Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 13.1% | 11.6–14.7% | 11.2–15.1% | 10.8–15.5% | 10.2–16.3% |
16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.3–14.0% | 9.8–14.6% |
17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.1% | 11.5–16.8% |
16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.7–16.6% |
11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 14.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.8–16.5% |
13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 13.0% | 12.2–13.9% | 11.9–14.2% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.3–14.8% |
9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | 12.7–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% | 12.1–16.0% | 11.5–16.7% |
2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.7–16.6% |
3 December 2024 | YouGov | 12.9% | 11.9–13.9% | 11.7–14.2% | 11.4–14.5% | 11.0–15.0% |
2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.1–15.0% |
2 December 2024 | GMS | 13.0% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.3% | 10.5–16.0% |
2 December 2024 | Forsa | 12.0% | 11.2–12.9% | 11.0–13.1% | 10.8–13.3% | 10.4–13.8% |
1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 13.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.7–15.7% |
20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 13.0% | 11.9–14.2% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.3–14.8% | 10.8–15.4% |
22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% |
19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 12.0% | 11.2–12.9% | 11.0–13.1% | 10.8–13.3% | 10.4–13.8% |
18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.3–12.9% | 8.8–13.5% |
19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.6–13.7% | 10.3–14.0% | 9.8–14.6% |
18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14.0% | 12.9–15.3% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.3–16.0% | 11.7–16.7% |
15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 10.2–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.6% |
8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 11.9% | 10.9–12.9% | 10.7–13.2% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.0–13.9% |
8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.5% | 10.8–12.3% | 10.6–12.5% | 10.4–12.7% | 10.1–13.1% |
5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
7 November 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4 November 2024 | Forsa | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 11.0% | 10.0–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.4–12.8% | 9.0–13.4% |
23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.0–13.3% |
25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 10.2–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.4–10.8% |
21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.8% | 7.9–12.4% |
15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11.0% | 9.9–12.3% | 9.6–12.7% | 9.3–13.0% | 8.8–13.7% |
11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.4–11.8% |
8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 10.0% | 9.3–10.8% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% |
7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.3–12.9% | 8.8–13.5% |
11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 10.4% | 9.3–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.7–12.4% | 8.2–13.0% |
7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 13.0% | 11.9–14.3% | 11.6–14.6% | 11.3–15.0% | 10.8–15.6% |
4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 11.0% | 10.1–12.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.6–12.5% | 9.2–13.0% |
4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.4–12.9% | 8.9–13.5% |
1 October 2024 | Verian | 11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.1–13.3% |
27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% |
24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 10.0% | 9.3–10.8% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.5–11.6% |
23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.5–13.7% | 10.2–14.1% | 9.7–14.7% |
20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 9.5% | 8.7–10.4% | 8.5–10.6% | 8.3–10.9% | 7.9–11.3% |
17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.5–11.9% | 8.0–12.5% |
11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 13.0% | 12.0–14.1% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.5–14.7% | 11.1–15.2% |
6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.7–11.5% | 8.4–11.8% | 7.9–12.4% |
3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11.0% | 9.9–12.3% | 9.6–12.7% | 9.3–13.0% | 8.8–13.6% |
3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 11.0% | 10.0–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.4–12.8% | 8.9–13.4% |
3 September 2024 | Verian | 12.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.4–13.8% | 9.9–14.4% |
2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2 September 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.9% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.3–12.9% | 8.8–13.5% |
23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.5% | 10.6–12.4% | 10.4–12.7% | 10.2–13.0% | 9.7–13.4% |
20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.6–12.6% | 9.3–12.9% | 8.8–13.5% |
16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | 9.7–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.3–11.9% | 8.9–12.4% |
13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–11.8% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% |
12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.2–14.3% |
12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.4–14.7% | 11.2–15.1% | 10.6–15.7% |
9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | 9.7–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.9–12.4% |
6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.5–13.8% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.2–12.0% | 9.9–12.3% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–13.0% |
5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 12.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.3–13.9% | 9.8–14.5% |
31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 13.0% | 11.9–14.2% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.3–14.8% | 10.8–15.4% |
2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | 9.6–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.8–12.4% |
5 August 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 13.0% | 11.7–14.5% | 11.4–14.9% | 11.1–15.2% | 10.5–16.0% |
2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.5% | 9.3–12.9% |
22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.4–14.7% | 11.2–15.1% | 10.6–15.7% |
3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 13.0% | 11.9–14.2% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.4–14.8% | 10.9–15.4% |
5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3 July 2024 | YouGov | 11.9% | 10.9–12.9% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.4–13.5% | 10.0–14.0% |
1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 13.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.5–14.6% | 11.2–14.9% | 10.7–15.6% |
1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1 July 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 14.0% | 12.7–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.4–17.0% |
11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–11 June 2024 | Verian | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–10 June 2024 | Forsa | 13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
8.5–9.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
9.5–10.5% | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
10.5–11.5% | 7% | 98.7% | |
11.5–12.5% | 21% | 91% | |
12.5–13.5% | 33% | 70% | Median |
13.5–14.5% | 24% | 37% | |
14.5–15.5% | 10% | 12% | |
15.5–16.5% | 2% | 2% | |
16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 |
16–19 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
17–19 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 14 | 13–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
16–18 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 14 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 |
11–17 December 2024 | Verian | 13 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
13–16 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
10–16 December 2024 | Forsa | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 11–14 |
9–13 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
12 December 2024 | Allensbach | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
6–9 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
3–9 December 2024 | Forsa | |||||
2–6 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
3–5 December 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–16 |
2–4 December 2024 | Infratest dimap | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12–13 | 12–13 |
3 December 2024 | YouGov | 11 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
2 December 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
2 December 2024 | GMS | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 |
2 December 2024 | Forsa | 12 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–13 |
1 December 2024 | Ipsos | 12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
25–29 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
20–26 November 2024 | Verian | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
22–25 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
19–25 November 2024 | Forsa | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 |
18–21 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10–11 |
19–21 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
18–20 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 13 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
15–18 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 |
12–18 November 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
11–15 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
2–14 November 2024 | Allensbach | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–12 |
8–12 November 2024 | YouGov | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
8–11 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11–12 |
5–11 November 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10–11 |
7–8 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
7 November 2024 | Infratest dimap | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
5–7 November 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
7 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
1–4 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
4 November 2024 | Forsa | |||||
1–2 November 2024 | Ipsos | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 | 8–14 |
1 November 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
28–30 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 10 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
23–29 October 2024 | Verian | 11 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 |
25–28 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
22–28 October 2024 | Forsa | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–10 |
21–25 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
18–21 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 8 | 8–10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
15–21 October 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
14–18 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
15–17 October 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
11–14 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 9 | 8–9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
8–14 October 2024 | Forsa | 9 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–11 |
7–11 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
11 October 2024 | Allensbach | 10 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
7–9 October 2024 | Infratest dimap | 12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
4–8 October 2024 | YouGov | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
4–7 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
1–7 October 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
2–4 October 2024 | Ipsos | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
4 October 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
1 October 2024 | Verian | 11 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–12 |
27–30 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–12 |
24–30 September 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 |
23–27 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
24–26 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 10–12 |
20–23 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 |
17–23 September 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
16–19 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
13–16 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 9 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
11–16 September 2024 | GMS | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
10–16 September 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
9–13 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 8–10 |
11 September 2024 | Allensbach | 10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
6–10 September 2024 | YouGov | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
6–9 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
3–9 September 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
6–7 September 2024 | Ipsos | 11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 |
2–6 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 |
3–5 September 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
3–4 September 2024 | Infratest dimap | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
3 September 2024 | Verian | 11 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
2 September 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
2 September 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
26–30 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
23–26 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
20–26 August 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 10–11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
19–23 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
16–19 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
13–19 August 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
12–16 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
3–15 August 2024 | Allensbach | 11 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
12–14 August 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
9–13 August 2024 | YouGov | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
9–12 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
6–12 August 2024 | GMS | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
6–12 August 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 11–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 |
5–9 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
5–7 August 2024 | Infratest dimap | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–13 |
31 July–6 August 2024 | Verian | 13 | 12–13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 10–15 |
2–5 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
5 August 2024 | Forsa | 11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
2–4 August 2024 | Ipsos | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
2 August 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
26–29 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | 10 | 10 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
23–29 July 2024 | Forsa | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
22–26 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
19–22 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
16–22 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
15–19 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
5–19 July 2024 | Allensbach | 12 | 10–13 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
12–15 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
9–15 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
8–12 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
9–11 July 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
3–9 July 2024 | Verian | 12 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
5–8 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
2–8 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
5–7 July 2024 | Ipsos | 10 | 10–11 | 10–11 | 10–13 | 10–14 |
1–5 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
3 July 2024 | YouGov | 12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
1–3 July 2024 | Infratest dimap | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–13 |
1 July 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
1 July 2024 | Forsa | |||||
24–28 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
25–27 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
21–24 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
18–24 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
17–21 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
14–17 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
11–17 June 2024 | GMS | 11 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
11–17 June 2024 | Forsa | |||||
10–15 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
1–13 June 2024 | Allensbach | |||||
10–12 June 2024 | Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | |||||
5–11 June 2024 | Verian | |||||
7–10 June 2024 | INSA and YouGov | |||||
4–10 June 2024 | Forsa |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
1 | 0% | 100% | |
2 | 0% | 100% | |
3 | 0% | 100% | |
4 | 0% | 100% | |
5 | 0% | 100% | |
6 | 0% | 100% | |
7 | 0% | 100% | |
8 | 0% | 100% | |
9 | 0.4% | 100% | |
10 | 3% | 99.6% | |
11 | 20% | 96% | |
12 | 20% | 76% | |
13 | 34% | 56% | Median |
14 | 14% | 22% | |
15 | 6% | 8% | |
16 | 2% | 2% | |
17 | 0% | 0% |