Eesti Reformierakond

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 28.9% (General Election of 3 March 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 29.4% 24.2–33.8% 23.4–34.6% 22.8–35.3% 21.8–36.4%
28 February–3 March 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
28 February–2 March 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
29.0% 27.5–30.4% 27.1–30.8% 26.8–31.2% 26.1–31.9%
20–28 February 2023 Turu-uuringute AS
Eesti Päevaleht
30.0% 27.7–32.5% 27.0–33.2% 26.5–33.8% 25.4–35.0%
10–27 February 2023 RAIT Faktum&Ariko 24.5% 22.8–26.4% 22.3–26.9% 21.9–27.3% 21.1–28.2%
21–27 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.8% 23.1–26.6% 22.6–27.1% 22.2–27.6% 21.4–28.5%
20–22 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
28.2% 26.8–29.7% 26.4–30.1% 26.0–30.5% 25.4–31.2%
14–20 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.0% 27.2–30.9% 26.7–31.4% 26.3–31.9% 25.4–32.8%
13–16 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
31.0% 29.5–32.5% 29.1–32.9% 28.7–33.3% 28.1–34.0%
7–13 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
27.5% 25.7–29.4% 25.2–29.9% 24.8–30.4% 24.0–31.3%
6–9 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
31.7% 30.2–33.3% 29.7–33.7% 29.4–34.1% 28.7–34.9%
31 January–6 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.9% 30.1–33.8% 29.5–34.4% 29.1–34.9% 28.2–35.8%
30 January–2 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
30.2% 28.8–31.8% 28.4–32.2% 28.0–32.6% 27.3–33.3%
24–30 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
27.7% 25.9–29.6% 25.4–30.1% 25.0–30.6% 24.2–31.5%
27 January 2023 Turu-uuringute AS 26.0% 23.8–28.4% 23.2–29.1% 22.6–29.7% 21.6–30.8%
19–26 January 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
31.5% 30.1–33.0% 29.7–33.4% 29.4–33.7% 28.7–34.5%
17–23 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.4% 28.6–32.3% 28.1–32.9% 27.6–33.3% 26.8–34.3%
5–11 January 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
28.2% 26.8–29.6% 26.4–30.1% 26.1–30.4% 25.4–31.1%
2–9 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.5% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.9%
13–19 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.8% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.3% 29.0–34.8% 28.1–35.7%
8–16 December 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
30.2% 28.7–31.7% 28.3–32.2% 27.9–32.6% 27.2–33.3%
6–12 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.3% 29.5–33.2% 28.9–33.8% 28.5–34.2% 27.6–35.2%
6 December 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 35.0% 32.6–37.6% 31.9–38.3% 31.3–38.9% 30.1–40.1%
29 November–5 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.0% 32.1–36.0% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–37.0% 30.2–38.0%
22–28 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.6% 31.7–35.6% 31.2–36.1% 30.7–36.6% 29.8–37.5%
15–21 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.5% 30.6–34.4% 30.1–35.0% 29.7–35.5% 28.8–36.4%
10–17 November 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
31.0% 29.5–32.5% 29.0–33.0% 28.7–33.3% 28.0–34.1%
8–14 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.7% 31.8–35.7% 31.3–36.2% 30.8–36.7% 29.9–37.6%
9 November 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 32.0% 29.6–34.5% 29.0–35.2% 28.4–35.8% 27.3–37.1%
1–6 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.5% 31.6–35.5% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
26–31 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.0% 29.2–32.9% 28.7–33.5% 28.2–33.9% 27.3–34.9%
18–25 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.2% 32.3–36.2% 31.8–36.7% 31.3–37.2% 30.4–38.1%
13–19 October 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
28.2% 26.7–29.7% 26.3–30.2% 25.9–30.5% 25.2–31.3%
11–17 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.2% 30.3–34.1% 29.8–34.7% 29.4–35.2% 28.5–36.1%
12 October 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 29.0% 26.7–31.5% 26.1–32.2% 25.5–32.8% 24.4–34.0%
4–10 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.9% 30.3–34.1% 29.8–34.7% 29.4–35.2% 28.5–36.1%
27 September–3 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.5% 31.6–35.5% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
20–26 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.3% 26.5–30.2% 26.0–30.7% 25.6–31.2% 24.8–32.1%
13–19 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.5% 28.7–32.4% 28.2–33.0% 27.7–33.4% 26.9–34.4%
16 September 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 33.0% 30.4–35.8% 29.6–36.6% 29.0–37.3% 27.8–38.6%
8–14 September 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
28.7% 27.2–30.3% 26.8–30.7% 26.4–31.1% 25.7–31.9%
6–12 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.4% 28.6–32.3% 28.1–32.9% 27.6–33.3% 26.8–34.3%
27 August–5 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.1% 29.3–33.0% 28.7–33.6% 28.3–34.0% 27.4–35.0%
23–29 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.0% 30.1–33.9% 29.6–34.5% 29.2–35.0% 28.3–35.9%
25 August 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 28.0% 25.7–30.4% 25.1–31.1% 24.6–31.7% 23.5–32.9%
16–22 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.1%
11–22 August 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
31.3% 29.8–32.9% 29.4–33.3% 29.0–33.7% 28.3–34.4%
9–15 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.8% 29.9–33.7% 29.4–34.3% 29.0–34.8% 28.1–35.7%
2–8 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.5% 33.6–37.5% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.5%
25 July–1 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.5% 33.6–37.5% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.5%
19–25 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.8% 30.9–34.8% 30.4–35.3% 29.9–35.8% 29.1–36.7%
14–20 July 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
30.0% 28.5–31.5% 28.1–32.0% 27.7–32.4% 27.0–33.1%
12–18 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.9% 32.0–35.9% 31.5–36.4% 31.0–36.9% 30.1–37.8%
5–11 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.4% 30.5–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.4% 28.7–36.3%
27 June–4 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.5% 30.6–34.4% 30.1–35.0% 29.7–35.5% 28.8–36.4%
14–20 June 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.1% 32.2–36.1% 31.7–36.6% 31.2–37.1% 30.3–38.0%
17 June 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 31.0% 28.7–33.5% 28.0–34.2% 27.4–34.8% 26.3–36.0%
9–14 June 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
31.9% 30.4–33.5% 30.0–33.9% 29.7–34.3% 28.9–35.1%
7–13 June 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.2% 33.3–37.2% 32.8–37.7% 32.3–38.2% 31.4–39.2%
1–6 June 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.5% 31.6–35.5% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
24–30 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.7% 32.8–36.7% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.7% 30.9–38.7%
16–23 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.4% 33.5–37.4% 33.0–37.9% 32.5–38.4% 31.6–39.4%
12–20 May 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
32.9% 31.4–34.5% 30.9–35.0% 30.6–35.4% 29.8–36.2%
19 May 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–16 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
4–9 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.9% 34.0–37.9% 33.4–38.4% 33.0–38.9% 32.1–39.9%
26 April–2 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.6% 28.8–32.5% 28.3–33.1% 27.8–33.5% 27.0–34.5%
19–25 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.0% 32.1–36.0% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–37.0% 30.2–38.0%
14–20 April 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
24.9% 23.5–26.4% 23.2–26.8% 22.8–27.2% 22.2–27.9%
18 April 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 30.0% 27.7–32.5% 27.0–33.2% 26.5–33.8% 25.4–35.0%
12–18 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.5–33.4% 28.1–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
6–11 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.7–34.6% 29.3–35.1% 28.4–36.0%
28 March–4 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.3% 27.5–31.2% 27.0–31.7% 26.6–32.2% 25.7–33.1%
21–28 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.7% 29.9–33.6% 29.3–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.0–35.6%
19 March 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 23.0% 21.2–25.0% 20.7–25.6% 20.2–26.0% 19.4–27.0%
14–18 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.0% 26.2–29.9% 25.7–30.4% 25.3–30.9% 24.5–31.8%
10–16 March 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
26.2% 24.7–27.8% 24.2–28.3% 23.9–28.7% 23.2–29.5%
8–14 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.5% 22.8–26.3% 22.3–26.8% 21.9–27.3% 21.1–28.2%
1–7 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.7% 28.4–34.1% 27.5–35.1%
22–28 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
26.5% 24.8–28.3% 24.3–28.9% 23.9–29.3% 23.0–30.2%
15–21 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
23.3% 21.6–25.1% 21.2–25.6% 20.8–26.0% 20.0–26.9%
18 February 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 17.9% 16.3–19.8% 15.9–20.3% 15.5–20.7% 14.7–21.6%
10–18 February 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
20.0% 18.7–21.3% 18.3–21.7% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.7%
8–14 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
23.1% 21.4–24.9% 21.0–25.4% 20.6–25.8% 19.8–26.7%
1–7 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
23.5% 21.8–25.3% 21.4–25.8% 21.0–26.2% 20.2–27.1%
25–31 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
18.2% 16.7–19.8% 16.3–20.3% 15.9–20.7% 15.2–21.5%
18–24 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
21.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–21 January 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
18.6% 17.2–20.1% 16.8–20.5% 16.5–20.9% 15.9–21.6%
12–17 January 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 18.0% 16.4–19.7% 16.0–20.2% 15.6–20.7% 14.8–21.5%
11–17 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–10 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 December 2021–4 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
27.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 December 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–15 December 2021 Kantar Emor 19.0% 17.6–20.5% 17.2–20.9% 16.9–21.3% 16.3–22.1%
7–13 December 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
27.1% 25.3–29.0% 24.9–29.5% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
30 November–7 December 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
21.2% 19.6–22.9% 19.2–23.4% 18.8–23.8% 18.1–24.7%
1–7 December 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
23.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.8–22.0% 17.4–22.4% 16.7–23.2%
16–22 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
20.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–17 November 2021 Kantar Emor 19.8% 18.3–21.5% 17.9–21.9% 17.5–22.3% 16.8–23.2%
9–15 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–9 November 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
21.0% 19.4–22.7% 19.0–23.2% 18.6–23.6% 17.8–24.5%
2–8 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
20.5% 18.9–22.2% 18.5–22.7% 18.1–23.1% 17.4–24.0%
26 October–2 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–25 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 October 2021 Kantar Emor 22.7% 21.2–24.3% 20.8–24.8% 20.5–25.2% 19.8–26.0%
13–18 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
23.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–12 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
26.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 October 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
28 September–5 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–27 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–21 September 2021 Kantar Emor 27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–15 September 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–13 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
25.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–7 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–31 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–24 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–17 August 2021 Kantar Emor 25.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–16 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–13 August 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
24.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–7 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 July–2 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.1–31.7% 25.2–32.6%
20–27 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
14–22 July 2021 Kantar Emor 23.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–19 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.5% 27.7–31.4% 27.2–31.9% 26.7–32.4% 25.9–33.3%
6–12 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.1–31.7% 25.2–32.6%
28 June–4 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 June 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.7% 26.9–30.6% 26.4–31.1% 26.0–31.6% 25.1–32.5%
10–16 June 2021 Kantar Emor 25.0% 23.3–26.8% 22.8–27.3% 22.4–27.8% 21.6–28.7%
8–14 June 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
26.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–10 June 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
24.0% 22.3–25.8% 21.9–26.3% 21.4–26.7% 20.7–27.6%
1–7 June 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–31 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–25 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–18 May 2021 Kantar Emor 27.4% 25.7–29.2% 25.2–29.8% 24.8–30.2% 24.0–31.1%
12–17 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–11 May 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
26.0% 24.3–27.9% 23.8–28.4% 23.4–28.9% 22.6–29.8%
4–10 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.4% 28.6–32.3% 28.1–32.9% 27.6–33.3% 26.8–34.3%
27 April–3 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.1% 27.3–31.0% 26.8–31.5% 26.4–32.0% 25.5–32.9%
20–26 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 April 2021 Kantar Emor 27.0% 25.4–28.8% 24.9–29.3% 24.5–29.7% 23.7–30.6%
13–19 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–14 April 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
27.2% 25.5–29.1% 25.0–29.6% 24.6–30.1% 23.7–31.0%
7–12 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 March–5 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–29 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–22 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
11–16 March 2021 Kantar Emor 28.0% 26.3–29.8% 25.8–30.3% 25.4–30.7% 24.7–31.6%
9–15 March 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
26.0% 24.2–27.8% 23.8–28.3% 23.4–28.8% 22.5–29.7%
10–15 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.6% 29.8–33.5% 29.2–34.1% 28.8–34.6% 27.9–35.5%
2–8 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.7% 34.8–38.7% 34.2–39.2% 33.8–39.7% 32.9–40.7%
23 February–1 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.4% 33.5–37.4% 33.0–37.9% 32.5–38.4% 31.6–39.4%
16–22 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.3% 33.4–37.3% 32.9–37.8% 32.4–38.3% 31.5–39.3%
17 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.3% 31.4–35.3% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.3% 29.6–37.2%
10–15 February 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
28.0% 26.2–29.8% 25.7–30.4% 25.3–30.8% 24.4–31.7%
9–15 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.2% 33.3–37.2% 32.8–37.7% 32.3–38.2% 31.4–39.2%
11–15 February 2021 Kantar Emor 30.0% 28.3–31.8% 27.8–32.3% 27.4–32.7% 26.6–33.6%
2–8 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.6% 32.7–36.6% 32.2–37.1% 31.7–37.6% 30.8–38.6%
26 January–1 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.4% 26.6–30.3% 26.1–30.8% 25.7–31.3% 24.9–32.2%
25–31 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
18.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–25 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.5% 26.7–30.4% 26.2–30.9% 25.8–31.4% 25.0–32.3%
18–24 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
21.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–21 January 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
25.2% 23.5–27.0% 23.0–27.5% 22.6–28.0% 21.8–28.9%
13–21 January 2021 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
18.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–19 January 2021 Kantar Emor 27.0% 25.4–28.7% 25.0–29.1% 24.6–29.6% 23.8–30.4%
12–18 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.7% 26.9–30.6% 26.4–31.1% 26.0–31.6% 25.1–32.5%
11–17 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.5% 27.7–31.4% 27.2–31.9% 26.7–32.4% 25.9–33.3%
5–10 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
24.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 December 2020–4 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.6% 27.8–31.5% 27.3–32.0% 26.9–32.5% 26.0–33.4%
16–21 December 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.1% 26.3–30.0% 25.8–30.5% 25.4–31.0% 24.6–31.9%
9–14 December 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
26.4% 24.7–28.2% 24.2–28.8% 23.8–29.2% 23.0–30.1%
3–9 December 2020 Kantar Emor 27.0% 25.4–28.6% 25.0–29.1% 24.6–29.5% 23.9–30.3%
27 November–7 December 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
21.0% 19.3–22.8% 18.8–23.4% 18.4–23.8% 17.6–24.7%
1–7 December 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.3% 30.4–34.2% 29.9–34.8% 29.4–35.2% 28.6–36.2%
24–30 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.8% 27.0–30.7% 26.5–31.2% 26.1–31.7% 25.2–32.6%
17–23 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.6% 27.8–31.5% 27.3–32.0% 26.9–32.5% 26.0–33.4%
13–18 November 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
28.0% 26.4–29.7% 26.0–30.1% 25.6–30.5% 24.9–31.3%
11–16 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.7% 31.8–35.7% 31.3–36.2% 30.8–36.7% 29.9–37.6%
30 October–9 November 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 23.0% 21.2–24.9% 20.7–25.4% 20.3–25.9% 19.4–26.8%
3–9 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.1% 26.9–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
27 October–2 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.5% 29.7–33.4% 29.1–34.0% 28.7–34.4% 27.8–35.4%
22–26 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.1%
14–20 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.4% 27.6–31.3% 27.1–31.8% 26.7–32.3% 25.8–33.2%
1–15 October 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 24.1% 22.3–26.0% 21.8–26.5% 21.3–27.0% 20.5–28.0%
8–14 October 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
33.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.2% 30.3–34.1% 29.8–34.7% 29.4–35.2% 28.5–36.1%
28 September–5 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.1%
23–28 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.4% 29.6–33.3% 29.0–33.9% 28.6–34.4% 27.7–35.3%
17–23 September 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–21 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.7% 32.8–36.7% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.7% 30.9–38.7%
7–17 September 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.4–29.9% 23.6–30.8%
9–15 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.5% 30.6–34.4% 30.1–35.0% 29.7–35.5% 28.8–36.4%
2–9 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.6% 31.7–35.6% 31.2–36.1% 30.7–36.6% 29.8–37.5%
25–31 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.5% 31.6–35.5% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
17–25 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.5% 33.6–37.5% 33.1–38.0% 32.6–38.5% 31.7–39.5%
12–24 August 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
23.9% 22.3–25.7% 21.8–26.2% 21.4–26.7% 20.6–27.5%
13–19 August 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
29.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.3–36.9%
4–10 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.7–34.6% 29.3–35.1% 28.4–36.0%
27 July–3 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.0% 31.1–34.9% 30.6–35.5% 30.1–36.0% 29.3–36.9%
21–28 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.2% 29.4–33.1% 28.9–33.7% 28.4–34.1% 27.5–35.1%
16–22 July 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
30.9% 29.3–32.6% 28.8–33.1% 28.4–33.5% 27.7–34.3%
14–20 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.0% 32.1–36.0% 31.6–36.5% 31.1–37.0% 30.2–38.0%
7–13 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.3% 30.4–34.2% 29.9–34.8% 29.5–35.3% 28.6–36.2%
29–6 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.1% 30.3–34.0% 29.7–34.6% 29.3–35.1% 28.4–36.0%
1–30 June 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
27.9% 26.3–29.6% 25.9–30.0% 25.5–30.5% 24.8–31.3%
16–22 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.2% 28.4–32.1% 27.9–32.6% 27.4–33.1% 26.6–34.0%
9–16 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.7% 29.9–33.6% 29.3–34.2% 28.9–34.7% 28.0–35.6%
9–15 June 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
33.3% 31.4–35.2% 30.9–35.8% 30.4–36.2% 29.5–37.2%
1–8 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.8% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.2%
25 May–1 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.8% 29.0–32.7% 28.5–33.3% 28.0–33.7% 27.2–34.7%
18–25 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.4% 30.5–34.3% 30.0–34.9% 29.6–35.4% 28.7–36.3%
14–20 May 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
24.0% 22.5–25.6% 22.1–26.0% 21.7–26.4% 21.0–27.2%
12–18 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.8% 29.0–32.7% 28.5–33.3% 28.0–33.7% 27.2–34.7%
7–15 May 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
31.2% 29.3–33.1% 28.8–33.6% 28.4–34.1% 27.5–35.0%
6–12 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.9% 27.1–30.8% 26.6–31.3% 26.2–31.8% 25.3–32.7%
24 April–5 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.8% 28.0–31.7% 27.5–32.3% 27.0–32.7% 26.2–33.6%
21–27 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.1% 27.3–31.0% 26.8–31.5% 26.4–32.0% 25.5–32.9%
20–22 April 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.1% 26.9–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
15–20 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.7% 32.8–36.7% 32.3–37.2% 31.8–37.7% 30.9–38.7%
7–14 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.9% 31.0–34.8% 30.5–35.4% 30.1–35.9% 29.2–36.8%
6–7 April 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
27.0% 25.3–28.9% 24.8–29.4% 24.3–29.8% 23.5–30.7%
31 March–6 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.5% 31.6–35.5% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
24–30 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.7% 27.9–31.6% 27.4–32.1% 26.9–32.6% 26.1–33.5%
18–23 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29.6% 27.8–31.5% 27.3–32.0% 26.9–32.5% 26.0–33.4%
12–18 March 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
28.9% 27.2–30.7% 26.7–31.2% 26.3–31.6% 25.5–32.5%
10–16 March 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.1–28.5% 23.7–29.0% 22.9–29.8%
10–16 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.8% 29.0–32.7% 28.5–33.3% 28.0–33.7% 27.2–34.7%
4–9 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.7% 26.9–30.6% 26.4–31.1% 26.0–31.6% 25.1–32.5%
26 February–2 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.2% 31.3–35.1% 30.8–35.7% 30.3–36.2% 29.5–37.1%
19–26 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.2% 31.3–35.1% 30.8–35.7% 30.3–36.2% 29.5–37.1%
13–18 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.5–33.4% 28.1–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
6–17 February 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
27.2% 25.3–29.3% 24.7–29.9% 24.3–30.4% 23.4–31.4%
4–11 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.8% 31.9–35.8% 31.4–36.3% 30.9–36.8% 30.0–37.7%
28 January–3 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.1%
1–31 January 2020 Kantar Emor 30.0% 28.0–32.0% 27.5–32.6% 27.0–33.1% 26.1–34.1%
17–27 January 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
25.0% 23.1–27.0% 22.6–27.6% 22.1–28.1% 21.3–29.1%
23–27 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.9% 34.0–37.9% 33.4–38.4% 33.0–38.9% 32.1–39.9%
16–24 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.0% 33.1–37.0% 32.6–37.5% 32.1–38.0% 31.2–39.0%
8–14 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.3% 30.4–34.2% 29.9–34.8% 29.5–35.3% 28.6–36.2%
3–7 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.1% 32.2–36.1% 31.7–36.6% 31.2–37.1% 30.3–38.0%
18–23 December 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.3% 28.5–32.2% 28.0–32.8% 27.5–33.2% 26.7–34.2%
11–17 December 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.3% 32.4–36.3% 31.9–36.8% 31.4–37.3% 30.5–38.3%
5–12 December 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
34.8% 33.2–36.5% 32.8–36.9% 32.4–37.4% 31.6–38.2%
28 November–9 December 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
29.0% 27.2–30.9% 26.7–31.4% 26.3–31.9% 25.4–32.8%
2–9 December 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.4% 33.5–37.4% 33.0–37.9% 32.5–38.4% 31.6–39.4%
25–29 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.5% 34.6–38.5% 34.0–39.0% 33.6–39.5% 32.7–40.5%
18–25 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.1% 34.2–38.1% 33.6–38.6% 33.2–39.1% 32.3–40.1%
11–15 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.3% 33.4–37.3% 32.9–37.8% 32.4–38.3% 31.5–39.3%
7–13 November 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
27.4% 25.9–29.0% 25.5–29.4% 25.2–29.8% 24.5–30.6%
31 October–12 November 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.6–33.3% 28.2–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
5–11 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.6% 30.7–34.6% 30.2–35.1% 29.8–35.6% 28.9–36.5%
28 October–5 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.3% 34.4–38.3% 33.8–38.9% 33.4–39.3% 32.5–40.3%
22–28 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.2% 34.3–38.2% 33.7–38.7% 33.3–39.2% 32.4–40.2%
15–21 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.4% 34.5–38.4% 33.9–38.9% 33.5–39.4% 32.6–40.4%
10–16 October 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
32.7% 31.0–34.5% 30.5–35.0% 30.1–35.5% 29.3–36.3%
9–14 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.9% 29.1–32.8% 28.5–33.4% 28.1–33.8% 27.3–34.8%
3–13 October 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
32.0% 30.2–33.9% 29.7–34.5% 29.2–34.9% 28.4–35.8%
1–8 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.6% 33.7–37.6% 33.2–38.1% 32.7–38.6% 31.8–39.6%
25–30 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.7% 30.8–34.6% 30.3–35.2% 29.9–35.7% 29.0–36.6%
18–23 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37.1% 35.2–39.1% 34.6–39.7% 34.2–40.1% 33.2–41.1%
11–19 September 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
33.1% 31.3–34.9% 30.8–35.4% 30.4–35.8% 29.6–36.7%
10–17 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.7% 31.8–35.7% 31.3–36.2% 30.8–36.7% 29.9–37.6%
5–16 September 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
33.6% 31.7–35.5% 31.2–36.0% 30.7–36.5% 29.9–37.4%
3–9 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.9% 32.0–35.9% 31.5–36.4% 31.0–36.9% 30.1–37.8%
27 August–2 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.9% 34.0–37.9% 33.4–38.4% 33.0–38.9% 32.1–39.9%
21–26 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.3% 32.4–36.3% 31.9–36.8% 31.4–37.3% 30.5–38.3%
15–21 August 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
36.4% 34.6–38.3% 34.1–38.8% 33.7–39.2% 32.9–40.1%
9–20 August 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
35.1% 33.2–37.1% 32.7–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.1%
13–19 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.9% 32.0–35.9% 31.5–36.4% 31.0–36.9% 30.1–37.8%
5–12 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.5% 31.6–35.5% 31.1–36.0% 30.6–36.5% 29.8–37.4%
30 July–5 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40.3% 38.3–42.3% 37.8–42.9% 37.3–43.4% 36.4–44.4%
22–30 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.2% 34.3–38.2% 33.7–38.7% 33.3–39.2% 32.4–40.2%
18–24 July 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
34.5% 32.8–36.2% 32.4–36.7% 31.9–37.1% 31.2–37.9%
15–22 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39.0% 37.1–41.0% 36.5–41.6% 36.0–42.1% 35.1–43.0%
8–15 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37.7% 35.8–39.7% 35.2–40.3% 34.8–40.8% 33.8–41.7%
2–8 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.9% 30.1–33.8% 29.5–34.4% 29.1–34.9% 28.2–35.8%
26 June–1 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.3% 32.4–36.3% 31.9–36.8% 31.4–37.3% 30.5–38.3%
11–19 June 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 June 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
36.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–11 June 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28 May–10 June 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
33.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 May–3 June 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–27 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–20 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
28.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–13 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–9 May 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
34.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29 April–7 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–29 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.6% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–22 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–15 April 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
30.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–15 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34.8% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–15 April 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
32.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–8 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–29 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–24 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–21 March 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
32.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–18 March 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
27.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 March 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
29.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–11 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31.9% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Eesti Reformierakond.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0.3% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 1.5% 99.7%  
22.5–23.5% 4% 98%  
23.5–24.5% 7% 94%  
24.5–25.5% 7% 87%  
25.5–26.5% 5% 81%  
26.5–27.5% 5% 76%  
27.5–28.5% 10% 71%  
28.5–29.5% 13% 61% Last Result, Median
29.5–30.5% 11% 48%  
30.5–31.5% 8% 36%  
31.5–32.5% 8% 28%  
32.5–33.5% 8% 20%  
33.5–34.5% 6% 12%  
34.5–35.5% 4% 5%  
35.5–36.5% 1.4% 2%  
36.5–37.5% 0.4% 0.4%  
37.5–38.5% 0.1% 0.1%  
38.5–39.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 34 seats (General Election of 3 March 2019)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 34 27–39 26–40 25–41 24–42
28 February–3 March 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–42 35–42 34–43
28 February–2 March 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
34 32–35 31–36 31–37 30–38
20–28 February 2023 Turu-uuringute AS
Eesti Päevaleht
35 32–38 31–39 30–40 29–41
10–27 February 2023 RAIT Faktum&Ariko 28 25–30 25–30 24–31 23–32
21–27 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
27 25–29 25–30 24–30 23–32
20–22 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
33 31–35 30–35 30–36 29–36
14–20 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 31–35 30–36 29–36 28–37
13–16 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
36 34–38 34–38 33–39 32–40
7–13 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31 29–33 28–34 28–34 27–36
6–9 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
36 34–38 34–39 34–39 33–40
31 January–6 February 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 33–40 32–41
30 January–2 February 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
35 33–37 32–37 32–38 31–39
24–30 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31 29–33 28–34 27–34 26–35
27 January 2023 Turu-uuringute AS 29 26–32 26–33 25–34 24–35
19–26 January 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
37 35–39 35–40 34–41 34–42
17–23 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
10–16 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 31–37 31–37 31–38 29–39
5–11 January 2023 Kantar Emor
ERR
32 30–33 30–34 29–34 28–35
2–9 January 2023 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
20–27 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–38 32–38 32–39 31–41
13–19 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 32–39 31–41
8–16 December 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
34 32–36 32–37 31–37 30–38
6–12 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–38 32–38 32–39 30–40
6 December 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 40 37–43 36–44 36–45 34–47
29 November–5 December 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–42 35–43 34–44
22–28 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–41 34–41 34–42 33–43
15–21 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 33–38 33–39 32–40 31–41
10–17 November 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
35 33–37 32–38 32–38 31–39
8–14 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–40 35–41 34–42 33–43
9 November 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 37 34–40 33–41 32–42 31–44
1–6 November 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–42 34–42 33–43
26–31 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 32–37 31–38 30–39
18–25 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–41 35–42 34–43
13–19 October 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
31 29–33 29–34 29–34 28–35
11–17 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 32–39 31–41
12 October 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 32 29–35 29–36 28–37 27–39
4–10 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 33–40 32–41
27 September–3 October 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–40 35–42 34–42 33–43
20–26 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31 29–34 29–35 28–35 27–37
13–19 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–36 31–37 30–38 29–39
16 September 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 38 35–42 34–43 33–44 32–45
8–14 September 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
33 31–35 30–35 30–35 29–36
6–12 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–37 31–38 30–39
27 August–5 September 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–37 32–38 32–39 31–40
23–29 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 32–40 31–41
25 August 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 32 29–35 28–36 27–36 25–37
16–22 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 37–42 37–43 36–43 35–45
11–22 August 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
35 33–37 33–37 32–38 31–39
9–15 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–38 32–38 32–39 31–40
2–8 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 37–42 37–43 36–44 35–45
25 July–1 August 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 37–42 37–42 36–43 35–44
19–25 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–39 34–40 33–40 32–41
14–20 July 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
34 32–36 32–36 31–37 30–38
12–18 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–41 35–42 34–43
5–11 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 33–40 32–41
27 June–4 July 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–38 33–39 33–40 32–41
14–20 June 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 36–41 36–42 35–43 34–44
17 June 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 35 32–38 31–39 31–40 29–41
9–14 June 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
36 34–38 33–38 33–39 32–40
7–13 June 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–41 37–43 36–44 35–45
1–6 June 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–40 34–41 34–41 33–42
24–30 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 36–41 36–42 35–42 34–44
16–23 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 38–43 37–44 37–44 36–46
12–20 May 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
37 35–39 35–39 34–40 33–41
19 May 2022 Turu-uuringute AS          
10–16 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–39 35–40 34–41 33–42
4–9 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 39–44 38–45 37–45 36–47
26 April–2 May 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–38 31–38 30–39
19–25 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–41 34–42 33–44
14–20 April 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
28 26–30 25–30 25–30 24–31
18 April 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 34 31–37 30–38 29–38 28–40
12–18 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–38 32–39 32–40 30–41
6–11 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–39 33–39 32–40 31–42
28 March–4 April 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 31–36 30–36 30–37 29–38
21–28 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 34–39 33–40 33–41 31–42
19 March 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 25 23–28 22–28 22–29 21–30
14–18 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
10–16 March 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
29 27–31 27–32 26–32 25–33
8–14 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
26 24–29 24–29 23–30 22–31
1–7 March 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 32–37 32–38 31–38 30–40
22–28 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29 27–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
15–21 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
25 23–27 23–28 22–28 21–29
18 February 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 18 16–21 16–21 15–22 15–23
10–18 February 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
21 20–23 19–23 19–24 18–24
8–14 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
25 23–27 22–28 22–28 21–29
1–7 February 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
25 23–27 22–28 22–28 21–29
25–31 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
19 17–21 17–21 16–22 15–23
18–24 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
13–21 January 2022 Kantar Emor
ERR
20 18–22 18–22 17–23 17–24
12–17 January 2022 Turu-uuringute AS 19 17–21 16–21 16–22 15–23
11–17 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
5–10 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
27 December 2021–4 January 2022 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
14–20 December 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
9–15 December 2021 Kantar Emor 21 19–22 18–23 18–23 17–24
7–13 December 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
29 27–32 27–32 26–33 25–34
30 November–7 December 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
23 21–25 20–25 20–26 19–27
1–7 December 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
23–29 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
21 19–23 19–24 18–24 17–25
16–22 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
11–17 November 2021 Kantar Emor 21 19–23 19–24 18–24 18–25
9–15 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
4–9 November 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
23 21–25 21–26 20–26 19–27
2–8 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
22 20–24 19–24 19–25 18–26
26 October–2 November 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
20–25 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
14–20 October 2021 Kantar Emor 25 23–27 23–28 22–28 21–29
13–18 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
5–12 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
4–8 October 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
27 25–29 24–30 24–31 23–32
28 September–5 October 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
22–27 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
16–21 September 2021 Kantar Emor          
14–20 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
6–15 September 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
         
8–13 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
1–7 September 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
25–31 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
17–24 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
12–17 August 2021 Kantar Emor          
9–16 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
5–13 August 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
         
3–7 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
27 July–2 August 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32 30–34 29–35 28–36 28–37
20–27 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–39 34–40 33–41 32–42
14–22 July 2021 Kantar Emor          
13–19 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–37
6–12 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32 30–34 29–35 28–35 27–37
28 June–4 July 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
15–21 June 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 30–35 30–36 29–37 28–38
10–16 June 2021 Kantar Emor 28 26–31 26–31 25–32 24–33
8–14 June 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
3–10 June 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
27 25–29 24–29 23–30 23–31
1–7 June 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
26–31 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
19–25 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
12–18 May 2021 Kantar Emor 30 29–33 28–34 28–35 27–36
12–17 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
6–11 May 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
30 27–32 27–33 26–33 25–35
4–10 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–37 31–38 30–39
27 April–3 May 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 30–36 30–36 29–37 28–38
20–26 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
15–21 April 2021 Kantar Emor 31 29–34 28–34 28–35 27–36
13–19 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
8–14 April 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
31 29–34 28–34 27–35 26–36
7–12 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
30 March–5 April 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
23–29 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
17–22 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–40 35–41 34–41 33–43
11–16 March 2021 Kantar Emor 32 30–34 29–35 29–36 27–37
9–15 March 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
29 27–32 26–32 26–33 25–34
10–15 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 34–39 33–40 32–40 31–42
2–8 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 40–45 39–46 38–47 37–48
23 February–1 March 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 38–43 37–44 36–45 35–46
16–22 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 38–43 37–44 36–45 35–46
17 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–41 35–41 34–42 33–44
10–15 February 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
32 30–34 29–35 28–36 27–37
9–15 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 38–43 37–44 36–44 35–46
11–15 February 2021 Kantar Emor 34 32–37 31–38 31–38 30–39
2–8 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 37–42 36–43 35–44 34–45
26 January–1 February 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 30–35 30–36 29–37 28–38
25–31 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
18–25 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 31–36 30–37 29–38 28–39
18–24 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
12–21 January 2021 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
29 27–32 26–33 26–33 25–35
13–21 January 2021 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
14–19 January 2021 Kantar Emor 31 29–33 28–33 28–34 27–35
12–18 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
32 30–35 29–35 29–36 28–37
11–17 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
5–11 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–38 30–38 29–39
5–10 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
29 December 2020–4 January 2021 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 31–36 30–37 30–37 29–39
16–21 December 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
31 29–34 29–34 28–35 27–36
9–14 December 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
30 28–32 27–33 26–33 25–35
3–9 December 2020 Kantar Emor 29 28–32 28–33 27–34 26–35
27 November–7 December 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
24 21–26 21–27 20–27 19–28
1–7 December 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 33–38 33–39 32–39 31–41
24–30 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 31–36 31–37 30–38 29–39
17–23 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–36 31–37 30–38 29–39
13–18 November 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
32 30–34 29–35 29–35 28–36
11–16 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 36–42 35–42 34–44
30 October–9 November 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 26 24–29 23–30 23–30 22–32
3–9 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–37 30–38 29–39
27 October–2 November 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–40 33–41 33–41 32–43
22–26 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 38–43 38–44 37–45 36–46
14–20 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 31–35 30–36 30–36 28–38
1–15 October 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 28 25–31 25–31 24–32 23–33
8–14 October 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
6–13 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–41 34–42 33–43
28 September–5 October 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 38–43 37–44 37–44 36–46
23–28 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–40 34–41 34–42 32–43
17–23 September 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
15–21 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 39–45 39–46 38–47 37–48
7–17 September 2020 Turu-uuringute AS 32 30–35 29–35 28–36 27–37
9–15 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–41 35–41 34–42 33–44
2–9 September 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–41 35–42 34–42 33–43
25–31 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–42 36–42 35–43 34–44
17–25 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 39–44 38–45 37–45 36–47
12–24 August 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
26 24–29 24–29 23–30 22–31
13–19 August 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
10–17 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–40 35–41 34–42 33–43
4–10 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–39 34–40 33–41 32–42
27 July–3 August 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–40 35–41 34–42 33–43
21–28 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–37 32–38 32–39 31–40
16–22 July 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
35 33–38 33–38 32–39 31–40
14–20 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–42 36–43 35–43 34–45
7–13 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 36–41 35–42 35–42 33–43
29–6 July 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–39 34–40 33–41 32–42
1–30 June 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
33 30–35 30–36 29–36 28–37
16–22 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 31–36 31–37 30–37 29–39
9–16 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 34–38 33–39 33–40 31–41
9–15 June 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
38 36–40 35–40 35–41 33–42
1–8 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
36 33–39 32–40 32–40 31–41
25 May–1 June 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–37 32–38 31–39 31–40
18–25 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 34–39 34–40 34–40 33–42
14–20 May 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
28 25–29 25–29 24–30 23–31
12–18 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–39 33–39 32–40 32–41
7–15 May 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
34 33–37 32–38 31–38 30–40
6–12 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 31–35 30–37 29–38 28–40
24 April–5 May 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–38 31–39 30–40
21–27 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 31–36 30–37 30–37 29–39
20–22 April 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
35 33–37 32–38 32–39 31–40
15–20 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 38–43 38–44 37–44 35–46
7–14 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–40 35–41 34–41 33–42
6–7 April 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
29 27–30 27–31 27–31 26–33
31 March–6 April 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 36–42 35–43 35–44 34–45
24–30 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–38 31–38 29–39
18–23 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 31–37 31–38 30–39 30–40
12–18 March 2020 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
33 31–35 31–36 30–36 29–38
10–16 March 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
29 27–31 27–32 26–33 25–34
10–16 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
34 32–37 31–37 31–38 30–39
4–9 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
33 30–36 29–37 28–37 28–37
26 February–2 March 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 36–41 36–42 35–43 34–45
19–26 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 37–39 35–40 34–42 33–43
13–18 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–37 33–37 32–38 31–40
6–17 February 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
30 28–33 27–33 27–34 25–36
4–11 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–41 36–42 35–43 34–44
28 January–3 February 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 39–41 38–43 37–43 36–45
1–31 January 2020 Kantar Emor 35 32–37 31–38 31–38 30–40
17–27 January 2020 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
29 27–31 26–32 25–33 24–34
23–27 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 39–45 39–46 38–47 37–48
16–24 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 38–43 37–45 37–45 35–46
8–14 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–40 34–40 34–41 33–42
3–7 January 2020 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–41 36–42 36–43 34–44
18–23 December 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–38 32–39 32–40 30–41
11–17 December 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 38–43 37–43 37–44 35–45
5–12 December 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
40 38–42 37–42 37–43 36–44
28 November–9 December 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
34 32–37 31–38 30–39 29–41
2–9 December 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 41 41 41 40–42
25–29 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
45 45 45–46 44–46 41–46
18–25 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
43 40–45 39–46 39–47 38–49
11–15 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 42 42 42–43 41–45
7–13 November 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
31 29–34 29–34 29–35 28–36
31 October–12 November 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
35 32–38 32–39 31–39 31–40
5–11 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 36–40 35–40 35–42 33–43
28 October–5 November 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 41–43 41–43 41–45 36–45
22–28 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 41–42 41–43 41–43 39–43
15–21 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
44 41–46 39–46 39–47 37–49
10–16 October 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
38 36–39 35–40 34–41 33–42
9–14 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
35 33–38 32–38 31–39 30–40
3–13 October 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
38 35–40 34–40 34–41 33–42
1–8 October 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 38–43 38–45 37–45 37–48
25–30 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
38 35–40 34–40 34–41 33–43
18–23 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
45 42–48 41–48 40–49 39–50
11–19 September 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
37 35–40 34–40 34–41 33–42
10–17 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
40 37–43 37–43 36–45 34–45
5–16 September 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
36 36–40 36–42 35–42 34–44
3–9 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–42 37–44 35–45 34–45
27 August–2 September 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 41–43 41–44 41–44 41–44
21–26 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
43 43 42–43 38–43 36–43
15–21 August 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
42 41–42 41–46 41–46 38–46
9–20 August 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
39 39 39–41 39–41 39–46
13–19 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
41 41 38–41 35–41 35–41
5–12 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 39 39 39–40 39–40
30 July–5 August 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
48 46–51 46–53 45–53 43–54
22–30 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
42 41–45 40–46 39–47 38–48
18–24 July 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
39 36–41 36–42 35–42 34–43
15–22 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
48 45–51 44–51 44–51 42–52
8–15 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
46 43–48 43–49 42–50 40–51
2–8 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
37 35–39 34–40 33–41 32–41
26 June–1 July 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
39 37–40 36–41 35–43 34–45
11–19 June 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
6–13 June 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
4–11 June 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
28 May–10 June 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
         
27 May–3 June 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
20–27 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
14–20 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
6–13 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
7–9 May 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
29 April–7 May 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
22–29 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
15–22 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
2–15 April 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
         
8–15 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
10–15 April 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
1–8 April 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
25–29 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
18–24 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
14–21 March 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
5–18 March 2019 Turu-uuringute AS
ERR
         
11–15 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         
12–13 March 2019 Kantar Emor
BNS and Postimees
         
5–11 March 2019 Norstat
MTÜ Ühiskonnauuringute Instituut
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Eesti Reformierakond.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.7% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.2%  
26 3% 97%  
27 6% 94%  
28 5% 88%  
29 4% 83%  
30 3% 78%  
31 3% 75%  
32 6% 72%  
33 9% 66%  
34 11% 57% Last Result, Median
35 11% 46%  
36 7% 36%  
37 7% 28%  
38 8% 22%  
39 7% 14%  
40 4% 7%  
41 2% 3%  
42 1.1% 1.5%  
43 0.2% 0.3%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%