2–35.1% | 30.6–35.7% | 30.2–36.2% | 29.2–37.2% |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.8% | 28.9–32.8% | 28.3–33.4% | 27.8–33.9% | 26.9–34.9% |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
31.0% | 29.2–32.9% | 28.7–33.5% | 28.2–33.9% | 27.3–34.9% |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
32.3% | 30.4–34.2% | 29.9–34.8% | 29.5–35.3% | 28.6–36.2% |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
32.3% | 30.5–34.3% | 30.0–34.8% | 29.5–35.3% | 28.6–36.2% |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.5% | 32.6–36.5% | 32.1–37.0% | 31.6–37.5% | 30.7–38.5% |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
37.2% | 35.3–39.1% | 34.8–39.7% | 34.4–40.2% | 33.5–41.1% |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
30.4% | 28.6–32.3% | 28.1–32.9% | 27.7–33.3% | 26.8–34.3% |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
32.8% | 30.9–34.8% | 30.4–35.3% | 29.9–35.8% | 29.1–36.7% |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
33.0% | 31.1–34.9% | 30.6–35.5% | 30.1–36.0% | 29.3–36.9% |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
33.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | 31.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.3% | 30.5–34.2% | 30.0–34.7% | 29.6–35.2% | 28.7–36.1% |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.3% | 29.5–33.2% | 28.9–33.8% | 28.5–34.2% | 27.6–35.2% |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
32.6% | 30.8–34.4% | 30.2–35.0% | 29.8–35.4% | 29.0–36.3% |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
34.1% | 32.2–36.0% | 31.6–36.6% | 31.2–37.1% | 30.3–38.0% |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
35.4% | 33.5–37.3% | 33.0–37.8% | 32.6–38.2% | 31.7–39.2% |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
34.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.4% | 29.5–33.3% | 29.0–33.9% | 28.6–34.3% | 27.7–35.3% |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
31.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.2% | 29.4–33.1% | 28.8–33.7% | 28.4–34.1% | 27.5–35.1% |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
33.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
34.0% | 32.1–36.0% | 31.6–36.5% | 31.1–37.0% | 30.2–38.0% |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
32.9% | 31.0–34.8% | 30.5–35.3% | 30.1–35.8% | 29.2–36.7% |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | 29.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
30.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
31.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | 28.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
33.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
31.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
36.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
34.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 | 30.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 5% | 97% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 9% | 93% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 13% | 84% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 17% | 70% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 19% | 53% | Median |
| 32.5–33.5% | 16% | 35% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 11% | 19% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 17 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 14–20 |
| 1–28 February 2025 | Social Changes | 18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 17–18 February 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| 10–13 February 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
16 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| 8–10 February 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 |
| 8–9 February 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
18 | 17–18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| 7–8 February 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
16 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 |
| 31 January–2 February 2025 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 23–29 January 2025 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 24–27 January 2025 | Research Partner Ariadna |
19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 24–26 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
18 | 17–18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 |
| 20–24 January 2025 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | OGB | 19 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 |
| 17–18 January 2025 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| 14–16 January 2025 | Ipsos TVP |
17 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 16–20 |
| 10–12 January 2025 | United Surveys WP.pl |
19 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| 10–11 January 2025 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
20 | 19–21 | 19–21 | 18–21 | 18–21 |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 20–22 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
15 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| 17–18 December 2024 | Ipsos TVP |
17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 17 December 2024 | Opinia24 RMF FM |
17 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| 10–11 December 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–21 |
| 6–8 December 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
18 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–21 |
| 6–7 December 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
21 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 20–21 | 19–22 |
| 3–6 December 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 25–26 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| 22–24 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| 24 November 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 13–18 November 2024 | Opinia24 Radio ZET |
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| 12–15 November 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 12–13 November 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 8–11 November 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
18 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 |
| 11–10 November 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 25–27 October 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
17 | 16–17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–19 |
| 25–26 October 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–20 |
| 15–18 October 2024 | Opinia24 TVN24 |
19 | 19–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 |
| 11–14 October 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
19 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Opinia24 Gazeta Wyborcza |
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| 5–6 October 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–21 |
| 29–30 September 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster TVP Info |
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| 27–29 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 |
| 20–21 September 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 10–18 September 2024 | Ipsos Krytyka Polityczna |
19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 |
| 13–16 September 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
18 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| 9–10 September 2024 | IBRiS Wydarzenia Polsat |
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| 30–31 August 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 5–8 August 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8 August 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 26–28 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 24–25 July 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 19–22 July 2024 | Research Partner Ariadna |
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| 8–11 July 2024 | Opinia24 | |||||
| 8–9 July 2024 | Instytut Badań Pollster Super Express |
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| 5–8 July 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–23 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 21–22 June 2024 | IBRiS Rzeczpospolita |
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| 23–21 June 2024 | United Surveys WP.pl |
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| 18–19 June 2024 | IBRiS Onet.pl |
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| 10–11 June 2024 | Opinia24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Zjednoczona Prawica (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 15 | 9% | 99.3% | |
| 16 | 18% | 91% | |
| 17 | 32% | 73% | Median |
| 18 | 23% | 41% | |
| 19 | 16% | 18% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |