Flokkur fólksins
Voting Intentions
Last result: 6.9% (General Election of 28 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.2% | 5.0–6.8% | 4.7–7.1% | 4.5–7.3% | 4.0–8.0% |
| 22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
6.2% | 5.8–6.6% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.6–6.8% | 5.4–7.1% |
| 24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
6.4% | 6.0–6.9% | 5.9–7.0% | 5.7–7.1% | 5.5–7.4% |
| 22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
6.2% | 5.2–7.3% | 5.0–7.6% | 4.8–7.9% | 4.4–8.5% |
| 15–22 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
5.6% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.2–7.3% | 3.9–7.9% |
| 21–22 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.8% | 5.7–9.1% | 5.3–9.8% |
| 17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
5.2% | 4.5–6.1% | 4.3–6.4% | 4.1–6.6% | 3.8–7.0% |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
7.0% | 6.5–7.6% | 6.4–7.7% | 6.2–7.8% | 6.0–8.1% |
| 15–17 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
5.6% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.6–6.8% | 4.4–7.0% | 4.1–7.4% |
| 13–16 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
4.7% | 4.1–5.5% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.4–6.3% |
| 8–13 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
3.6% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% | 2.8–4.5% |
| 30 August–12 September 2021 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.4–5.5% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.0–6.0% |
| 8–10 September 2021 | MMR | 4.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.3% | 3.7–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| 31 August–6 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4.5% | 4.0–5.2% | 3.8–5.3% | 3.7–5.5% | 3.5–5.8% |
| 29 August 2021 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.4–5.5% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% |
| 24 August 2021 | MMR | 5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.4–7.2% |
| 13–23 August 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4.3% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.3–5.6% | 3.1–5.9% | 2.7–6.4% |
| 29 July–15 August 2021 | Gallup | 4.1% | 3.8–4.5% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.5–4.8% |
| 1–31 July 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.7–6.3% |
| 30 June–28 July 2021 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% |
| 15–23 July 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
5.0% | 4.5–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% |
| 24 June–6 July 2021 | MMR | 5.5% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% |
| 1–30 June 2021 | Maskína | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.2–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.7–6.3% |
| 1–29 June 2021 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.7% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.5–5.1% |
| 4–14 June 2021 | MMR | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.2% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | MMR | 2.8% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.1–3.9% | 2.0–4.1% | 1.7–4.5% |
| 1–31 May 2021 | Gallup | 4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 7–12 May 2021 | MMR | 3.3% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.0–5.0% |
| 1–30 April 2021 | Gallup | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.6% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.6–6.1% |
| 21–28 April 2021 | MMR | 4.8% | 4.0–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.2–6.8% |
| 29 March–7 April 2021 | MMR | 4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.8% |
| 1–29 March 2021 | Gallup | 5.0% | 4.6–5.4% | 4.5–5.5% | 4.4–5.6% | 4.3–5.8% |
| 5–10 March 2021 | MMR | 5.2% | 4.3–6.2% | 4.1–6.5% | 3.9–6.8% | 3.6–7.3% |
| 1–28 February 2021 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.7–4.4% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% |
| 12–18 February 2021 | MMR | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.5% |
| 6–31 January 2021 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.4% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% |
| 30 December 2020–11 January 2021 | MMR | 4.9% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.8% | 4.0–5.9% | 3.8–6.3% |
| 1 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Gallup | 4.3% | 4.0–4.7% | 3.9–4.8% | 3.8–4.9% | 3.7–5.0% |
| 11–19 December 2020 | Zenter | 4.7% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.8% | 3.7–6.0% | 3.4–6.4% |
| 26 November–3 December 2020 | MMR | 6.2% | 5.3–7.4% | 5.1–7.7% | 4.9–8.0% | 4.5–8.6% |
| 2–30 November 2020 | Gallup | 4.1% | 3.8–4.5% | 3.7–4.6% | 3.6–4.7% | 3.4–4.9% |
| 6–11 November 2020 | MMR | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| 30 September–1 November 2020 | Gallup | 4.5% | 4.2–4.9% | 4.1–5.0% | 4.0–5.1% | 3.9–5.3% |
| 23–28 October 2020 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.7% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.2% | 2.4–5.7% |
| 1–30 September 2020 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.4–4.1% | 3.3–4.2% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% |
| 24–28 September 2020 | Maskína | 5.5% | 4.6–6.6% | 4.3–6.9% | 4.1–7.2% | 3.8–7.7% |
| 10–23 September 2020 | MMR | 3.6% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.4% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.7–4.8% |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | MMR | 4.8% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.8–6.2% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–7.0% |
| 4–31 August 2020 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.3–4.0% | 3.2–4.1% | 3.1–4.2% | 3.0–4.3% |
| 23–28 July 2020 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 2–30 June 2020 | Gallup | 3.6% | 3.3–3.9% | 3.2–4.0% | 3.1–4.1% | 3.0–4.3% |
| 16–19 June 2020 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.6% | 4.1–6.9% | 3.8–7.4% |
| 4 May–1 June 2020 | Gallup | 4.4% | 4.1–4.8% | 4.0–4.9% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.7–5.2% |
| 19–25 May 2020 | MMR | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| 30 March–3 May 2020 | Gallup | 4.4% | 4.1–4.8% | 4.0–4.9% | 3.9–5.0% | 3.8–5.1% |
| 15–17 April 2020 | MMR | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| 3–7 April 2020 | MMR | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.6% | 2.5–4.8% | 2.2–5.2% |
| 2–29 March 2020 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.9–4.6% | 3.8–4.7% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% |
| 18–20 March 2020 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 3 February–1 March 2020 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.5% | 3.2–4.7% |
| 6–10 February 2020 | MMR | 4.6% | 3.8–5.5% | 3.6–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| 3 January–2 February 2020 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.9–4.6% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.7–4.9% | 3.5–5.1% |
| 28 January 2020 | MMR | 3.8% | 3.1–4.8% | 2.9–5.1% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.8% |
| 3–13 January 2020 | MMR | 3.5% | 3.0–4.1% | 2.9–4.2% | 2.8–4.4% | 2.6–4.7% |
| 2 December 2019–1 January 2020 | Gallup | 4.3% | 3.9–4.7% | 3.8–4.8% | 3.8–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% |
| 13–19 December 2019 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 28 October–1 December 2019 | Gallup | 3.9% | 3.6–4.2% | 3.5–4.3% | 3.4–4.4% | 3.3–4.6% |
| 15–22 November 2019 | MMR | 6.3% | 5.5–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–7.9% | 4.6–8.5% |
| 30 September–27 October 2019 | Gallup | 4.6% | 4.3–5.0% | 4.2–5.1% | 4.1–5.2% | 3.9–5.4% |
| 21–25 October 2019 | MMR | 8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 10–14 October 2019 | Zenter | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.7% |
| 30 September–9 October 2019 | MMR | 5.6% | 5.0–6.3% | 4.8–6.5% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.4–7.0% |
| 1–30 September 2019 | Gallup | 4.3% | 3.7–5.0% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.5–5.3% | 3.2–5.7% |
| 9–16 September 2019 | MMR | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 29 July–1 September 2019 | Gallup | 3.8% | 3.4–4.2% | 3.3–4.3% | 3.2–4.4% | 3.1–4.6% |
| 12–19 August 2019 | MMR | 4.1% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 1–31 July 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.2–4.3% | 3.1–4.5% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.0% |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Zenter | 3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.4% | 2.3–4.6% | 2.0–5.1% |
| 4–17 July 2019 | MMR | 4.8% | 4.2–5.4% | 4.1–5.6% | 3.9–5.8% | 3.7–6.1% |
| 31 May–30 June 2019 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.8–4.7% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–5.0% | 3.4–5.2% |
| 7–14 June 2019 | MMR | 4.3% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| 3–30 May 2019 | Gallup | 3.2% | 2.8–3.6% | 2.7–3.8% | 2.7–3.9% | 2.5–4.1% |
| 23–29 May 2019 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.4–5.2% | 3.2–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| 14–16 May 2019 | MMR | 6.4% | 5.5–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.7% |
| 30 April–3 May 2019 | MMR | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.5–7.2% |
| 5–30 April 2019 | Gallup | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 13 April 2019 | MMR | 5.1% | 4.2–6.1% | 4.0–6.4% | 3.8–6.7% | 3.4–7.2% |
| 4–9 April 2019 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.6–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.1–7.1% | 3.7–7.6% |
| 1–31 March 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.3–4.1% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.1–4.3% | 3.0–4.6% |
| 11–14 March 2019 | MMR | 4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.2% | 3.2–6.6% |
| 31 January–28 February 2019 | Gallup | 3.4% | 3.0–3.8% | 2.9–3.9% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.2% |
| 11–15 February 2019 | MMR | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.5–8.8% | 5.1–9.4% |
| 7–31 January 2019 | Gallup | 3.7% | 3.2–4.2% | 3.1–4.4% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% |
| 28 January 2019 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.5–6.5% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.1–7.1% | 3.7–7.6% |
| 4–14 January 2019 | MMR | 6.7% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.9–7.7% | 5.7–7.9% | 5.4–8.2% |
| 3 December 2018–1 January 2019 | Gallup | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.5–6.2% | 4.3–6.5% |
| 5–11 December 2018 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 3–4 December 2018 | Zenter | 5.7% | 4.9–6.6% | 4.7–6.9% | 4.5–7.1% | 4.2–7.6% |
| 30 November–3 December 2018 | Maskína | 4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.4–5.7% | 3.2–6.1% |
| 3 November–2 December 2018 | Gallup | 6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–7.0% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.4% |
| 21 November 2018 | MMR | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.3–9.2% | 6.0–9.5% | 5.6–10.1% |
| 8–12 November 2018 | MMR | 7.3% | 6.4–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.9–9.1% | 5.5–9.7% |
| 2–31 October 2018 | Gallup | 6.2% | 5.7–6.8% | 5.5–6.9% | 5.4–7.1% | 5.2–7.3% |
| 22 October 2018 | MMR | 5.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.8–7.4% | 4.6–7.7% | 4.2–8.2% |
| 3–9 October 2018 | MMR | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 4.9–7.5% | 4.7–7.8% | 4.3–8.4% |
| 3 September–1 October 2018 | Gallup | 5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.7% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 7–12 September 2018 | MMR | 5.4% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% |
| 2 August–2 September 2018 | Gallup | 5.7% | 5.2–6.2% | 5.1–6.4% | 5.0–6.5% | 4.8–6.8% |
| 10 August 2018 | MMR | 7.8% | 6.8–9.1% | 6.5–9.4% | 6.2–9.7% | 5.8–10.4% |
| 29 June–30 July 2018 | Gallup | 6.0% | 5.5–6.5% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.0–7.1% |
| 31 May–1 July 2018 | Gallup | 5.1% | 4.6–5.6% | 4.5–5.8% | 4.4–5.9% | 4.2–6.2% |
| 12–18 June 2018 | MMR | 8.2% | 7.2–9.5% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.6–10.2% | 6.1–10.8% |
| 2–31 May 2018 | Gallup | 4.1% | 3.7–4.5% | 3.6–4.6% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% |
| 16–22 May 2018 | MMR | 5.6% | 4.7–6.7% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.3% | 3.9–7.8% |
| 2 May 2018 | MMR | 5.8% | 4.9–7.0% | 4.7–7.3% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.1–8.1% |
| 27 March–29 April 2018 | Gallup | 4.2% | 3.8–4.6% | 3.7–4.8% | 3.6–4.9% | 3.4–5.1% |
| 13–19 April 2018 | MMR | 6.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.5% | 5.4–8.8% | 5.0–9.4% |
| 1–26 March 2018 | Gallup | 4.9% | 4.4–5.4% | 4.3–5.6% | 4.2–5.7% | 4.0–6.0% |
| 19 March 2018 | MMR | 3.6% | 2.9–4.6% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.6–5.1% | 2.3–5.5% |
| 1–28 February 2018 | Gallup | 5.9% | 5.4–6.5% | 5.2–6.6% | 5.1–6.8% | 4.9–7.1% |
| 4–31 January 2018 | Gallup | 5.5% | 5.0–6.1% | 4.9–6.2% | 4.7–6.4% | 4.5–6.7% |
| 25–30 January 2018 | MMR | 4.2% | 3.5–5.2% | 3.3–5.5% | 3.1–5.7% | 2.8–6.2% |
| 9–17 January 2018 | MMR | 6.1% | 5.4–6.9% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.7–7.8% |
| 30 November–28 December 2017 | Gallup | 5.4% | 5.0–5.9% | 4.8–6.1% | 4.7–6.2% | 4.5–6.4% |
| 12–15 December 2017 | MMR | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.8–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.3–5.6% |
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir | 4.0% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.1% |
| 8–30 November 2017 | Gallup | 6.4% | 5.8–7.1% | 5.6–7.3% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.2–7.8% |
| 14–17 November 2017 | MMR | 8.4% | 7.3–9.6% | 7.0–10.0% | 6.8–10.3% | 6.3–10.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Flokkur fólksins.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 3% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 19% | 97% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 56% | 78% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 4 seats (General Election of 28 October 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 22–24 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 24 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 22–23 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 15–22 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 21–22 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 17–21 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 13–19 September 2021 | Gallup RÚV |
4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–5 |
| 15–17 September 2021 | MMR Morgunblaðið |
3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 13–16 September 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 8–13 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 August–12 September 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 8–10 September 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 31 August–6 September 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 29 August 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 24 August 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 13–23 August 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 29 July–15 August 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 July 2021 | Maskína Bylgjan, Stöð 2 and Vísir |
0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 30 June–28 July 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–23 July 2021 | Prósent Fréttablaðið |
3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 24 June–6 July 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–30 June 2021 | Maskína | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 1–29 June 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 4–14 June 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 25 May–1 June 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 May 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 7–12 May 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–30 April 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 21–28 April 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 29 March–7 April 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–29 March 2021 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 5–10 March 2021 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–28 February 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–18 February 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 6–31 January 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 December 2020–11 January 2021 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1 December 2020–3 January 2021 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–19 December 2020 | Zenter | 0 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 26 November–3 December 2020 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 1–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 2–30 November 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–11 November 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 30 September–1 November 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 23–28 October 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 1–30 September 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–28 September 2020 | Maskína | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 10–23 September 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 August–2 September 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 4–31 August 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–28 July 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 2–30 June 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–19 June 2020 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 4 May–1 June 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 19–25 May 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| 30 March–3 May 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 15–17 April 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 3–7 April 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 2–29 March 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18–20 March 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 3 February–1 March 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–10 February 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 3 January–2 February 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 January 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 3–13 January 2020 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 December 2019–1 January 2020 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 13–19 December 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 28 October–1 December 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15–22 November 2019 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 30 September–27 October 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 21–25 October 2019 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 10–14 October 2019 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 30 September–9 October 2019 | MMR | 3 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 1–30 September 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 9–16 September 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 29 July–1 September 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12–19 August 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 1–31 July 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24–26 July 2019 | Zenter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4–17 July 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 31 May–30 June 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 7–14 June 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 3–30 May 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23–29 May 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 14–16 May 2019 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 0–5 |
| 30 April–3 May 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 5–30 April 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 13 April 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 4–9 April 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 1–31 March 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–14 March 2019 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 31 January–28 February 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11–15 February 2019 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 7–31 January 2019 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 January 2019 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 4–14 January 2019 | MMR | 4 | 4–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 3 December 2018–1 January 2019 | Gallup | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 5–11 December 2018 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 3–4 December 2018 | Zenter | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 30 November–3 December 2018 | Maskína | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 3 November–2 December 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| 21 November 2018 | MMR | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| 8–12 November 2018 | MMR | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–6 |
| 2–31 October 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 22 October 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 3–9 October 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 3 September–1 October 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
| 7–12 September 2018 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 2 August–2 September 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
| 10 August 2018 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 29 June–30 July 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 31 May–1 July 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 12–18 June 2018 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| 2–31 May 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16–22 May 2018 | MMR | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 2 May 2018 | MMR | 4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 27 March–29 April 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 13–19 April 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 1–6 |
| 1–26 March 2018 | Gallup | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 19 March 2018 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 |
| 1–28 February 2018 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 |
| 4–31 January 2018 | Gallup | 3 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 25–30 January 2018 | MMR | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 9–17 January 2018 | MMR | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 30 November–28 December 2017 | Gallup | 3 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
| 12–15 December 2017 | MMR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 |
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið/Stöð 2/Vísir | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 4 December 2017 | Fréttablaðið, Stöð 2 and Vísir | 0 | 0 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
| 8–30 November 2017 | Gallup | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| 14–17 November 2017 | MMR | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Flokkur fólksins.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 89% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 89% | |
| 3 | 46% | 89% | Median |
| 4 | 42% | 44% | Last Result |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |