Alternative für Deutschland (ESN)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 28.0% | 26.2–29.9% | 25.7–30.3% | 25.3–30.7% | 24.6–31.5% |
| 19–22 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | 27.7–30.3% | 27.3–30.7% | 27.0–31.0% | 26.4–31.7% |
| 16–22 June 2026 | Forsa | 27.0% | 25.7–28.3% | 25.3–28.7% | 25.0–29.1% | 24.4–29.7% |
| 15–19 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 June 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
28.0% | 26.2–29.8% | 25.7–30.4% | 25.3–30.8% | 24.4–31.7% |
| 5–17 June 2026 | Allensbach | 28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 June 2026 | YouGov | 28.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 June 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 June 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 June 2026 | Allensbach | 27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 June 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 May–2 June 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 June 2026 | Infratest dimap | 27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 May–1 June 2026 | GMS | 27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 May–1 June 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–26 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov | 29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–22 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 May 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–15 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
29.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 May 2026 | YouGov | 28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 May 2026 | Ipsos | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 May 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 May 2026 | Infratest dimap ARD |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 April–5 May 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 April–4 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 April–4 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–30 April 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
28.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–20 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–17 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–16 April 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 April 2026 | YouGov | 27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 March–9 April 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 March–7 April 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 March–2 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–2 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 March 2026 | Infratest dimap SWR |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 March 2026 | Ipsos | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 March 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 March 2026 | YouGov | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 February–12 March 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 March 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 March 2026 | Infratest dimap SWR |
22.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 February–2 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25 February–2 March 2026 | GMS | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 February–2 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 February–1 March 2026 | Ipsos | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 February 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–19 February 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 February 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 February 2026 | YouGov | 24.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 February 2026 | Ipsos | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 February 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 February 2026 | Infratest dimap ARD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 January–2 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 January–2 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 January 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–23 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 January 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–19 January 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 January 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 January 2026 | pollytix | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 January 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 January 2026 | YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 January 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 January 2026 | Ipsos | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 January 2026 | Infratest dimap ARD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 December 2025–5 January 2026 | GMS | 27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 December 2025–2 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 December 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 December 2025 | YouGov | 25.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 December 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 December 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 December 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22 November–4 December 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 December 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 November–2 December 2025 | pollytix | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 November–1 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 December 2025 | Forsa | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 November 2025 | Ipsos | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 November 2025 | YouGov | 24.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 November 2025 | GMS | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 November 2025 | Ipsos | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 November 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23 October–6 November 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 November 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 October–4 November 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 October–3 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 October–3 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–20 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–17 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 October 2025 | YouGov | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 September–10 October 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 October 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 September–6 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 September–2 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–29 September 2025 | GMS | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–26 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
27.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–17 September 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 September 2025 | YouGov | 26.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2025 | Verian | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 September 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2025 | pollytix | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 September 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26 August–1 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–29 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–25 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–22 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 August 2025 | YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–15 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–14 August 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 August 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 August 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–8 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 August 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 July–4 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 August 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 July–1 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–28 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–25 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–24 July 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–21 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–18 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–16 July 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 July 2025 | YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–11 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 July 2025 | Ipsos | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 June–4 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 June 2025 | GMS | 21.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–20 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 June 2025 | YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–12 June 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 June 2025 | Forsa | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–3 June 2025 | Infratest dimap | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | pollytix | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–2 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27 May–2 June 2025 | Forsa | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 May 2025 | Forsa | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–23 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–22 May 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–20 May 2025 | Verian | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 May 2025 | GMS | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 May 2025 | Forsa | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–14 May 2025 | Allensbach | 22.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 May 2025 | YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–12 May 2025 | Forsa | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–10 May 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 May 2025 | Infratest dimap | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Forsa | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 April 2025 | YouGov | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–28 April 2025 | Forsa | 26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–22 April 2025 | Verian | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–22 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
26.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–15 April 2025 | pollytix | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–11 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–10 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 March–9 April 2025 | Allensbach | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–7 April 2025 | GMS | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 April 2025 | Ipsos | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 April 2025 | Infratest dimap | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–31 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–31 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–25 March 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | YouGov | 24.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
23.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 March 2025 | Allensbach | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–5 March 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–3 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24 February–3 March 2025 | Forsa | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28 February–1 March 2025 | Ipsos | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–22 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 February 2025 | YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–20 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 February 2025 | Forsa | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–20 February 2025 | Allensbach | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–19 February 2025 | Ipsos | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–19 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 February 2025 | GMS | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 February 2025 | Cluster17 | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 February 2025 | YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 February 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–13 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 February 2025 | pollytix | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 February 2025 | Allensbach | 19.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 February 2025 | YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 February 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–7 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 February 2025 | GMS | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–6 February 2025 | pollytix | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–6 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 February 2025 | YouGov | 21.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 February 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 January 2025 | Ipsos | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30–31 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 30 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 January 2025 | Democracy Institute | 25.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–29 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–28 January 2025 | Verian | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | YouGov | 23.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–27 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–27 January 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–24 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–23 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 January 2025 | YouGov | 18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–20 January 2025 | Forsa | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–19 January 2025 | Allensbach | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 January 2025 | Ipsos | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–17 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–14 January 2025 | YouGov | 20.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–13 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–13 January 2025 | Forsa | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 22.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 20.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–8 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 January 2025 | YouGov | 21.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–6 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 21.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 January 2025 | Forsa | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 January 2025 | Ipsos | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 January 2025 | GMS | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–20 December 2024 | Forsa | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | 18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 15.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 20.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 19.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | 18.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 18.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | 15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | 17.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa | 16.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Alternative für Deutschland (ESN).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 12% | 96% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 22% | 84% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 25% | 62% | Median |
| 28.5–29.5% | 22% | 36% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 11% | 15% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 27 | 25–29 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 23–30 |
| 19–22 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
28 | 27–29 | 27–29 | 26–29 | 26–29 |
| 16–22 June 2026 | Forsa | 26 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 23–28 |
| 15–19 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 16–18 June 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
26 | 24–27 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–30 |
| 5–17 June 2026 | Allensbach | |||||
| 12–15 June 2026 | YouGov | |||||
| 12–15 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 9–15 June 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 8–12 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5–8 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–8 June 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 1–5 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5 June 2026 | Allensbach | |||||
| 1–3 June 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 27 May–2 June 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 1–2 June 2026 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 1 June 2026 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 27 May–1 June 2026 | GMS | |||||
| 26 May–1 June 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 26–29 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 22–26 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 22–25 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–22 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 19–22 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 19–21 May 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 15–18 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 12–18 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 11–15 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 8–11 May 2026 | YouGov | |||||
| 8–11 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5–11 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 8–10 May 2026 | Ipsos | |||||
| 4–8 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5–7 May 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 4–6 May 2026 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 28 April–5 May 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 30 April–4 May 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 28 April–4 May 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 27–30 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 18–30 April 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 24–27 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 21–27 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 20–24 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 17–20 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 14–20 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 13–17 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 14–16 April 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 10–13 April 2026 | YouGov | |||||
| 10–13 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 7–13 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 7–10 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 23 March–9 April 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 30 March–7 April 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 2–7 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 30 March–2 April 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 31 March–2 April 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 30–31 March 2026 | Infratest dimap SWR |
|||||
| 27–30 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 24–30 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 27–29 March 2026 | Ipsos | |||||
| 23–27 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 24–26 March 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 20–23 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 17–23 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 16–20 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 13–16 March 2026 | YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 10–16 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 9–13 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 27 February–12 March 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 4–10 March 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 6–9 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 3–9 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 2–6 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–4 March 2026 | Infratest dimap SWR |
|||||
| 27 February–2 March 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 25 February–2 March 2026 | GMS | |||||
| 24 February–2 March 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 27 February–1 March 2026 | Ipsos | |||||
| 23–27 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 24–26 February 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 20–23 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 17–23 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 16–20 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 6–19 February 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 13–16 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 10–16 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 9–13 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–10 February 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 6–9 February 2026 | YouGov | |||||
| 6–9 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 3–9 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 6–8 February 2026 | Ipsos | |||||
| 2–6 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 3–5 February 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 2–4 February 2026 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 30 January–2 February 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 27 January–2 February 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 26–30 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 23–26 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 20–26 January 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 19–23 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 16–19 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 13–19 January 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 6–19 January 2026 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 12–16 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 13–15 January 2026 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 7–13 January 2026 | pollytix | |||||
| 7–13 January 2026 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 9–12 January 2026 | YouGov | |||||
| 9–12 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5–12 January 2026 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 9–11 January 2026 | Ipsos | |||||
| 5–9 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5–7 January 2026 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 2–5 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 23 December 2025–5 January 2026 | GMS | |||||
| 30 December 2025–2 January 2026 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 19–22 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–19 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 16–19 December 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 12–15 December 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 12–15 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 9–15 December 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 8–12 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 9–11 December 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 3–9 December 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 5–8 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–8 December 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 1–5 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 22 November–4 December 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 1–3 December 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 26 November–2 December 2025 | pollytix | |||||
| 28 November–1 December 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 1 December 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 28–30 November 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 24–28 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 21–24 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 18–24 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 17–21 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 18–20 November 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 14–17 November 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11–17 November 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 11–17 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 10–14 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 7–10 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–10 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 7–9 November 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 3–7 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–6 November 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 23 October–6 November 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 3–5 November 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 28 October–4 November 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 30 October–3 November 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 28 October–3 November 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 27–30 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 24–27 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 21–27 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 20–24 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 21–23 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 17–20 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 14–20 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 13–17 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 10–13 October 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 10–13 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 7–13 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 6–10 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 26 September–10 October 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 7 October 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 2–6 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 30 September–6 October 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 2–3 October 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 29 September–2 October 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 26–29 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 24–29 September 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 23–29 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 22–26 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 19–22 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 16–22 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 15–19 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–18 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 5–17 September 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 12–15 September 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 12–15 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–15 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 8–12 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 3–9 September 2025 | Verian | |||||
| 5–8 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–8 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 5–7 September 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 1–5 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–4 September 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 2 September 2025 | pollytix | |||||
| 1–2 September 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 29 August–1 September 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 26 August–1 September 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 25–29 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 22–25 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 19–25 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 18–22 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–18 August 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 15–18 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 12–18 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 11–15 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 1–14 August 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 11–13 August 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 6–12 August 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 8–11 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 5–11 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 3–8 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–6 August 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 1–4 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 29 July–4 August 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 1–3 August 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 28 July–1 August 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 23–29 July 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 25–28 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 22–28 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 21–25 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 22–24 July 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 18–21 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–21 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 14–18 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–16 July 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 11–14 July 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 11–14 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–14 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 7–11 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 4–7 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 July 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 4–5 July 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 30 June–4 July 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Infratest dimap ARD |
|||||
| 27–30 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 26–30 June 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 24–30 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 23–27 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 24–26 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 20–23 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–20 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 17–20 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 11–17 June 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 13–16 June 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 10–16 June 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 10–13 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 1–12 June 2025 | Allensbach Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung |
|||||
| 6–10 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–6 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–6 June 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 3–5 June 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 2–3 June 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 28 May–2 June 2025 | pollytix | |||||
| 30 May–2 June 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 27 May–2 June 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 30 May–1 June 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 26–30 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 23–26 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–26 May 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 19–23 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–22 May 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 14–20 May 2025 | Verian | |||||
| 16–19 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–19 May 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 13–19 May 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 12–16 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–14 May 2025 | Allensbach | |||||
| 9–12 May 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 9–12 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–12 May 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 9–10 May 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 5–9 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–6 May 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 2–5 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28 April–2 May 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 29 April–2 May 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 28–30 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 25–28 April 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 25–28 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 22–28 April 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 22–25 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 15–22 April 2025 | Verian | |||||
| 17–22 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 15–17 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 13–15 April 2025 | pollytix | |||||
| 11–14 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 8–14 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 7–11 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–10 April 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 28 March–9 April 2025 | Allensbach | |||||
| 4–7 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2–7 April 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 1–7 April 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 4–5 April 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 31 March–4 April 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 2 April 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 28–31 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 25–31 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 24–28 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–25 March 2025 | Verian FOCUS |
|||||
| 21–24 March 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 21–24 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 18–24 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 17–21 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–20 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen ZDF |
|||||
| 14–17 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11–17 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 10–14 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov BILD |
|||||
| 11 March 2025 | Allensbach | |||||
| 7–10 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 March 2025 | Forsa RTL n-tv |
|||||
| 3–7 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–6 March 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 4–5 March 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 28 February–3 March 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24 February–3 March 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 28 February–1 March 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 24–28 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 21–22 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–21 February 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 17–20 February 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 19–20 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 17–20 February 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 9–20 February 2025 | Allensbach | |||||
| 12–19 February 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 18–19 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–19 February 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 16–18 February 2025 | Cluster17 | |||||
| 14–17 February 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 February 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 10–14 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–13 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 11–12 February 2025 | pollytix | |||||
| 10–12 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 12 February 2025 | Allensbach | |||||
| 7–10 February 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 7–10 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 February 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 3–7 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–7 February 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 5–6 February 2025 | pollytix | |||||
| 4–6 February 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 3–5 February 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 4 February 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 3 February 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3 February 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 30–31 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 30–31 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 30 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 January 2025 | Democracy Institute | |||||
| 27–29 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 27–29 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 22–28 January 2025 | Verian | |||||
| 24–27 January 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 24–27 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 21–27 January 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 20–24 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 21–23 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 17–20 January 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 17–20 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–20 January 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 7–19 January 2025 | Allensbach | |||||
| 16–18 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 13–17 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 10–14 January 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 10–13 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7–13 January 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 6–10 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7–9 January 2025 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 6–8 January 2025 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 3–6 January 2025 | YouGov | |||||
| 3–6 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–6 January 2025 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–4 January 2025 | Ipsos | |||||
| 3 January 2025 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 January 2025 | GMS | |||||
| 27–30 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 23–27 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–23 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 17–20 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 11–17 December 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 12 December 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 3 December 2024 | YouGov | |||||
| 2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 December 2024 | GMS | |||||
| 2 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1 December 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–26 November 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | |||||
| 8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 7 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 23–29 October 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11 October 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | |||||
| 4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1 October 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–16 September 2024 | GMS | |||||
| 10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11 September 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 3 September 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2 September 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | |||||
| 9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 6–12 August 2024 | GMS | |||||
| 6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5 August 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 3–9 July 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | |||||
| 1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 3 July 2024 | YouGov | |||||
| 1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 11–17 June 2024 | GMS | |||||
| 11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
| 10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
| 10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
| 5–11 June 2024 | Verian | |||||
| 7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
| 4–10 June 2024 | Forsa |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Alternative für Deutschland (ESN).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 6% | 98% | |
| 25 | 14% | 93% | |
| 26 | 25% | 78% | |
| 27 | 28% | 54% | Median |
| 28 | 10% | 26% | |
| 29 | 13% | 15% | |
| 30 | 3% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |