Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.1% (General Election of 26 June 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 14.6% | 13.4–16.1% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.5–17.0% | 11.7–17.9% |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.1% | 14.1–16.2% | 13.8–16.6% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.0–17.4% |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.3% | 13.9–14.7% | 13.7–14.9% | 13.6–15.0% | 13.4–15.2% |
| 13–20 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.5% | 14.4–16.6% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.9–17.3% | 13.4–17.8% |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
15.1% | 13.9–16.4% | 13.6–16.7% | 13.3–17.1% | 12.7–17.7% |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
15.1% | 13.8–16.6% | 13.4–17.0% | 13.1–17.3% | 12.5–18.1% |
| 22 February–19 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.2% | 13.8–14.6% | 13.6–14.8% | 13.5–14.9% | 13.3–15.1% |
| 12–19 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.9% | 14.8–17.0% | 14.5–17.4% | 14.3–17.7% | 13.8–18.2% |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
15.2% | 13.9–16.6% | 13.5–17.0% | 13.2–17.3% | 12.7–18.0% |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
13.9% | 13.5–14.4% | 13.3–14.5% | 13.2–14.6% | 13.0–14.8% |
| 22 February–18 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.3% | 13.9–14.8% | 13.7–14.9% | 13.6–15.0% | 13.4–15.2% |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 11–18 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.5% | 14.4–16.6% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.9–17.3% | 13.4–17.8% |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
14.7% | 13.4–16.3% | 13.0–16.8% | 12.6–17.1% | 12.0–17.9% |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
14.1% | 13.1–15.2% | 12.9–15.4% | 12.6–15.7% | 12.2–16.2% |
| 22 February–17 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.6% | 14.1–15.1% | 14.0–15.2% | 13.9–15.3% | 13.7–15.5% |
| 10–17 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.8% | 14.7–16.9% | 14.4–17.3% | 14.2–17.5% | 13.7–18.1% |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
15.0% | 14.5–15.5% | 14.3–15.7% | 14.2–15.8% | 14.0–16.1% |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.8–18.6% |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
15.8% | 14.5–17.3% | 14.1–17.7% | 13.8–18.1% | 13.2–18.8% |
| 22 February–16 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.3% | 14.8–15.8% | 14.7–15.9% | 14.6–16.0% | 14.4–16.2% |
| 9–16 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.0% | 14.9–17.2% | 14.6–17.5% | 14.4–17.8% | 13.9–18.3% |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
14.2% | 13.6–14.9% | 13.4–15.1% | 13.2–15.2% | 12.9–15.5% |
| 10–16 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
15.3% | 14.1–16.6% | 13.8–16.9% | 13.5–17.3% | 12.9–17.9% |
| 22 February–15 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.1% | 14.6–15.6% | 14.5–15.7% | 14.4–15.8% | 14.2–16.0% |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 13.1% | 11.9–14.4% | 11.6–14.8% | 11.3–15.1% | 10.7–15.8% |
| 8–15 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.7% | 14.7–16.9% | 14.4–17.2% | 14.1–17.5% | 13.6–18.0% |
| 9–15 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
13.2% | 12.3–14.2% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.8–14.8% | 11.4–15.3% |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
14.9% | 13.5–16.5% | 13.1–16.9% | 12.7–17.3% | 12.1–18.1% |
| 22 February–14 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.3% | 14.8–15.8% | 14.7–15.9% | 14.6–16.0% | 14.4–16.2% |
| 30 March–14 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 7–13 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
15.8% | 14.6–17.1% | 14.3–17.5% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.4–18.5% |
| 5–12 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.4% | 14.3–16.5% | 14.0–16.9% | 13.8–17.1% | 13.3–17.7% |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
16.4% | 15.1–17.9% | 14.7–18.3% | 14.4–18.6% | 13.8–19.3% |
| 9–11 April 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
14.4% | 12.9–16.1% | 12.5–16.6% | 12.1–17.0% | 11.4–17.8% |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
16.6% | 15.1–18.3% | 14.7–18.8% | 14.4–19.2% | 13.7–20.0% |
| 4–10 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
15.9% | 14.6–17.4% | 14.2–17.8% | 13.9–18.2% | 13.2–18.9% |
| 3–9 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
16.0% | 14.8–17.3% | 14.4–17.7% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.6–18.7% |
| 8–9 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
13.5% | 12.6–14.5% | 12.3–14.8% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.6–15.6% |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.6% | 15.1–16.1% | 15.0–16.2% | 14.9–16.4% | 14.7–16.6% |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
16.1% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| 31 March–6 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
15.5% | 14.3–16.8% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.2–18.1% |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 15.5% | 14.1–17.0% | 13.7–17.4% | 13.4–17.8% | 12.8–18.5% |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
14.5% | 13.4–15.8% | 13.1–16.1% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.3–17.0% |
| 26 March–4 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
14.9% | 14.2–15.7% | 14.0–15.9% | 13.8–16.0% | 13.5–16.4% |
| 26 March–3 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
15.7% | 14.4–17.2% | 14.0–17.6% | 13.7–18.0% | 13.1–18.7% |
| 27 March–2 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.8% | 13.7–16.1% | 13.3–16.4% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.5–17.4% |
| 22 February–31 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.6% | 16.1–17.1% | 16.0–17.3% | 15.8–17.4% | 15.6–17.6% |
| 28–30 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
16.7% | 14.2–19.7% | 13.5–20.6% | 12.9–21.3% | 11.8–22.8% |
| 24–30 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.0% | 12.9–15.3% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.8–16.6% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.1% | 15.0–17.4% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.4–18.0% | 13.9–18.6% |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
17.5% | 16.2–19.0% | 15.8–19.4% | 15.5–19.8% | 14.8–20.5% |
| 24–27 March 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
16.9% | 15.6–18.4% | 15.2–18.8% | 14.9–19.2% | 14.3–19.9% |
| 21–27 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
16.7% | 15.3–18.2% | 15.0–18.7% | 14.6–19.1% | 14.0–19.8% |
| 20–26 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.9% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.4–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.6–17.5% |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
16.3% | 15.4–17.3% | 15.2–17.5% | 15.0–17.8% | 14.6–18.2% |
| 22 February–24 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.3% | 15.8–16.8% | 15.6–17.0% | 15.5–17.1% | 15.3–17.4% |
| 17–23 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
14.4% | 13.2–15.6% | 12.9–16.0% | 12.6–16.3% | 12.1–16.9% |
| 18–22 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.2–19.2% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.2–20.4% |
| 1–22 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
13.1% | 12.6–13.6% | 12.5–13.8% | 12.4–13.9% | 12.1–14.1% |
| 15–20 March 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
| 14–19 March 2019 | 40dB El País |
17.7% | 16.5–19.1% | 16.2–19.4% | 15.9–19.8% | 15.3–20.4% |
| 1–18 March 2019 | CIS | 13.6% | 13.2–14.0% | 13.2–14.1% | 13.1–14.1% | 12.9–14.3% |
| 22 February–17 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.4% | 14.9–16.0% | 14.7–16.1% | 14.6–16.2% | 14.3–16.5% |
| 11–15 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.9% | 15.5–20.3% | 14.9–21.1% |
| 4–13 March 2019 | Simple Lógica | 16.7% | 15.3–18.2% | 14.9–18.6% | 14.6–19.0% | 13.9–19.8% |
| 8–11 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
18.1% | 16.7–19.7% | 16.3–20.1% | 15.9–20.5% | 15.3–21.2% |
| 22 February–10 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.1% | 15.5–16.7% | 15.4–16.9% | 15.2–17.0% | 15.0–17.3% |
| 5–8 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
17.8% | 16.6–19.1% | 16.3–19.5% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.5–20.4% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
20.3% | 18.9–21.9% | 18.5–22.3% | 18.2–22.7% | 17.5–23.5% |
| 4–8 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.2–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| 22 February–3 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.2% | 15.5–16.9% | 15.4–17.1% | 15.2–17.2% | 14.9–17.6% |
| 19–22 February 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
16.0% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–18.9% |
| 18–22 February 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
15.8% | 14.2–17.5% | 13.8–18.0% | 13.4–18.4% | 12.7–19.3% |
| 13–21 February 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
13.5% | 12.5–14.7% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.4–16.0% |
| 18–21 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
20.2% | 18.7–21.7% | 18.3–22.2% | 18.0–22.5% | 17.3–23.3% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18.7% | 17.2–20.4% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.7–22.1% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
18.9% | 17.4–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.6–21.5% | 15.9–22.3% |
| 13–15 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.8–17.6% |
| 12–15 February 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
17.1% | 15.7–18.5% | 15.4–19.0% | 15.1–19.3% | 14.4–20.0% |
| 11–13 February 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
15.4% | 14.4–16.5% | 14.1–16.8% | 13.9–17.0% | 13.4–17.6% |
| 1–8 February 2019 | Simple Lógica | 17.0% | 15.6–18.6% | 15.2–19.1% | 14.8–19.4% | 14.2–20.2% |
| 4–8 February 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
19.2% | 17.7–20.8% | 17.3–21.2% | 17.0–21.6% | 16.3–22.4% |
| 28 January–1 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
20.9% | 19.5–22.5% | 19.1–22.9% | 18.7–23.3% | 18.0–24.1% |
| 26–30 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.6% | 18.7–20.6% | 18.4–20.8% | 18.2–21.1% | 17.7–21.6% |
| 21–25 January 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
18.7% | 17.2–20.4% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.7–22.1% |
| 14–24 January 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
17.1% | 16.0–18.3% | 15.7–18.6% | 15.4–18.9% | 14.9–19.5% |
| 14–18 January 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
23.0% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.1–25.1% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.0–26.3% |
| 9–15 January 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
17.8% | 16.8–18.9% | 16.5–19.1% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.8–19.9% |
| 6–13 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.9% | 18.5–21.3% | 18.2–21.7% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.2–22.7% |
| 1–13 January 2019 | CIS | 17.7% | 16.8–18.6% | 16.6–18.9% | 16.4–19.1% | 16.0–19.6% |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Simple Lógica | 17.9% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.7–20.4% | 15.1–21.2% |
| 2–8 January 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
19.6% | 18.2–21.2% | 17.7–21.7% | 17.4–22.1% | 16.7–22.9% |
| 22 December 2018–5 January 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18.5% | 17.5–19.6% | 17.2–19.9% | 16.9–20.2% | 16.4–20.7% |
| 21–27 December 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
18.8% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.5–21.4% | 15.8–22.2% |
| 17–21 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.7% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.7–24.7% | 20.4–25.1% | 19.7–25.9% |
| 16 December 2018 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
18.4% | 16.9–20.1% | 16.5–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.0% | 17.4–20.8% | 16.9–21.3% | 16.6–21.7% | 15.8–22.6% |
| 3–14 December 2018 | Simple Lógica | 20.4% | 19.0–22.0% | 18.6–22.4% | 18.2–22.8% | 17.6–23.6% |
| 5–14 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.5% | 15.0–21.3% |
| 10–14 December 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 10–13 December 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
20.6% | 19.0–22.2% | 18.6–22.7% | 18.2–23.1% | 17.5–24.0% |
| 10–12 December 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
20.5% | 19.3–21.7% | 19.0–22.1% | 18.7–22.4% | 18.2–23.0% |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
19.4% | 17.9–21.0% | 17.5–21.4% | 17.1–21.8% | 16.4–22.6% |
| 3–7 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.9% | 21.4–24.5% | 21.0–25.0% | 20.6–25.4% | 19.9–26.2% |
| 5 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18.8% | 17.2–20.5% | 16.7–21.0% | 16.4–21.5% | 15.6–22.3% |
| 3–4 December 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.4% | 20.1–22.8% | 19.7–23.2% | 19.4–23.5% | 18.8–24.2% |
| 2–14 November 2018 | Simple Lógica | 22.4% | 20.8–24.1% | 20.3–24.6% | 19.9–25.0% | 19.2–25.9% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
19.9% | 18.4–21.6% | 17.9–22.1% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.3% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.7% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.7–24.7% | 20.4–25.1% | 19.7–25.9% |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
20.4% | 18.9–22.0% | 18.4–22.5% | 18.1–22.8% | 17.4–23.7% |
| 2–7 November 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
21.9% | 20.1–23.8% | 19.6–24.4% | 19.1–24.9% | 18.3–25.8% |
| 22–30 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
21.8% | 20.2–23.7% | 19.7–24.2% | 19.3–24.6% | 18.5–25.5% |
| 20–26 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.9% | 20.3–23.6% | 19.9–24.1% | 19.5–24.5% | 18.7–25.4% |
| 22–26 October 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.0% | 20.5–23.6% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.1–25.2% |
| 16–18 October 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
19.2% | 18.0–20.5% | 17.6–20.9% | 17.3–21.2% | 16.8–21.9% |
| 1–11 October 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| 1–9 October 2018 | CIS | 21.0% | 20.0–22.0% | 19.8–22.3% | 19.6–22.5% | 19.1–23.0% |
| 30 September–5 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.2% | 20.6–23.9% | 20.1–24.4% | 19.8–24.8% | 19.0–25.7% |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Simple Lógica | 21.6% | 20.0–23.3% | 19.6–23.8% | 19.2–24.2% | 18.5–25.0% |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
19.3% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.4–21.3% | 17.0–21.7% | 16.4–22.5% |
| 2 October 2018 | Simple Lógica eldebate.es |
23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.3% | 20.8–23.9% | 20.4–24.4% | 20.1–24.8% | 19.4–25.6% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
20.8% | 19.3–22.5% | 18.9–22.9% | 18.5–23.3% | 17.8–24.1% |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
22.7% | 21.1–24.5% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.5–26.3% |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.1% | 20.6–23.7% | 20.2–24.1% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.1–25.3% |
| 6–11 September 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
23.9% | 22.3–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| 1–11 September 2018 | CIS | 19.6% | 18.7–20.6% | 18.4–20.9% | 18.2–21.1% | 17.8–21.6% |
| 7–9 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.8% | 18.3–21.5% | 17.9–21.9% | 17.5–22.3% | 16.8–23.2% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Simple Lógica | 23.2% | 21.5–24.9% | 21.1–25.4% | 20.7–25.9% | 19.9–26.7% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.0% |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
18.7% | 17.3–20.3% | 16.9–20.8% | 16.5–21.2% | 15.9–21.9% |
| 27–31 August 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
18.8% | 17.3–20.5% | 16.9–20.9% | 16.5–21.4% | 15.8–22.2% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
23.1% | 21.6–24.7% | 21.1–25.2% | 20.8–25.6% | 20.1–26.4% |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
19.4% | 17.9–21.0% | 17.5–21.4% | 17.1–21.8% | 16.4–22.6% |
| 27 July–3 August 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.2% | 19.7–22.8% | 19.2–23.3% | 18.9–23.7% | 18.2–24.5% |
| 1–3 August 2018 | Simple Lógica | 23.4% | 21.8–25.2% | 21.3–25.7% | 20.9–26.1% | 20.2–27.0% |
| 23–27 July 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
19.2% | 17.7–20.9% | 17.2–21.4% | 16.9–21.8% | 16.2–22.6% |
| 23–27 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
21.1% | 19.6–22.7% | 19.2–23.1% | 18.9–23.5% | 18.2–24.3% |
| 24–26 July 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
19.7% | 17.9–21.6% | 17.5–22.1% | 17.0–22.5% | 16.3–23.5% |
| 16–25 July 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
20.1% | 19.0–21.2% | 18.7–21.5% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.0–22.3% |
| 22–25 July 2018 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
20.8% | 19.3–22.5% | 18.9–23.0% | 18.5–23.4% | 17.8–24.2% |
| 17–22 July 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.8% | 19.8–21.8% | 19.6–22.1% | 19.3–22.3% | 18.9–22.8% |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
21.9% | 20.4–23.5% | 20.0–24.0% | 19.7–24.4% | 19.0–25.1% |
| 9–12 July 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
24.2% | 22.5–26.0% | 22.1–26.5% | 21.6–27.0% | 20.9–27.8% |
| 1–10 July 2018 | CIS | 20.4% | 19.4–21.5% | 19.1–21.8% | 18.9–22.0% | 18.4–22.6% |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Simple Lógica | 26.0% | 24.3–27.8% | 23.8–28.3% | 23.4–28.7% | 22.6–29.6% |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
20.6% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.7–22.7% | 18.3–23.1% | 17.6–23.9% |
| 25–30 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
20.6% | 19.0–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.1% |
| 19–22 June 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 18–22 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.1% | 20.6–23.7% | 20.2–24.1% | 19.8–24.5% | 19.1–25.3% |
| 11–13 June 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
22.8% | 20.9–24.7% | 20.4–25.3% | 20.0–25.8% | 19.1–26.8% |
| 11–12 June 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
20.6% | 19.1–22.3% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.0% |
| 1–9 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
21.0% | 19.5–22.6% | 19.1–23.0% | 18.8–23.4% | 18.1–24.2% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Simple Lógica | 25.7% | 24.0–27.5% | 23.6–28.0% | 23.2–28.5% | 22.4–29.4% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
22.2% | 20.7–23.8% | 20.3–24.2% | 19.9–24.6% | 19.2–25.4% |
| 7–8 June 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
21.1% | 19.4–23.1% | 18.9–23.6% | 18.4–24.1% | 17.6–25.1% |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
21.1% | 19.6–22.7% | 19.1–23.2% | 18.8–23.6% | 18.1–24.4% |
| 6–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.5% | 20.7–24.4% | 20.2–24.9% | 19.8–25.4% | 18.9–26.3% |
| 26 May–2 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24.2% | 23.0–25.4% | 22.6–25.8% | 22.4–26.1% | 21.8–26.7% |
| 28–29 May 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
26.4% | 24.8–28.1% | 24.4–28.6% | 24.0–29.0% | 23.2–29.8% |
| 26–28 May 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.8–26.3% | 21.2–27.0% |
| 23–28 May 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
28.6% | 26.8–30.5% | 26.3–31.0% | 25.9–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| 17–26 May 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
28.5% | 27.1–30.0% | 26.8–30.4% | 26.4–30.7% | 25.8–31.4% |
| 16–25 May 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.4% | 22.7–26.2% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.8–27.2% | 21.0–28.0% |
| 3–10 May 2018 | Simple Lógica | 29.6% | 27.9–31.5% | 27.4–32.0% | 26.9–32.4% | 26.1–33.3% |
| 7–9 May 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
29.1% | 27.7–30.5% | 27.3–30.9% | 27.0–31.3% | 26.3–32.0% |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel PSOE |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| 12–18 April 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
28.5% | 26.7–30.4% | 26.2–30.9% | 25.8–31.4% | 25.0–32.3% |
| 9–13 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 9–13 April 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
25.2% | 23.6–26.8% | 23.2–27.3% | 22.8–27.7% | 22.1–28.5% |
| 1–10 April 2018 | CIS | 22.4% | 21.3–23.5% | 21.0–23.8% | 20.8–24.1% | 20.3–24.6% |
| 2–9 April 2018 | Simple Lógica | 29.9% | 28.2–31.8% | 27.7–32.3% | 27.3–32.8% | 26.4–33.7% |
| 2–6 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
24.0% | 22.4–25.7% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.6–26.6% | 20.8–27.5% |
| 4–5 April 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
28.7% | 27.1–30.4% | 26.7–30.8% | 26.3–31.3% | 25.5–32.1% |
| 19–29 March 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
27.4% | 25.6–29.3% | 25.1–29.8% | 24.7–30.3% | 23.9–31.2% |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
26.7% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 13–16 March 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
23.8% | 22.1–25.5% | 21.6–26.0% | 21.2–26.5% | 20.4–27.4% |
| 12–16 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
25.0% | 23.4–26.7% | 23.0–27.1% | 22.6–27.5% | 21.9–28.3% |
| 12–14 March 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
27.3% | 25.5–29.1% | 25.0–29.7% | 24.6–30.1% | 23.8–31.0% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Simple Lógica | 29.6% | 27.8–31.4% | 27.3–31.9% | 26.9–32.4% | 26.1–33.2% |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
23.5% | 22.0–25.3% | 21.5–25.7% | 21.1–26.2% | 20.4–27.0% |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
28.9% | 27.3–30.7% | 26.8–31.2% | 26.4–31.6% | 25.6–32.4% |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.0–24.4% | 19.6–24.8% | 18.9–25.6% |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
24.0% | 22.5–25.6% | 22.0–26.1% | 21.7–26.5% | 20.9–27.3% |
| 22–27 February 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
28.5% | 27.0–30.1% | 26.6–30.6% | 26.2–31.0% | 25.5–31.7% |
| 12–16 February 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
23.8% | 22.3–25.5% | 21.9–25.9% | 21.5–26.3% | 20.8–27.1% |
| 7–14 February 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
22.1% | 20.5–23.9% | 20.0–24.4% | 19.6–24.8% | 18.9–25.6% |
| 5–9 February 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
19.3% | 17.8–20.9% | 17.4–21.3% | 17.0–21.7% | 16.4–22.5% |
| 5–8 February 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
28.3% | 26.8–29.9% | 26.3–30.4% | 25.9–30.8% | 25.2–31.6% |
| 1–7 February 2018 | Simple Lógica | 28.7% | 27.0–30.6% | 26.5–31.1% | 26.1–31.5% | 25.3–32.4% |
| 31 January–7 February 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
25.6% | 23.9–27.5% | 23.5–28.0% | 23.0–28.5% | 22.2–29.3% |
| 22–26 January 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
23.4% | 21.9–25.0% | 21.5–25.5% | 21.1–25.9% | 20.4–26.7% |
| 2–14 January 2018 | CIS | 20.7% | 19.7–21.8% | 19.4–22.1% | 19.2–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% |
| 9–11 January 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
27.1% | 25.6–28.7% | 25.1–29.2% | 24.8–29.6% | 24.1–30.3% |
| 8–11 January 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
26.2% | 24.3–28.3% | 23.8–28.9% | 23.3–29.4% | 22.4–30.4% |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Simple Lógica | 24.1% | 22.5–25.8% | 22.0–26.3% | 21.6–26.7% | 20.9–27.6% |
| 2–5 January 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
18.6% | 17.2–20.2% | 16.8–20.7% | 16.4–21.0% | 15.8–21.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 11% | 97% | Last Result |
| 13.5–14.5% | 35% | 86% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 31% | 52% | Median |
| 15.5–16.5% | 15% | 20% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 5% | 5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 32 seats (General Election of 26 June 2016)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 47 | 39–53 | 36–56 | 33–58 | 27–62 |
| 14–21 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
50 | 47–50 | 46–53 | 44–54 | 39–57 |
| 22 February–20 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
46 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 42–50 | 41–51 |
| 13–20 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
50 | 46–54 | 43–57 | 42–60 | 39–60 |
| 14–20 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
51 | 43–54 | 38–59 | 34–59 | 34–60 |
| 15–20 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
50 | 45–53 | 41–56 | 36–59 | 32–61 |
| 22 February–19 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
45 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 42–50 | 41–50 |
| 12–19 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
49 | 45–57 | 45–60 | 43–60 | 40–63 |
| 15–19 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
49 | 35–54 | 35–55 | 33–58 | 30–62 |
| 15–19 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
49 | 43–55 | 40–57 | 38–59 | 34–62 |
| 1–19 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
40 | 39–43 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 38–47 |
| 22 February–18 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
46 | 43–49 | 43–49 | 42–49 | 42–50 |
| 11–18 April 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
46 | 38–52 | 35–54 | 32–54 | 29–57 |
| 11–18 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
49 | 47–53 | 41–53 | 41–54 | 41–60 |
| 15–18 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
46 | 37–54 | 34–57 | 32–59 | 27–61 |
| 15–18 April 2019 | 40dB El País |
45 | 38–49 | 38–50 | 37–51 | 33–55 |
| 22 February–17 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
47 | 46–50 | 43–51 | 43–51 | 43–51 |
| 10–17 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
51 | 47–54 | 46–57 | 44–61 | 41–63 |
| 3–17 April 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
49 | 46–51 | 45–51 | 44–52 | 42–52 |
| 15–17 April 2019 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
51 | 44–59 | 41–61 | 39–62 | 36–65 |
| 11–17 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
52 | 46–60 | 42–60 | 39–63 | 35–67 |
| 22 February–16 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
50 | 50–51 | 49–52 | 49–52 | 46–54 |
| 9–16 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
52 | 46–58 | 45–61 | 42–62 | 39–63 |
| 11–16 April 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
45 | 41–49 | 40–50 | 39–51 | 37–51 |
| 10–16 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
51 | 42–54 | 40–57 | 39–63 | 37–63 |
| 22 February–15 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
50 | 49–51 | 47–51 | 46–51 | 45–53 |
| 13–15 April 2019 | Top Position | 37 | 28–44 | 26–46 | 24–47 | 21–51 |
| 8–15 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
51 | 44–58 | 44–59 | 41–60 | 41–63 |
| 9–15 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
38 | 32–44 | 30–46 | 27–47 | 23–49 |
| 12–15 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
49 | 41–54 | 37–58 | 35–58 | 31–63 |
| 22 February–14 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
51 | 50–53 | 49–54 | 49–54 | 45–55 |
| 30 March–14 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
51 | 48–60 | 40–61 | 36–62 | 33–62 |
| 7–13 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
50 | 45–58 | 45–59 | 43–61 | 39–64 |
| 5–12 April 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
50 | 44–53 | 44–55 | 44–56 | 40–63 |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
54 | 48–60 | 46–62 | 45–64 | 41–66 |
| 9–11 April 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
46 | 34–52 | 32–52 | 28–54 | 25–60 |
| 8–11 April 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios ESdiario |
54 | 49–60 | 49–62 | 47–65 | 40–67 |
| 4–10 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
55 | 45–59 | 43–60 | 43–61 | 39–68 |
| 3–9 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
50 | 49–58 | 46–61 | 45–62 | 41–65 |
| 8–9 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
40 | 35–47 | 33–48 | 31–49 | 26–51 |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
55 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 50–60 |
| 22 February–7 April 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
54 | 47–59 | 46–60 | 41–61 | 36–65 |
| 31 March–6 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
52 | 46–56 | 43–58 | 41–59 | 38–62 |
| 1–5 April 2019 | Simple Lógica | 52 | 46–58 | 44–61 | 42–62 | 38–66 |
| 1–5 April 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
48 | 40–52 | 38–54 | 37–55 | 33–59 |
| 26 March–4 April 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
50 | 45–53 | 44–54 | 43–54 | 40–55 |
| 26 March–3 April 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
54 | 47–58 | 43–61 | 41–62 | 36–64 |
| 27 March–2 April 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
48 | 38–53 | 37–54 | 36–57 | 35–60 |
| 22 February–31 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
59 | 57–62 | 57–62 | 53–62 | 52–63 |
| 28–30 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
54 | 44–67 | 37–72 | 34–74 | 28–83 |
| 24–30 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
45 | 36–51 | 35–51 | 33–53 | 27–56 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
54 | 50–60 | 48–61 | 46–62 | 44–65 |
| 25–29 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
59 | 53–65 | 51–67 | 50–68 | 47–72 |
| 24–27 March 2019 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
56 | 50–63 | 50–65 | 48–66 | 44–68 |
| 21–27 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
60 | 52–62 | 49–63 | 49–66 | 44–68 |
| 20–26 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
49 | 42–53 | 39–55 | 38–56 | 36–60 |
| 18–25 March 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
52 | 50–59 | 49–60 | 48–61 | 46–64 |
| 22 February–24 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
55 | 53–60 | 52–61 | 52–62 | 52–62 |
| 17–23 March 2019 | IMOP El Confidencial |
46 | 39–51 | 38–52 | 37–52 | 33–58 |
| 18–22 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
57 | 51–63 | 48–65 | 48–67 | 44–70 |
| 1–22 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
37 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 33–43 | 30–47 |
| 15–20 March 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
43 | 34–48 | 32–51 | 31–54 | 25–56 |
| 14–19 March 2019 | 40dB El País |
64 | 58–67 | 55–68 | 53–69 | 51–73 |
| 1–18 March 2019 | CIS | 46 | 44–46 | 42–46 | 41–46 | 41–46 |
| 22 February–17 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
50 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 47–54 | 45–55 |
| 11–15 March 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
60 | 53–65 | 51–67 | 50–69 | 46–72 |
| 4–13 March 2019 | Simple Lógica | 57 | 52–65 | 50–66 | 49–68 | 47–71 |
| 8–11 March 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
61 | 55–67 | 53–69 | 52–70 | 50–73 |
| 22 February–10 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
53 | 50–56 | 50–57 | 48–58 | 48–61 |
| 5–8 March 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
63 | 57–67 | 55–67 | 53–67 | 51–72 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
70 | 64–76 | 63–78 | 61–80 | 57–86 |
| 4–8 March 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
35 | 28–46 | 25–49 | 23–50 | 21–53 |
| 22 February–3 March 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
53 | 51–54 | 50–56 | 50–58 | 49–61 |
| 19–22 February 2019 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
53 | 46–59 | 45–61 | 43–63 | 38–65 |
| 18–22 February 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
51 | 42–60 | 38–60 | 35–63 | 31–65 |
| 13–21 February 2019 | Sondaxe La Voz de Galicia |
39 | 33–45 | 32–47 | 31–47 | 27–52 |
| 18–21 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
69 | 64–75 | 62–77 | 60–79 | 56–85 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
64 | 56–71 | 54–72 | 54–73 | 52–78 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
64 | 57–70 | 55–72 | 53–73 | 51–75 |
| 13–15 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
47 | 38–53 | 36–55 | 35–56 | 31–61 |
| 12–15 February 2019 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
58 | 51–63 | 51–64 | 49–66 | 45–69 |
| 11–13 February 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
50 | 45–54 | 43–55 | 42–56 | 39–60 |
| 1–8 February 2019 | Simple Lógica | 61 | 54–67 | 52–68 | 50–69 | 47–73 |
| 4–8 February 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
63 | 59–69 | 58–72 | 57–73 | 53–78 |
| 28 January–1 February 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
71 | 67–79 | 65–82 | 63–85 | 60–90 |
| 26–30 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
68 | 65–71 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–76 |
| 21–25 January 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
62 | 55–69 | 54–71 | 53–71 | 51–74 |
| 14–24 January 2019 | GAD3 ABC |
60 | 53–64 | 50–66 | 50–66 | 49–68 |
| 14–18 January 2019 | Invymark laSexta |
82 | 73–93 | 71–95 | 70–98 | 69–101 |
| 9–15 January 2019 | Metroscopia Henneo |
61 | 56–64 | 56–65 | 55–66 | 53–69 |
| 6–13 January 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
69 | 64–75 | 62–76 | 60–78 | 57–83 |
| 1–13 January 2019 | CIS | 64 | 61–67 | 59–69 | 57–70 | 56–71 |
| 3–9 January 2019 | Simple Lógica | 64 | 57–69 | 55–71 | 54–73 | 50–77 |
| 2–8 January 2019 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
65 | 61–71 | 59–74 | 59–77 | 55–79 |
| 22 December 2018–5 January 2019 | SocioMétrica El Español |
65 | 58–69 | 58–69 | 57–71 | 56–73 |
| 21–27 December 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
65 | 57–71 | 55–74 | 55–75 | 53–80 |
| 17–21 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
80 | 72–91 | 71–93 | 69–96 | 67–100 |
| 16 December 2018 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
63 | 58–69 | 56–71 | 54–72 | 51–76 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
65 | 59–70 | 57–72 | 57–73 | 49–78 |
| 3–14 December 2018 | Simple Lógica | 72 | 66–79 | 63–81 | 63–84 | 61–91 |
| 5–14 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
60 | 54–64 | 52–67 | 51–68 | 45–73 |
| 10–14 December 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
71 | 68–87 | 67–89 | 67–89 | 63–89 |
| 10–13 December 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
72 | 67–77 | 65–79 | 65–84 | 60–92 |
| 10–12 December 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
72 | 66–77 | 65–79 | 63–80 | 62–84 |
| 3–11 December 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
68 | 59–68 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 55–75 |
| 3–7 December 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
81 | 73–91 | 71–93 | 70–96 | 67–100 |
| 5 December 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
67 | 61–69 | 59–69 | 53–72 | 49–72 |
| 3–4 December 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
82 | 73–87 | 70–87 | 68–89 | 67–89 |
| 2–14 November 2018 | Simple Lógica | 81 | 73–92 | 72–96 | 71–98 | 69–102 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
67 | 54–69 | 54–72 | 54–74 | 54–79 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
76 | 72–85 | 70–88 | 69–90 | 66–94 |
| 5–9 November 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
67 | 65–70 | 62–71 | 58–75 | 58–82 |
| 2–7 November 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
76 | 72–81 | 69–91 | 67–93 | 61–95 |
| 22–30 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
77 | 70–86 | 68–90 | 67–93 | 63–97 |
| 20–26 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
73 | 71–88 | 71–88 | 71–88 | 66–94 |
| 22–26 October 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
73 | 69–81 | 68–84 | 67–86 | 63–91 |
| 16–18 October 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
65 | 61–71 | 59–72 | 59–73 | 57–76 |
| 1–11 October 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
61 | 57–67 | 57–67 | 56–69 | 53–73 |
| 1–9 October 2018 | CIS | 68 | 67–73 | 67–73 | 67–76 | 65–76 |
| 30 September–5 October 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
82 | 68–83 | 68–84 | 68–84 | 68–91 |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Simple Lógica | 72 | 67–81 | 66–86 | 65–88 | 61–93 |
| 1–5 October 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
64 | 58–70 | 58–70 | 58–70 | 52–74 |
| 2 October 2018 | Simple Lógica eldebate.es |
81 | 74–94 | 73–97 | 71–98 | 69–103 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
74 | 70–82 | 69–85 | 68–87 | 64–92 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
72 | 67–79 | 66–82 | 65–84 | 61–89 |
| 17–19 September 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
78 | 71–86 | 70–89 | 69–93 | 67–97 |
| 10–14 September 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
73 | 70–79 | 68–82 | 67–84 | 63–89 |
| 6–11 September 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
85 | 80–89 | 80–89 | 78–91 | 74–103 |
| 1–11 September 2018 | CIS | 68 | 66–68 | 64–69 | 62–69 | 60–71 |
| 7–9 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
70 | 60–73 | 60–75 | 58–75 | 56–79 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Simple Lógica | 84 | 74–95 | 73–98 | 72–101 | 70–104 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
70 | 64–75 | 62–78 | 59–79 | 58–83 |
| 3–7 September 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
60 | 58–67 | 56–67 | 56–67 | 51–68 |
| 27–31 August 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
62 | 58–65 | 54–67 | 51–69 | 48–72 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
73 | 73–88 | 73–99 | 73–99 | 69–100 |
| 1–7 August 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
66 | 62–71 | 59–71 | 55–72 | 55–72 |
| 27 July–3 August 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
70 | 67–75 | 63–79 | 63–81 | 63–85 |
| 1–3 August 2018 | Simple Lógica | 83 | 73–92 | 72–94 | 70–95 | 68–100 |
| 23–27 July 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
65 | 58–70 | 57–70 | 56–70 | 47–73 |
| 23–27 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
72 | 66–75 | 63–77 | 61–79 | 59–83 |
| 24–26 July 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
65 | 59–72 | 57–74 | 57–81 | 52–84 |
| 16–25 July 2018 | Metroscopia Henneo |
69 | 65–73 | 63–73 | 62–74 | 60–78 |
| 22–25 July 2018 | Demoscopia y Servicios OKDIARIO |
66 | 62–72 | 62–73 | 61–76 | 59–80 |
| 17–22 July 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
72 | 69–74 | 69–76 | 69–76 | 67–80 |
| 9–13 July 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
73 | 69–79 | 67–81 | 65–83 | 63–89 |
| 9–12 July 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
85 | 75–95 | 74–98 | 72–101 | 71–105 |
| 1–10 July 2018 | CIS | 70 | 67–73 | 67–76 | 66–76 | 64–78 |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Simple Lógica | 95 | 85–105 | 82–107 | 80–109 | 75–112 |
| 2–6 July 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
67 | 66–73 | 65–75 | 61–80 | 60–82 |
| 25–30 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
69 | 60–74 | 59–81 | 59–82 | 58–88 |
| 19–22 June 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
93 | 86–102 | 85–103 | 83–106 | 83–115 |
| 18–22 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
74 | 70–81 | 68–83 | 67–85 | 63–91 |
| 11–13 June 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
77 | 71–88 | 69–92 | 68–94 | 66–100 |
| 11–12 June 2018 | Instituto DYM El Independiente |
71 | 65–77 | 62–80 | 61–82 | 58–87 |
| 1–9 June 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
69 | 62–77 | 61–81 | 60–81 | 58–83 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Simple Lógica | 94 | 83–103 | 81–105 | 78–106 | 74–111 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
74 | 71–83 | 69–86 | 68–88 | 65–93 |
| 7–8 June 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
70 | 63–78 | 62–83 | 61–85 | 58–91 |
| 4–8 June 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
74 | 66–79 | 63–79 | 63–81 | 63–85 |
| 6–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
82 | 71–91 | 71–91 | 69–98 | 67–99 |
| 26 May–2 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
91 | 87–96 | 82–96 | 81–96 | 79–100 |
| 28–29 May 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
94 | 85–105 | 83–108 | 81–110 | 76–114 |
| 26–28 May 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
90 | 81–93 | 81–94 | 81–99 | 77–102 |
| 23–28 May 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
107 | 98–118 | 96–120 | 94–121 | 89–122 |
| 17–26 May 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
115 | 112–115 | 110–117 | 105–119 | 98–122 |
| 16–25 May 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
90 | 75–96 | 75–96 | 73–97 | 70–103 |
| 3–10 May 2018 | Simple Lógica | 114 | 106–122 | 104–124 | 102–126 | 97–131 |
| 7–9 May 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
111 | 103–117 | 102–119 | 101–121 | 98–124 |
| 26–30 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel PSOE |
65 | 60–71 | 60–73 | 58–74 | 55–77 |
| 12–18 April 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
107 | 99–115 | 96–119 | 94–121 | 89–125 |
| 9–13 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
78 | 72–80 | 72–81 | 71–84 | 70–102 |
| 9–13 April 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
89 | 79–97 | 77–100 | 75–103 | 73–108 |
| 1–10 April 2018 | CIS | 75 | 73–80 | 73–81 | 73–82 | 69–85 |
| 2–9 April 2018 | Simple Lógica | 116 | 109–125 | 106–128 | 104–130 | 100–135 |
| 2–6 April 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
95 | 79–95 | 75–95 | 75–95 | 72–95 |
| 4–5 April 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
111 | 103–119 | 101–121 | 100–123 | 96–127 |
| 19–29 March 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
104 | 95–113 | 89–119 | 86–120 | 86–123 |
| 23–27 March 2018 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
99 | 88–108 | 86–111 | 84–113 | 79–116 |
| 13–16 March 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
88 | 77–97 | 75–100 | 73–102 | 72–108 |
| 12–16 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
89 | 78–95 | 75–98 | 75–101 | 72–107 |
| 12–14 March 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
101 | 86–110 | 86–114 | 86–114 | 81–118 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Simple Lógica | 111 | 104–121 | 103–123 | 101–125 | 97–130 |
| 1–7 March 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
78 | 74–90 | 72–93 | 70–93 | 66–98 |
| 2–5 March 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
112 | 106–120 | 102–122 | 100–124 | 95–128 |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
74 | 70–78 | 66–79 | 65–81 | 62–88 |
| 26 February–2 March 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
82 | 74–92 | 73–93 | 72–95 | 70–99 |
| 22–27 February 2018 | IMOP El Confidencial |
110 | 104–113 | 102–114 | 97–118 | 90–121 |
| 12–16 February 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
82 | 74–91 | 73–94 | 72–95 | 70–99 |
| 7–14 February 2018 | MyWord Cadena SER |
77 | 72–89 | 71–90 | 69–93 | 66–97 |
| 5–9 February 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
64 | 55–69 | 55–72 | 52–72 | 50–74 |
| 5–8 February 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
110 | 102–117 | 99–119 | 96–121 | 91–123 |
| 1–7 February 2018 | Simple Lógica | 109 | 100–116 | 96–118 | 94–120 | 89–123 |
| 31 January–7 February 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
90 | 80–100 | 79–102 | 77–102 | 72–111 |
| 22–26 January 2018 | Invymark laSexta |
79 | 74–90 | 72–93 | 71–94 | 70–96 |
| 2–14 January 2018 | CIS | 69 | 63–72 | 63–73 | 59–74 | 59–75 |
| 9–11 January 2018 | Metroscopia El País |
104 | 95–113 | 93–114 | 91–115 | 88–118 |
| 8–11 January 2018 | GAD3 ABC |
96 | 88–106 | 84–106 | 80–112 | 75–116 |
| 2–8 January 2018 | Simple Lógica | 86 | 77–98 | 75–100 | 74–102 | 72–106 |
| 2–5 January 2018 | Celeste-Tel eldiario.es |
58 | 56–64 | 52–67 | 52–70 | 50–72 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Ciudadanos–Partido de la Ciudadanía.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 34 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 94% | |
| 38 | 2% | 93% | |
| 39 | 3% | 91% | |
| 40 | 5% | 88% | |
| 41 | 3% | 83% | |
| 42 | 3% | 80% | |
| 43 | 4% | 77% | |
| 44 | 4% | 73% | |
| 45 | 7% | 69% | |
| 46 | 5% | 62% | |
| 47 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 48 | 7% | 50% | |
| 49 | 7% | 43% | |
| 50 | 14% | 36% | |
| 51 | 4% | 21% | |
| 52 | 5% | 17% | |
| 53 | 3% | 12% | |
| 54 | 2% | 9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 7% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |