Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
Voting Intentions
Last result: 25.4% (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.0% | 6.1–11.9% | 5.5–12.4% | 5.2–12.9% | 4.8–13.8% |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
8.0% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.9–10.7% | 5.3–11.6% |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
5.3% | 4.9–5.8% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.6–6.0% | 4.5–6.2% |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
9.0% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.3–11.1% | 7.0–11.5% | 6.4–12.3% |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8.8% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.7–11.4% | 6.4–11.9% | 5.7–13.0% |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 9.0% | 8.3–9.8% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.9–10.2% | 7.6–10.6% |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
7.5% | 6.2–9.2% | 5.8–9.7% | 5.5–10.1% | 4.9–11.0% |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
9.6% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.8–11.8% | 7.5–12.3% | 6.8–13.1% |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8.8% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.7–11.4% | 6.4–11.9% | 5.7–13.0% |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
7.0% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.3–9.2% | 5.0–9.7% | 4.4–10.6% |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
10.2% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.4–12.5% | 8.0–13.0% | 7.4–13.9% |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8.8% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.7–11.4% | 6.4–11.9% | 5.7–13.0% |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
6.6% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–8.9% | 4.6–9.4% | 4.1–10.3% |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
9.7% | 8.3–11.5% | 7.9–12.0% | 7.6–12.4% | 7.0–13.3% |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8.8% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.7–11.4% | 6.4–11.9% | 5.7–13.0% |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
6.4% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% | 4.4–9.2% | 3.9–10.1% |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
9.8% | 8.4–11.6% | 8.0–12.1% | 7.7–12.5% | 7.0–13.4% |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8.8% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.7–11.4% | 6.4–11.9% | 5.7–13.0% |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
7.7% | 7.0–8.5% | 6.8–8.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
6.4% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.8–8.7% | 4.5–9.2% | 3.9–10.1% |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 10.1% | 8.8–11.7% | 8.5–12.1% | 8.2–12.5% | 7.6–13.3% |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
10.0% | 8.1–12.5% | 7.6–13.2% | 7.1–13.9% | 6.3–15.2% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 7.2% | 6.1–8.5% | 5.8–8.9% | 5.5–9.3% | 5.0–10.0% |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
8.7% | 7.7–10.0% | 7.3–10.3% | 7.1–10.6% | 6.6–11.2% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 8.2% | 6.9–9.9% | 6.5–10.4% | 6.2–10.8% | 5.6–11.6% |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
9.2% | 8.1–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.8% |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
10.8% | 9.3–12.7% | 8.9–13.2% | 8.6–13.6% | 7.9–14.5% |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
7.6% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% | 5.4–10.5% | 4.8–11.5% |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
9.8% | 8.1–11.9% | 7.6–12.5% | 7.2–13.1% | 6.5–14.2% |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
7.3% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.7–9.6% | 5.3–10.0% | 4.8–10.9% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
8.3% | 7.2–9.7% | 6.9–10.1% | 6.6–10.4% | 6.1–11.1% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
11.8% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.2–13.6% | 9.9–14.0% | 9.4–14.7% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
10.2% | 9.2–11.4% | 8.9–11.8% | 8.7–12.1% | 8.2–12.6% |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 7.9% | 7.1–8.8% | 6.9–9.0% | 6.7–9.2% | 6.4–9.6% |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
10.6% | 9.5–11.8% | 9.2–12.1% | 9.0–12.4% | 8.5–13.0% |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
11.0% | 10.3–11.8% | 10.1–12.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.6% |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
10.8% | 9.4–12.4% | 9.0–12.9% | 8.7–13.3% | 8.0–14.2% |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
10.5% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% | 7.9–13.9% | 7.1–15.0% |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
9.0% | 8.1–10.0% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.2–11.1% |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
10.5% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% | 7.9–13.9% | 7.1–15.0% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
11.2% | 10.4–12.0% | 10.2–12.2% | 10.0–12.4% | 9.7–12.8% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
11.1% | 9.7–12.8% | 9.3–13.3% | 9.0–13.7% | 8.4–14.5% |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
9.5% | 8.2–11.1% | 7.8–11.6% | 7.5–12.0% | 7.0–12.8% |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
10.5% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% | 7.9–13.9% | 7.1–15.0% |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 9.6% | 9.0–10.2% | 8.9–10.4% | 8.7–10.5% | 8.5–10.8% |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
10.0% | 8.3–12.2% | 7.8–12.8% | 7.4–13.3% | 6.7–14.4% |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
9.7% | 8.3–11.5% | 7.9–12.0% | 7.6–12.4% | 6.9–13.3% |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
9.7% | 8.5–11.2% | 8.2–11.6% | 7.9–12.0% | 7.3–12.7% |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
12.0% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.3–13.9% | 10.0–14.3% | 9.4–15.0% |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
13.2% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.6–14.9% | 11.4–15.2% | 10.8–15.9% |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
10.5% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% | 7.9–13.9% | 7.1–15.0% |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
10.6% | 9.3–12.1% | 9.0–12.6% | 8.7–12.9% | 8.1–13.7% |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
9.8% | 8.6–11.3% | 8.2–11.7% | 8.0–12.1% | 7.4–12.8% |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
10.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.5–11.8% | 8.0–12.3% |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 12.5% | 11.5–13.7% | 11.2–14.0% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.4–14.9% |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
12.2% | 10.3–14.7% | 9.7–15.4% | 9.2–16.0% | 8.4–17.3% |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
12.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.5–14.9% |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
12.0% | 10.5–13.6% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.8–14.5% | 9.2–15.4% |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
10.3% | 8.8–12.1% | 8.4–12.6% | 8.0–13.1% | 7.3–14.0% |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
10.1% | 9.7–10.5% | 9.6–10.7% | 9.4–10.8% | 9.3–11.0% |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
14.4% | 13.3–15.7% | 13.0–16.1% | 12.7–16.4% | 12.1–17.0% |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
11.9% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.6–13.4% | 10.3–13.7% | 9.9–14.2% |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
9.5% | 8.3–11.0% | 7.9–11.4% | 7.7–11.7% | 7.1–12.5% |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
12.9% | 11.8–14.1% | 11.6–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% | 10.8–15.3% |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
12.8% | 11.7–14.0% | 11.4–14.3% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.6–15.2% |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
8.9% | 7.7–10.3% | 7.4–10.7% | 7.1–11.1% | 6.6–11.8% |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
12.1% | 10.2–14.4% | 9.7–15.1% | 9.3–15.7% | 8.4–16.8% |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
8.5% | 7.1–10.2% | 6.8–10.7% | 6.4–11.1% | 5.9–11.9% |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
11.0% | 9.4–13.0% | 8.9–13.5% | 8.6–14.1% | 7.8–15.1% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
10.3% | 9.0–11.9% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.3–12.7% | 7.7–13.5% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
12.8% | 11.8–14.0% | 11.4–14.4% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.7–15.3% |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
7.4% | 6.6–8.3% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.8% | 5.8–9.3% |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
7.2% | 6.4–8.2% | 6.2–8.5% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.6–9.2% |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
11.6% | 10.2–13.2% | 9.8–13.7% | 9.4–14.1% | 8.8–14.9% |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.1% | 14.1–16.2% | 13.8–16.5% | 13.6–16.8% | 13.1–17.3% |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13.1% | 11.8–14.6% | 11.4–15.0% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.6–16.1% |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
19.0% | 17.2–21.0% | 16.7–21.6% | 16.3–22.0% | 15.4–23.0% |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.2% | 13.8–16.8% | 13.4–17.2% | 13.1–17.6% | 12.5–18.3% |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
21.0% | 19.2–23.1% | 18.7–23.7% | 18.2–24.2% | 17.3–25.2% |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.1% | 12.8–15.6% | 12.4–16.0% | 12.1–16.4% | 11.5–17.1% |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.9–19.4% | 14.2–20.2% |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.5% | 15.3–17.8% | 15.0–18.2% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.1–19.2% |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.6–23.8% | 19.2–24.2% | 18.5–25.0% |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
21.5% | 20.2–23.0% | 19.8–23.4% | 19.5–23.7% | 18.9–24.4% |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
25.0% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.5–27.7% | 22.0–28.2% | 21.1–29.2% |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
23.4% | 21.5–25.4% | 21.0–25.9% | 20.6–26.4% | 19.7–27.4% |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
21.4% | 19.8–23.1% | 19.3–23.6% | 19.0–24.0% | 18.2–24.8% |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
22.5% | 20.6–24.5% | 20.0–25.1% | 19.6–25.6% | 18.7–26.6% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.6–26.0% | 21.2–26.4% | 20.4–27.3% |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.9% | 20.3–23.7% | 19.8–24.1% | 19.4–24.6% | 18.7–25.4% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
22.4% | 20.1–24.9% | 19.5–25.6% | 19.0–26.3% | 17.9–27.5% |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
21.4% | 19.9–23.1% | 19.4–23.6% | 19.1–24.0% | 18.3–24.8% |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
21.5% | 20.2–23.0% | 19.8–23.4% | 19.5–23.7% | 18.9–24.4% |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
24.0% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.3–27.0% | 20.7–27.6% | 19.8–28.7% |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
24.5% | 22.8–26.3% | 22.4–26.8% | 22.0–27.3% | 21.2–28.1% |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
26.0% | 24.1–28.1% | 23.5–28.7% | 23.0–29.2% | 22.1–30.3% |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
25.7% | 23.7–27.8% | 23.2–28.3% | 22.7–28.9% | 21.8–29.9% |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
24.8% | 22.9–26.8% | 22.4–27.3% | 21.9–27.8% | 21.0–28.8% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.9% | 22.9–27.0% | 22.4–27.6% | 21.9–28.1% | 21.0–29.1% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 7% | 94% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 9% | 87% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 18% | 78% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 19% | 60% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 14% | 40% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 12% | 26% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 10% | 14% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 0% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Seats
Last result: 36 seats (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 7–16 | 6–16 | 6–18 | 5–19 |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 15 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–14 | 6–16 |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 6–13 |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 | 8–18 |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 6–18 |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
9 | 7–12 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 5–14 |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
13 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 10–17 | 8–18 |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 8–16 | 6–18 |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
8 | 6–12 | 5–12 | 5–13 | 5–14 |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
14 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 9–19 |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 7–16 | 6–18 |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
8 | 6–12 | 5–12 | 5–12 | 4–13 |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
13 | 12–17 | 10–17 | 10–18 | 8–19 |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 6–18 |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
8 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 | 3–13 |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
13 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 10–18 | 8–19 |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 6–18 |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
8 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 5–12 | 4–13 |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
12 | 11–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 10–17 | 9–18 |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
13 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–18 | 8–20 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 9 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
12 | 11–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–15 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 6–16 |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
12 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 8–16 |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
14 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 9–19 |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
10 | 7–12 | 6–13 | 6–14 | 5–15 |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 8–18 | 8–19 |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
8 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 5–14 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
12 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
16 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–18 |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 9–18 |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
14 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 10–19 |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 9–19 | 8–20 |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14 | 12–17 | 10–18 | 9–19 | 8–20 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
14 | 13–18 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 12–19 |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
13 | 10–14 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 8–18 |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 9–19 | 8–20 |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–15 |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
13 | 12–15 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
13 | 12–15 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 8–18 |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–22 |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14 | 12–18 | 10–18 | 9–19 | 8–20 |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
14 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13 | 12–14 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–18 |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
13 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 10–17 |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 17 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
17 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 12–22 | 11–24 |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
16 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
15 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
13 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–14 |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
19 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 16–24 |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–19 |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–16 | 8–16 |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 8–16 |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
18 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 14–21 |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
18 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 | 8–15 |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
16 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 12–21 | 11–23 |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
13 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 6–14 | 6–15 |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
14 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 | 9–19 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
13 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 9–18 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
17 | 15–19 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 14–20 |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
16 | 14–18 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
8 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
15 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 12–20 |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18 | 16–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–22 |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
27 | 25–30 | 23–31 | 22–31 | 21–33 |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
29 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19 | 18–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 14–24 |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
23 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 19–27 |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
28 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–35 |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–42 |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
33 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 27–39 |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
29 | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 25–35 |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
34 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 28–39 |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 24–38 |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
29 | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
30 | 28–32 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
33 | 30–37 | 28–38 | 28–38 | 27–39 |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
29 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 24–34 |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
33 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
37 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–44 |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
37 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 30–43 |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
35 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
35 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 30–39 | 28–40 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 6% | 98% | |
| 7 | 3% | 92% | |
| 8 | 8% | 89% | |
| 9 | 6% | 81% | |
| 10 | 5% | 75% | |
| 11 | 6% | 70% | |
| 12 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 42% | |
| 14 | 11% | 26% | |
| 15 | 5% | 16% | |
| 16 | 5% | 10% | |
| 17 | 2% | 5% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |